Baum Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:10 PM, A-L-E-K said: on the plus side, after a brief and likely overdone cold shot, the euro looks mild into the extended come on spring Wishful thinking I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:10 PM, A-L-E-K said: on the plus side, after a brief and likely overdone cold shot, the euro looks mild into the extended come on spring yea, the euro 10 day just took a steel boot to JB's gut. Of course it's one OP run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:17 PM, buckeye said: yea, the euro 10 day just took a steel boot to JB's gut. Of course it's one OP run.Euro ensembles say I don't think so to spring coming past d -10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:17 PM, Baum said: Wishful thinking I suspect. honest thoughts…we've been stuck in the middle for a long time and will remain so. This look really hasn't changed all winter...persistent northwest flow punctuated but cold shots (especially east) and mild pacific air (especially west). Big storm potential, especially cutters is essentially zero. Definitely wishful thinking on the ridge migrating east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:37 PM, A-L-E-K said: honest thoughts…we've been stuck in the middle for a long time and will remain so. This look really hasn't changed all winter...persistent northwest flow punctuated but cold shots (especially east) and mild pacific air (especially west). Big storm potential, especially cutters is essentially zero. Definitely wishful thinking on the ridge migrating east. this is the Alek I love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 5:46 AM, Hoosier said: For anyone who wants to save it...note this is a 10:1 map gem_asnow_us_40.png Nice to have a saveworthy weenie/no chance of verification run at least once this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Closer looks at the 0z GGEM total run snowfall (thru 240 hours). Not happening obviously, but at least on paper it was fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 4:15 PM, Chicago WX said: Closer looks at the 0z GGEM total run snowfall (thru 240 hours). Not happening obviously, but at least on paper it was fun. cmc_snow_acc_chicago_41.png cmc_snow_acc_detroit_41.png cmc_snow_acc_toronto_41.png cmc_snow_acc_indy_41.png cmc_snow_acc_michigan_41.png[/quote In this lousy winter we can all dream f something like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Hey, while it may be 7 days out... It gives us something to forecast/keep our eyes on. There's definitely potential in the coming weeks for something a bit more significant than what we've had as of the late. 26" Jackpot for Harry and I - can't even imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The potential is there but getting things to line up and phase has worse then pulling teeth. Every storm shown in the models now we all instantly call it a pipe dream. We don't even truly give it a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman99 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GEM now suppressed for next weekend. At least we got that one over with quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 And now the massive arctic blast is looking to be a fail! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 5:25 PM, Whitelakeroy said: And now the massive arctic blast is looking to be a fail! LOL Not until the EURO shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 5:25 PM, Whitelakeroy said: And now the massive arctic blast is looking to be a fail! LOL No. I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 arctic blast will be more of an arctic glancing blow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 5:48 PM, A-L-E-K said: arctic blast will be more of an arctic glancing blow Really not been the pattern. 2-3 weeks of seasonal to above then 7-10 days of very cold. November, early January. Makes sense February starts the same. My concern is as we move to spring Eastern trough comes more pronounced. Either way, northwest flow regime ongoing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 If there's a bright side, the southwestern cutoff finally starts kicking out at 240 hours on the 12z Euro lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Good agreement between the 12z Euro and GFS for next Sunday and Monday's min temps. I think it's like 50˚+ difference in some locales. 198 is truly the lolz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 00Z GEM tried to bring back some version of GHD V2 00Z GFS looked like the last 2 months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 0Z GGEM brings it's :weenie: storm back to life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 On 1/26/2015 at 5:32 AM, Gilbertfly said: 00Z GEM tried to bring back some version of GHD V2 00Z GFS looked like the last 2 months Not like that ridiculous run from last night, but nice storm for the southern/eastern part of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 On 1/26/2015 at 5:35 AM, Hoosier said: Not like that ridiculous run from last night, but nice storm for the southern/eastern part of the subforum. vorts seem so disjointed, it's hard to jump on board..."something's gotta give"? but yeah....verbatim a pretty solid hit where you outlined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Not going to predict whether the 00z Euro will have a storm, but it seems like it's not as cutoff at 144 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 On 1/26/2015 at 6:35 AM, Hoosier said: Not going to predict whether the 00z Euro will have a storm, but it seems like it's not as cutoff at 144 hours. It's better...not all the way to what we need yet though. Gets snow up to the Ohio River Sunday night into Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 On 1/26/2015 at 6:45 AM, OHweather said: It's better...not all the way to what we need yet though. Gets snow up to the Ohio River Sunday night into Monday. Will be interesting to see it anymore ensemble members jump onto the idea as several have been showing it for days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 On 1/26/2015 at 6:56 AM, Thundersnow12 said: Will be interesting to see it anymore ensemble members jump onto the idea as several have been showing it for days now.I'm sure some more will. First time the op run has been that close to a storm next weekend IIRC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 5:30 PM, dan123 said: No. I don't think so. Okay. Here is one of the earlier posts (post #127 in this thread) of what was being constantly advertised by the ensembles for this last week of January. I didn't say we wouldn't see any arctic cold but the massive blast that was suppose to start this week (the EURO originally had it starting January 24/25) and engulf us for several days well into the start of February so far it just hasn't happened. What Alex has said sums it up: On 1/25/2015 at 5:48 PM, A-L-E-K said: arctic blast will be more of an arctic glancing blow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 12z GFS showing a nice spread the wealth type system this weekend. Snowfall amounts are sort of meh, at around 1-3" for most of us, but at least most of our sub would be in on it. That hasn't happened too many times this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yeah the 12z GFS had a better attempt at the 2/1 event but not quite there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 On 1/26/2015 at 5:03 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Yeah the 12z GFS had a better attempt at the 2/1 event but not quite there. yeah....step in the "right" direction... 500's don't look fantastic....but at least its closer to something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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