mranger48 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 What a mess Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Sounds like it's a real mess down there. Luckily its not one of those storms where we have to worry about power outages...but this is kinda nuts, especially down in the city where they cancelled the advisory a few hours ago. Oops! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Got up around 7:45 am and as I was getting dressed to play in our weekly soccer match, I looked outside and it looked like it might be a little icy, so I went out around 8 am to check and nearly fell on the sheet of ice that is on my driveway - and sidewalks and side streets - even the moderately traveled street we live on was icy on the shoulders, but passable in the center (it's one of those 25 mph local 2-lane streets, but does get some traffic). Way worse than it looked from the window, lol. Main roads and treated roads should be fine given enough traffic. Just went outside again and it's still pretty bad - right at 32F, but the ground is frozen - the local street in front of my house is starting to improve a bit, presumably from traffic (and some insolation now that the sun is up). I know it's dangerous, but it's also a little fun - took a running start and was able to slide about 30 feet on the street in front of my house (there was no traffic at that moment - I'm not that dumb, lol). Can't imagine driving on this anywhere it's not melting yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Luckily its not one of those storms where we have to worry about power outages...but this is kinda nuts, especially down in the city where they cancelled the advisory a few hours ago. Oops!As you know, it only takes a couple of minutes of freezing rain to cause quite the hazardous conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Just imagine the disaster this would've been had it occurred tomorrow morning instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The heaviest rains are going to be coming right over the MMU area, quite a bit West of where most modeling had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Temps inching up now at 31 degrees....have had 0.11" of precip...temp was still as low as 21 at 4 am so ground pretty frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Up to 28F and ZR. Think we get 0.25" plus here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 NWS busts again for the city. Busting on everything this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertgny Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 What did I tell you folks last night....I told you talk about this event.You guys were ignoring freezing rain. Come on folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Just imagine the disaster this would've been had it occurred tomorrow morning instead. Tomorrow's a holiday. But on a normal weekday it definitely would've been worse, I'm actually surprised it's this bad on a Sunday. Luckily there's none of that frozen crap out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Just imagine the disaster this would've been had it occurred tomorrow morning instead. I was thinking the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Tomorrow's a holiday. Yeah I forgot though I know many people don't have off tomorrow. Okay then Tuesday morning. This storm and the radar is actually quite impressive. Models kept ticking totals upward and now I suspect many places will get at least 2" or rain if not more from this quick hitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 the gfs model still had a storm. You can knit pick and say it was just off shore. Nailed the storm under 3 days. Most people only care about weather 24 hrs out. Make a call to friend in the Philly area if you have any. They are getting a serious ice storm. Most forecast were for all rain event as of last night. Talk about a bad forecast. Not one model had anywhere near the temps that showed up this morning, at least down here. This was a huge model failure, you can't blame the mets on this one. Even the Euro **** the bed on this one. Just a really bad situation all the way around. Nobody was prepared here at all. Numerous fatals too down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertgny Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Not one model had anywhere near the temps that showed up this morning, at least down here. This was a huge model failure, you can't blame the mets on this one. Even the Euro **** the bed on this one. Just a really bad situation all the way around. Nobody was prepared here at all. Numerous fatals too down here. false comment HRRR was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 false comment HRRR was right. Hrr only goes out 15 hrs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 false comment HRRR was right.Wrong, now that I took a second look, the only single model that actually showed this, at least down here was the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Hrr only goes out 15 hrs lolI shouldn't even answer him his comment is so bad, lol. He should at least know what he's talking about before he accuses people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertgny Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Wrong, now that I took a second look, the only single model that actually showed this, at least down here was the RGEM. the 4z run was spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Ice (Larchmont, New York): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Most highly impactful event we had this winter so far....70 accidents on the turnpike this morning...saving grace was it being Sunday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertgny Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Most highly impactful event we had this winter so far....70 accidents on the turnpike this morning...saving grace was it being Sunday morning yep bad ice storm hitting nyc right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Was late to work where I'm in charge of snow removal because I had no freaking clue this would happen. The whole Columbia Barnard campus is a complete disaster. Sheet of ice everyone's scrambling. So yeah upton definitely screwed this one up. I should have known personally but I'm just getting used to the weather in upper manhattan with a little bit of elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Not one model had anywhere near the temps that showed up this morning, at least down here. This was a huge model failure, you can't blame the mets on this one. Even the Euro **** the bed on this one. Just a really bad situation all the way around. Nobody was prepared here at all. Numerous fatals too down here. Awful news on fatal accidents. Likely nws will get heat. No mention of ice in the forecast as of bed time last night. Need to stop relying on models and go back to basics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Man, this is awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 whoever was responsible for cancelling the freezing rain advisory should be written up and or fired http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KOKX/1501180833.wwus41.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Noticed that Central Park's temps have been above freezing since 1 am (33-35) while LGA of all places, was below...problem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Two quick thoughts on the ice: 1. Even as some areas had readings near or just above freezing, ice resulted. This was probably because the ground temperature was < 32°, as surface temperatures are measured at 2 meters above the ground. 2. The coverage of ice is a big coup for the HRRR model and that model was growing more aggressive with the ice as it moved closer to the event. Two images from earlier runs of that model: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Lol Hrrr model becomes king (for the day) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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