CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Icy for Dendrite. Dam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 HRRR snowfall through 1am... Simulated radar and p-type... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Warm front progress... Granted these are not official, they get the point across. Over the last hour I have been occasionally monitoring, and we can clearly see over the last hour the advancing warm intrusion, as the 40+ isotherm and climbing has displaced the rough distance between the black and red annotations below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Icy for Dendrite. Dam.Tab toggle time http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2015-01-18-095906.jpg http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2015-01-18-122627.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Mod rain, 35f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The end approaches. 30.8/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 12Z NAM had me at 31-32F by 1pm. It's currently 22.5F and actually dopping a bit over the past 10 minutes. It'll eventually go above 32F, but it'll be a few extra hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 light to moderate freezing rain 23.5F temp rise 3-4F past hour. Interestingly in a 23F weather there are no drips off trees or roof. Everything just coats. Fog is rolling over the snowcover which is something I have also never seen at temps so far below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The gift that keeps on giving. The wx we had at ChristmasPF looks to do fine as you expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 12Z NAM had me at 31-32F by 1pm. It's currently 22.5F and actually dopping a bit over the past 10 minutes. It'll eventually go above 32F, but it'll be a few extra hours. You've got the same temp as MWN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 PF looks to do fine as you expectedNever was a doubt about that. A fresh 12+ for him. It's his winter. Kind of his own private kingdom while the other 5 states just rot away till spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 It's kind of funny how BOX didn't have a zr advisory up for most of the region this morning and they have now had to extend it, albeit likely primarily sheltered areas. 31.1/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Never was a doubt about that. A fresh 12+ for him. It's his winter. Kind of his own private kingdom while the other 5 states just rot away till spring Absolutely miserable. Even though I have snow on the ground, that photo from Bob up there pretty much sums it up for most. Steady light rain and 41F. I expect to see what is left of my crappy, crusty-azz snow gone sometime today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Absolutely miserable. Even though I have snow on the ground, that photo from Bob up there pretty much sums it up for most. Steady light rain and 41F. I expect to see what is left of my crappy, crusty-azz snow gone sometime today. . Happy new year! Should clean up more leaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Never was a doubt about that. A fresh 12+ for him. It's his winter. Kind of his own private kingdom while the other 5 states just rot away till spring You're forecasting with emotion again VT was due to do well relative to the rest of New England at some point. What's your snow surplus over the past 4-5 winters? We've been in deficit. But climo wise, it's not pretty without a negative NAO, but we can survive it better than areas to the SE. We aren't above normal, we are right where normal is. Everyone else is so far below normal though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 I'm sitting on my deck watching a pretty nice disaster on my street.... about a dozen cars all spun out pointing different directions. Nobody can make it up the gradual incline. This happens maybe every 3-4 years or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 You're forecasting with emotion again VT was due to do well relative to the rest of New England at some point. What's your snow surplus over the past 4-5 winters? We've been in deficit. But climo wise, it's not pretty without a negative NAO, but we can survive it better than areas to the SE. We aren't above normal, we are right where normal is. Everyone else is so far below normal though. The difference is though that in a bad winter you can still snow and at least count on some upslope. Most of the rest of the region needs synoptic snow and if we lose that like this year.. There's just no way to make up those deficits with a 1-3 inch event every other week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The difference is though that in a bad winter you can still snow and at least count on some upslope. Most of the rest of the region needs synoptic snow and if we lose that like this year.. There's just no way to make up those deficits with a 1-3 inch event every other week Called climo my friend. Accept it. Hopefully the VT resorts can get mostly snow. No need to muck up the skiing there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Some noticeable icing has occurred on some of the power lines and trees. 31.