TheWeatherPimp Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Canadian doesn't quite get it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Canadian doesn't quite get it done. Any precip maps? Based on track my guess was that it could be alright for southern fringes of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 yeah....step in the "right" direction... 500's don't look fantastic....but at least its closer to something If we can't get the whole cutoff to eject, at least a piece of it would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Any precip maps? Based on track my guess was that it could be alright for southern fringes of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ouch, the GEM would be a shutout for almost all of us, and another potential hit for the EC. That would get the complaint thread in hyper drive around here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ouch, the GEM would be a shutout for almost all of us, and another potential hit for the EC. That would get the complaint thread in hyper drive around here lol. Considering it's score card this winter ... its about as dangerous of a model as the Detroit Lions were in the playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 the uk look has a low in MO, but hard to tell whether it's bowling or cutting. I suspect it's bowling since the low is elongated southward and there's not much ridging out in front. The only thing worth taking away at this point is the signal is loud and clear for something in the 6-7 day timeframe. Needing a trend north isn't the worst place to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 DT had a nice write up on this on his WX Risk Facebook page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 12z GFS showing a nice spread the wealth type system this weekend. Snowfall amounts are sort of meh, at around 1-3" for most of us, but at least most of our sub would be in on it. That hasn't happened too many times this season. 12z Euro pretty much agrees with the GFS. Weakens as it heads east, but decent swath of 1" or more snows...though again, better west vs east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 12z Euro pretty much agrees with the GFS. Weakens as it heads east, but decent swath of 1" or more snows...though again, better west vs east. Solid improvement from the 0z run. The high is further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 12z Euro pretty much agrees with the GFS. Weakens as it heads east, but decent swath of 1" or more snows...though again, better west vs east. A lot of lackluster 12z GFS ensemble members. A few are decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 A lot of lackluster 12z GFS ensemble members. A few are decent. Yeah, well...doesn't look like a block-buster by any means. And I know I'm in the minority, but small events are ok in my book. I guess it could get better...or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 the set up is a bit reminiscent of PDII... You had the forerunning snows which hit places as far nw as Iowa over to Ohio, then the southern low really started cranking and brought up another wave to the OV. As far as this one looks, the southern low stays weak and slides off to the southeast and the confluence buzz saw is firmly in place to kill the initial overrunning east of IL. Pretty certain it won't look like that for tomorrow's runs. Plenty will change between today and hr 144. This could cut hard, slide off, or fall somewhere in between, either way, I'd rather be rooting for a trend to develop then rooting for a solution to lock in...6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Euro is definitely a step in the right direction. 00z started to get better with it being less suppressed, and the 12z was an improvement even further. 12z delivers several inches for most of Iowa, with amounts tapering to the east some. If trends continue we could have a decent event to be sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 the set up is a bit reminiscent of PDII... You had the forerunning snows which hit places as far nw as Iowa over to Ohio, then the southern low really started cranking and brought up another wave to the OV. As far as this one looks, the southern low stays weak and slides off to the southeast and the confluence buzz saw is firmly in place to kill the initial overrunning east of IL. Pretty certain it won't look like that for tomorrow's runs. Plenty will change between today and hr 144. This could cut hard, slide off, or fall somewhere in between, either way, I'd rather be rooting for a trend to develop then rooting for a solution to lock in...6 days out. Who are u & what did u do w/ Buckeye? LOL. I like the optimism. Fingers & toes crossed, but i'm not feeln this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 euro ensems are generally showing low placement anywhere from Va down to the Carolinas over thru the TN Valley, (so pretty close to the OP). A few (as in 3 or 4) have lows making it as far north as the ohio river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Who are u & what did u do w/ Buckeye? LOL. I like the optimism. Fingers & toes crossed, but i'm not feeln this one. I'm basically numb now anyways, besides I was wrong about the clipper fail last night....maybe we've turned the leaf? Actually I've always like this particular 'threat'. I was berated for posting the first model hints showing it last week lol. I'm fully invested, all my weenie chips are in....I'm riding this one into the sunset or off the cliff. 6"+ or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm hopping aboard the U.S.S weenie and riding this ship until it sinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Lol the models have been so bad this year IDK what to think of this weekends "storm". I guess snow somewhere from Green Bay to Jacksonville lol! The 12z Ukie is pretty interesting though for MBY anyways, it just seems like everything is a guess until within 12-24hrs this year though ugh. And the new "GFS" being garbage past 72hrs doesn't help my forecasting at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm basically numb now anyways, besides I was wrong about the clipper fail last night....maybe we've turned the leaf? Actually I've always like this particular 'threat'. I was berated for posting the first model hints showing it last week lol. I'm fully invested, all my weenie chips are in....I'm riding this one into the sunset or off the cliff. 6"+ or bust Count me in! All aboard!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 12z Euro ensembles look better. Still plenty of members that keep it southern stream dominant, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 DAve Schwartz is on TWC right now!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 DAve Schwartz is on TWC right now!!! Welcome to like 2 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Welcome to like 2 years ago. Goes to show how much I watch that channel... Last I remember, he was holding down the late shift before they "fired" him... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 00z GFS looking pretty sassy for the weekend system. Huge area of snow for an even better spread the wealth storm compared with the decent 12z/18z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 00z GFS looking pretty sassy for the weekend system. Huge area of snow for an even better spread the wealth storm compared with the decent 12z/18z runs. Yeah, not too bad. Hopefully this one can continue to perk up a bit in future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Clipper and storm after that are really nice on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 00z GFS looking pretty sassy for the weekend system. Huge area of snow for an even better spread the wealth storm compared with the decent 12z/18z runs. Pretty good in the spread the wealth department Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 yeah....00Z GFS giving it a much better shot.... 00Z 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 00z UKMET tracks the surface low from the TX panhandle to western Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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