Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 On 1/27/2015 at 4:47 AM, Hoosier said: 00z UKMET tracks the surface low from the TX panhandle to western Ohio. Based on the black and white charts, the 0z GGEM looks similar to the 12z GGEM in terms of track. Only out too 144 hours, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 On 1/27/2015 at 4:47 AM, Hoosier said: 00z UKMET tracks the surface low from the TX panhandle to western Ohio. Oh boy. Still, clearly were starting to see some non-NW impulse/clipper action on the models. That's a win in wanting to see more substantial systems running through the region. No guarantees of course, but a change of pace nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 If the 6Z GFS was to verify the east coast would be crushed by snow. Much of the forum would be digging out too !! Positive steps in breaking this dismal weather pattern.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I am not holding my breath for anything really. We'll see what it looks like inside 96 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 On 1/27/2015 at 3:33 PM, TimChgo9 said: I am not holding my breath for anything really. We'll see what it looks like inside 96 hours. Game changer. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The central MN screw zone is alive and well on today's 12z GFS run. The negative snowfall departures up that way are impressive(ly bad) so far this year. On the order of 20 inches below normal in some spots. That's quite a departure to rack up by late January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Pretty crazy cold coming down at the end of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 On 1/27/2015 at 7:08 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Pretty crazy cold coming down at the end of the Euro. and interestingly it's way west of where the original trough was suppose to set up. If the 240 hr trough placement verifies, Alek is going to have to lose his zzzzzzzzz's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2015 Author Share Posted January 27, 2015 On 1/27/2015 at 7:08 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Pretty crazy cold coming down at the end of the Euro.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 On 1/27/2015 at 7:19 PM, Chicago Storm said: lol Oh come on long range verification has been overwhelmingly awesome!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 On 1/27/2015 at 7:18 PM, buckeye said: and interestingly it's way west of where the original trough was suppose to set up. If the 240 hr trough placement verifies, Alek is going to have to lose his zzzzzzzzz's. If it did verify that would be a much better position for us ... ah to dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 On 1/27/2015 at 8:01 PM, Angrysummons said: The models have gotten really bad after 84hrs this winter. One of these major agencies ought to program a new numerical model-- the HA7DM, Highly Accurate 7-Day Model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Have had to move a few posts from here today regarding the weekend threat. The thread: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45528-january-31st-february-1st-overrunning-snow-event/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 On 1/27/2015 at 8:07 PM, Chinook said: One of these major agencies ought to program a new numerical model-- the HA7DM, Highly Accurate 7-Day Model. I think it would be awesome if they did a high accuracy 7 day model and just left it to that with that model. While it is fun to talk the long range and we have made improvements but a season like this year shows we have a long ways to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Kumbaya run by the 12z GGEM today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Really impressive last two runs of the GFS out to 10 days. Clipper parade galore leading to impressive 10 day amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 On 1/29/2015 at 5:35 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Really impressive last two runs of the GFS out to 10 days. Clipper parade galore leading to impressive 10 day amounts. you ain't kidding. Just looped thru, nothing huge but about 4 solid hits thru day 10. The 138-144 threat is on the uk and the ggem as well. Looks like a small system with the arctic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Wow. I don't think I've seen a set of Euro ensemble members as snowy for the next 15 days so far this winter. Might have to throw these up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Impressive. Should pull many out of the (including myself) even if one of those verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 On 1/29/2015 at 8:53 PM, Thundersnow12 said: euro en snow.png On 1/29/2015 at 9:02 PM, Harry Perry said: Impressive. Should pull many out of the (including myself) even if one of those verify. Thanks for posting! I will take any of the ones that have my area in purple or pink. First "Spread the wealth" look of the entire season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Getting harder and harder to have any excitement for this pattern. We need to shift that Eastern Canadian vortex west by a good 500 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Weeklies have major retrogression past ~2/10 as the EPO ridge redevelops and the mean trough backs to the plains region. A decent sign for increased storminess past ~2/5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Those Euro ensembles are a sign of hope for many of us in the subforum. Will the northern or southern stream be dominant with this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 5:25 PM, Whitelakeroy said: And now the massive arctic blast is looking to be a fail! LOL Yep ... where did that massive arctic blast ever go??? While it may get a bit cold in the beginning of Feb. it is no where as cold as all the models & their ensembles were showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 10:19 PM, Whitelakeroy said: Yep ... where did that massive arctic blast ever go??? While it may get a bit cold in the beginning of Feb. it is no where as cold as all the models & their ensembles were showing. At some point it will show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 11:50 PM, Baum said: At some point it will show. massive snow pack being laid down this weekend should "help" matters also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'd imagine models will continue to flip flop over the next few days with so much going on in the NE Pacific. But next weekend holds some potential across the Lakes and again over the East Coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Question is did the Super Bowl storm establish a new pattern for the back half of winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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