Chinook Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 If this type of rapid intensification happened in the Atlantic, there would be quite a bit of talk about it. JTWC's prognostic reasoning for Tyhoon Goni (Warning #13). Wind increased from 63 mph to 132 mph in a day. TY GONI IS UNDERGOING RAPID INTENSIFICATION (RI), INCREASING APPROXIMATELY 60 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS FROM 55 KNOTS AT 16/00Z TO THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 115 KNOTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Looks like once Atsani becomes extratropical it is going to bring quite a surge of warm air to western Alaska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 19, 2015 Share Posted August 19, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/16W/imagery/avn_lalo-animated.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Amazing recovery by typhoon Goni, I can't post a longer loop but it had zero semblance of an eye just a few frames before the loop I posted above. Of course our old (and missed) friend Josh is there recording all the action in Ishigaki. There's a cool video on Facebook of the eye from the ground of one of the Japanese Islands and the lowest recorded pressure so far that I saw was 947mb and highest recorded gust so far was 132 mph. The JMA and JTWC currently have it at 80 and 90 Knots respectively which is likely a gross underestimation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 I agree mob1, Goni has intensified rapidly over the past few hours and we can only pray for the islands in its way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Ishigakijima just reported sustained winds of 45m/s (100mph) and wind gust of 70m/s (156mph)! That's exactly where Josh is right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop_timestamp.asp?data_folder=himawari-8%2Fhimawari-8_band_03_sector_04&width=1020&height=720&ending_image=himawari-8_band_03_sector_04_20150823083200.gif&starting_image=himawari-8_band_03_sector_04_20150823003200.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Josh recorded mid 940's. He kept telling me in the 950's but that was with his kestrel on hand. Had the correct readings on his other one in the room. He says it has been one hell of a storm. Still have been able to communicate with him even with the ferocity of the storm. Crazy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Anyone know of any skycam links for TC Goni? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Goni is one intense storm that is for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted August 23, 2015 Author Share Posted August 23, 2015 The jetstreak upstream of Goni is providing some excellent mass removal for the tropical cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 https://m.facebook.com/Westpacwx/photos/a.412167868817644.97385.159977594036674/1023281881039570/?type=1&source=48&refid=17&_ft_=top_level_post_id.1023281881039570&__tn__=E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 A video from inside the eye https://www.facebook.com/reiko.hamaya/videos/921314711262523/?hc_location=ufi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Goni is gaining forward speed to the NNE which is abating negative effects of vertical wind shear. If anything, Goni is intensifying some. Inevitably, Goni will succumb to shear, but that doesn't look to be the case until after Kyushu has its strongest landfalling typhoon in many years as time is running out for significant weakening prior to landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Impressive... Does anyone recall a typhoon this strong hitting Japan in recent memory? These radar echoes in the eyewall are super intense right now: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted August 24, 2015 Author Share Posted August 24, 2015 Yeah, Goni has about run out of time to weaken. Cloud tops have even cooled some over the past few hours. Radar echoes in the eyewall have also strengthened, although at least some of that can probably be attributed to land friction. Goni has been camping out upstream of a jet streak ever since it started strengthening again near Taiwan, and the mass removal this jet streak has provided likely has been integral to Goni maintaining a higher intensity on approach to Kyushu. Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted August 24, 2015 Author Share Posted August 24, 2015 Impressive... Does anyone recall a typhoon this strong hitting Japan in recent memory? These radar echoes in the eyewall are super intense right now: goni_landfall3.png I know Japan had some majors make landfall in 2004, but I couldn't tell you off the top of my head if any have made landfall there at category three or above since then. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 98 mph wind gust reported at Makurazaki. They were just outside the eastern eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 I know Japan had some majors make landfall in 2004, but I couldn't tell you off the top of my head if any have made landfall there at category three or above since then. Sent from my iPhone The last legitimate Category 3 at landfall I could find was Yancy in 1993. Looks like a lot of majors have weakened just prior to hitting Japan, including that 2004 season. Edit: My bad. Looks like Typhoon Ma-on was the last Cat 3 when it made landfall in eastern Japan. That was in fact in 2004. So there we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Per radar, looks like Goni has made landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted August 24, 2015 Author Share Posted August 24, 2015 If it hasn't yet, it's awfully close. JTWC kept Goni at 110 kt at 18Z, so it is/will be a high-end category 3 landfall, and only 5 kt less than Yancy's landfall intensity from 1993. You could even make an argument for a 115 kt category 4 if you go by JMA since their 95 kt 10-minute sustained winds equate to T6.0 for them. Regardless, Goni is the strongest landfalling typhoon in Japan in many years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 That during the eye video is cool. Does anyone have any videos or damage reports from Goni? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted August 24, 2015 Author Share Posted August 24, 2015 Akune made it down to 948 mb in their hourly obs. They were probably pretty close to the eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 The flooding in Japan is awful. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-34205879 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted September 15, 2015 Author Share Posted September 15, 2015 Tropical Storm Krovanh was just named earlier today, but it is already looking impressive. I have a feeling it could continue to spin up quickly. I'm also throwing up a couple of Himawari-8 self-updating images in the original post, just because. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 Tropical Storm Dujuan may intensify to a Cat-4 before moving towards northern Taiwan as a 95-kt typhoon (as per JTWC forecast). Taiwan has already had enough problems this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted September 26, 2015 Author Share Posted September 26, 2015 Dujuan is really strengthening now. Forecasts have the typhoon plowing straight into Taiwan now, and with it following the ridge axis south of the mid-latitude westerly shear, this could be a big time landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 26, 2015 Share Posted September 26, 2015 Dujuan is really strengthening now. Forecasts have the typhoon plowing straight into Taiwan now, and with it following the ridge axis south of the mid-latitude westerly shear, this could be a big time landfall. Euro looks like it beat the GFS on this one. Looks similar to the Soudelor now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Here is an amazing visible satellite image of Typhoon Dujuan. This has intensified to a category 4 typhoon (115 knots) 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 259 NM SOUTH OFKADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIXHOURS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A HIGHLY SYMMETRIC DEEP CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WITH VERY GOOD BANDING WRAPPING INTO A 33 NM EYE; SUPPORTING THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. A 261750Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A NEARLY CLOSED OFF MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE SURROUNDED BY AN INTENSE CONVECTIVE CORE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 115 KNOTS BASED ON AN ASSESSMENT OF DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM KNES AND PGTW AS WELL AS THE BETTER SYMMETRY OF THE SYSTEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.