dendrite Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 5:41 PM, dryslot said: Low looks to track LI to ACK to the tip of NSCan't really use the mean here. I think we're gonna rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 5:47 PM, dendrite said: Can't really use the mean here. I think we're gonna rain. image.jpg Don't think that has been in question here, My focus is NW Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 5:50 PM, dryslot said: Don't think that has been in question here, My focus is NW MaineAh. Gotchya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Have a feeling the 12z Euro goes east some this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 5:52 PM, dendrite said: Ah. Gotchya. I have a trip planned next weekend up there................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 5:36 PM, powderfreak said: The low isn't that strong to begin with. It's all upper level trough axis. It has nothing to do with it being a bomb of a storm. It's UL trough. The new GGEM is 1003mb over ORH. That's weak and still fairly west. It's all about the trough. Rev what do you have to say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 PF ain't raining in this setup, sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2015 Author Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 5:56 PM, N. OF PIKE said: Rev what do you have to say? I've already said it. He's getting snow and a lot of it..and I think he knows that. And the ones that want the snow in areas that haven't had much aren't getting much except at the tail end. Take one your of masseuse trips up to the mountains and find some legs to massage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 5:57 PM, Ginxy said: PF ain't raining in this setup, sorry I would bet against it...but I'm not sure you can discount it. I see scenarios where it can happen. 00z Euro was pretty close actually. We'll see what 12z does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 5:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: I would bet against it...but I'm not sure you can discount it. I see scenarios where it can happen. 00z Euro was pretty close actually. We'll see what 12z does. I would, maybe an initial freezing drizzle but straight rain, nah. this is bombing and crashing heights as it moves NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 12z Euro is east of 0z a couple tics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Euro is weak sauce too...not nearly as dynamic as some of these other solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2015 Author Share Posted January 16, 2015 Shocking news..that models were overamped and too far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:06 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Shocking news..that models were overamped and too far west You still going with 1-3" of heavy wet snow on the back side in SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:06 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Shocking news..that models were overamped and too far west Could that change again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Not at a computer today, How is this looking for the White mtns? I'll be in North Conway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2015 Author Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:07 PM, ORH_wxman said: You still going with 1-3" of heavy wet snow on the back side in SNE? Yes I'm still thinking we flip to snow in the interior with 1-2. My thoughts have remained the same.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:06 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro is weak sauce too...not nearly as dynamic as some of these other solutions. Could see it early on at H5 as it was further north with the trough then 0z, Weaker solutions will have this track east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yes I'm still thinking we flip to snow in the interior with 1-2. My thoughts have remained the same.. You are gonna want an amped system then...you aren't getting a flip to snow with a weak sauce frontal wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:08 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Not at a computer today, How is this looking for the White mtns? I'll be in North Conway. Probably rain initially and then a flip to snow there...they are in an area that could see like a C-1" or possibly several inches of snow...close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:08 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Not at a computer today, How is this looking for the White mtns? I'll be in North Conway. dont worry it will change until game time, its strong, its weak, its east its west. 12 Z GFS smokes the Whites, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2015 Author Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:08 PM, Ginxy said: Could that change again? Probably not no. We're too close in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:08 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Not at a computer today, How is this looking for the White mtns? I'll be in North Conway. You would like the GFS to be right for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Does the 12Z Euro still show decent snows for VT ski areas, or does it not throw enough QPF back that way? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:10 PM, Ginxy said: dont worry it will change until game time, its strong, its weak, its east its west. 12 Z GFS smokes the Whites, That really is the scenario in play right now with these runs unless we get that trough to dig for oil further east and develop the low sooner, Doubtful at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:10 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Probably not no. We're too close in now. Meh , models having issues with this one, I'm still on the glorified fropa bus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:13 PM, Ginxy said: Meh , models having issues with this one, I'm still on the glorified fropa bus At this juncture give me the 06z GFS scenario, No loss in the mtns and minimal damage here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:13 PM, sankaty said: Does the 12Z Euro still show decent snows for VT ski areas, or does it not throw enough QPF back that way? Thanks. Its maybe about a half inch of qpf for the Greens now. Prob like a 4-6" type paste event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 On 1/16/2015 at 6:13 PM, sankaty said: Does the 12Z Euro still show decent snows for VT ski areas, or does it not throw enough QPF back that way? Thanks. The zone of appreciable snowfall will be real narrow but verbatim we could do 3-6" on the EURO with around a half inch QPF total. The upslope in NVT could be the main event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Lol at the wishcasting by some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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