Drz1111 Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 Champi is gorgeously annular. Textbook. Reminds me of a slightly weaker Luis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fergal Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Not strictly West Pacific but Tropical Cyclone Chapala has become hurricane - strength in just 24 hours, faster than Patricia. It is heading for the Oman/Yemen border as a Cat 3/4 on Saturday. https://irishweatheronline.wordpress.com/2015/10/29/tropical-cyclone-chapala-intensifying-and-heading-for-arabian-peninsula/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Unprecedented if it hits Yemen at hurricane strength. I don't think there has been any cane hits there. The only precedent I could find was of a minimal TS that caused 180 deaths due to floods in 2008. And that's it, no other cyclones on record that made landfall there. Of course, the records for that area are not very complete and rather recent (1992 to date). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted October 30, 2015 Author Share Posted October 30, 2015 It's really ramping up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 GFS is right at the border between Oman and Yemen, and the Euro west of the border (Yemen) by at least 60-80 miles. Shear shouldn't be a problem as westerlies are forecasted to stay above 17N. SSTs average around 29C for most of the projected track. Just steady west to west-northwest until landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Al Ghaydah is the main population center around the forecasted landfall area. Population is around 100k. On the Oman side, Salalah is the more populous city near the Yemen border (2nd most populated in Oman) with a population around 200k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Typhoon In-Fa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 What an easy category 5 storm to predict. That thing is going to go bonkers. Light shear, compact core and 30° SSTs. Shouldn't take long for rapid intensification to reach maximum potential. Sent from my LG G4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted November 19, 2015 Author Share Posted November 19, 2015 I generally agree that In-fa is about to go crazy, but I do have one hesitation, and it's the size of the core believe it or not. In 2009, Super Typhoon Parma had an extremely small core somewhat similar to this one. It bombed out initially, but then the core basically collapsed in on itself. I'm not sure if we'll see the same thing here, but it could be something to watch for. Just as an interesting side fact, Parma '09 ended up being retired. In-fa is the name that replaced it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 This is going to absolutely explode. The core is so incredibly wound up for a 75 knot TY. This should be able to peak around 140~ Can't wait for the dowstream influence once this recurves OTS. Might have pattern implications like STY Nuri 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted November 19, 2015 Author Share Posted November 19, 2015 The hot tower in the eastern eyewall is pretty ludicrous. http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=himawari-8/himawari-8_band_03_sector_04&width=1020&height=720&number_of_images_to_display=48&loop_speed_ms=100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Looks like the eye is really starting to clear out now and very cold tops are getting that symmetrical look in the CDO. I'll really be surprised if this doesn't end up a 140kt+ super typhoon. Sent from my LG G4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Love this wavelength Sent from my SM-G925V Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Here's radar out of Guam. Intense echoes in the north and eastern eyewall. Sent from my LG G4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted December 13, 2015 Author Share Posted December 13, 2015 This Typhoon Season started early with a typhoon approaching the Philippines, so I guess it's fitting that it ends late the same way it began. Typhoon Melor looks like it might be rapidly intensifying too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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