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Is the timing of this ahead of schedule? I can't read models etc so looking for some help in regards to the Pats game. Everything I have read and seen on TV targeted the second 1/2 of the game for the heaviest rain and only drizzle/showers until then. Radar looks very impressive right now and although still too the West of Foxboro...not by much. Just curious if anyone has any thoughts on the timeline and if it has changed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The difference is though that in a bad winter you can still snow and at least count on some upslope. Most of the rest of the region needs synoptic snow and if we lose that like this year.. There's just no way to make up those deficits with a 1-3 inch event every other weekYeah it's just bad luck. We had really bad luck during the Leon train last year. It was cutter then -20F (and SNE snowstorm), then cutter, then -20F (and SNE snowstorm). You still have two months left. Late January is when the frustration really hits. You guys had to block Eyewall and myself last year in the last week of January when Philly had it's 5th warning event while we couldn't even get an Advisory snowfall to come along. Re-read 2013 January thread, everyone lost it that last week, then a huge blizzard hit. Later January is when folks seem to lose it, even though you know there are weeks and weeks left of potential. That's when I really went off the deep end last year. But Feb 14-March 30 was a sweet 6-week period even after I melted down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 Called climo my friend. Accept it. Hopefully the VT resorts can get mostly snow. No need to muck up the skiing there. Its not too much to at least except some snow in a cold pattern. Especially when forecasts all called for a big winter. There isn't 1 person that posts here that went into this winter thinking we'd threaten records for least snow amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 My yard looks like a swamp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 LSR out of Taunton has numerous traffic incedents near Springfield Mass. Weather Underground station still has 29.5 right near downtown at 118 feet elevation. Most of the valley floor below 250 feet elevation including me are still under freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Called climo my friend. Accept it. Hopefully the VT resorts can get mostly snow. No need to muck up the skiing there. I'm still not sold on total amounts. Folks on here handing out 12"+ congrats...but I'm leaning like 3-4" at home, maybe up to 12" if it breaks right at high elevation. But 4-7" might be the middle ground for 1,000-2,500ft. I'm just always skeptical of big 6-hrly QPF amounts of like 1"+...that can often tame down as the time comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 Yeah it's just bad luck. We had really bad luck during the Leon train last year. It was cutter then -20F (and SNE snowstorm), then cutter, then -20F (and SNE snowstorm). You still have two months left. Late January is when the frustration really hits. You guys had to block Eyewall and myself last year in the last week of January when Philly had it's 5th warning event while we couldn't even get an Advisory snowfall to come along. Re-read 2013 January thread, everyone lost it that last week, then a huge blizzard hit. Later January is when folks seem to lose it, even though you know there are weeks and weeks left of potential. That's when I really went off the deep end last year. But Feb 14-March 30 was a sweet 6-week period even after I melted down. Well what bothers me and I've said it befire is those posts in December saying it's not Climo to snow in SNE and not to worry etc etc. this year proves my point to the 10th degree that if you waste Dec and expect January to turn around that you play with fire. As you get later in Mid and late Feb you start fighting other issues like higher sun angle etc.. So it's absolutely imperative to start getting some good snow falls in Dec. I'm sure some will post "tell that to 95-96", but if Decembers are pissed away, chances are that winter is not going to be one to remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 24F moderate freezing rain and a bit of sleet. My dirt road is now glare ice, impossible to travel. I'm sure they are treating the main roads but 2 days of below 10F and then freezing rain is very impactful. Trees are getting that ice look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 24F moderate freezing rain and a bit of sleet. My dirt road is now glare ice, impossible to travel. I'm sure they are treating the main roads but 2 days of below 10F and then freezing rain is very impactful. Trees are getting that ice look. I thought I heard some pings off of the pellet vent pipe about 30 mins ago too. Up to 24.2F as the steady ZR continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 At mht airport now. Never seen worse travel in 6 years in nh. 127 to 89 to 93. A mess the entire way 24F moderate freezing rain and a bit of sleet. My dirt road is now glare ice, impossible to travel. I'm sure they are treating the main roads but 2 days of below 10F and then freezing rain is very impactful. Trees are getting that ice look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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