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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion


PrinceFrederickWx
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11 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Ofc Dover radar is down again lol.

Pretty much status quo for that site.

 

Pixie dust now in Easton. Just cleaned off the cars, probably 1.5". Hoping to get to 3" but radar is not looking very exciting for the midshore. Hopefully our DE friends can score this afternoon.

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Just now, SnowtoRain said:

Pretty much status quo for that site.

 

Pixie dust now in Easton. Just cleaned off the cars, probably 1.5". Hoping to get to 3" but radar is not looking very exciting for the midshore. Hopefully our DE friends can score this afternoon.

The HRRR has picked up on the zone of nothingness that didn't seem to be present on any model I looked at this morning. Looks like the best forcing will shift over towards DE this afternoon. Hopefully we will get in on the edge of that. Latest HRRR halved snow totals for my yard lol.

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4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

The HRRR has picked up on the zone of nothingness that didn't seem to be present on any model I looked at this morning. Looks like the best forcing will shift over towards DE this afternoon. Hopefully we will get in on the edge of that. Latest HRRR halved snow totals for my yard lol.

We seem to always maximize the zone of nothingness during these events.

You might be able to get on the back edge this afternoon, I think I am a bit too far southwest, but a lot of time for things to unfold still.

Hopefully we can get at least one true southern slider where we are not sitting on the edges.

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8 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said:

We seem to always maximize the zone of nothingness during these events.

You might be able to get on the back edge this afternoon, I think I am a bit too far southwest, but a lot of time for things to unfold still.

Hopefully we can get at least one true southern slider where we are not sitting on the edges.

The late south trend on guidance is going to bust. NS systems rarely work out here. The places that were progged to get the best lift over the last several days are are getting it. My wag is the forcing for this afternoon will be less expansive than guidance is depicting, and probably not as impressive as what is occurring over  N central MD now.

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5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

The late south trend on guidance is going to bust. NS systems rarely work out here. The places that were progged to get the best lift over the last several days are are getting it. My wag is the forcing for this afternoon will be less expansive than guidance is depicting, and probably not as impressive as what is occurring over  N central MD now.

Agreed, but definitely still a south trend,  I was initially <1.0". Radar is filling in some down to Federicksburg, VA so hopefully some development happens down to st marys and calvert, which usually is a good indicator for Talbot. Looks like cross hairs fron Annapolis to Marydel with the heaviest band coming across now.

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14 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said:

Pixie dust ++ now, looks like decent rates about to cone through from wye mills to ridgely.  Heaviest still queen annes north, Chestertown definately the place to be for this one.

Based on the 'trends', Mount Holly upped the totals for my area this morning to 3-5" from 1-3. Maybe 3 is doable. We'll see.

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40 minutes ago, CAPE said:

The late south trend on guidance is going to bust. NS systems rarely work out here. The places that were progged to get the best lift over the last several days are are getting it. My wag is the forcing for this afternoon will be less expansive than guidance is depicting, and probably not as impressive as what is occurring over  N central MD now.

I'm not even sure the WWA is going to verify here, snow stopped and it's already melting. I last measured 0.6"

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