PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, Wxdavis5784 said: @PrinceFrederickWx this is my last winter down here... My wife and I sold our home over in PF last summer and we are building a new home just south of Hanover, PA. I work from home 85% of the time and most of my clients are actually in Charm City. Of course I will miss my home, but mom still lives in Charlotte Hall, so I will be visiting frequently still. Funny- I may possibly be moving away in a few years too, and southern PA was an area we’ve considered. How far I can move depends on what my permanent percentage of telework is though, which I’m not gonna fully know until next year. Proximity to relatives is also a factor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 10 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Funny- I may possibly be moving away in a few years too, and southern PA was an area we’ve considered. How far I can move depends on what my permanent percentage of telework is though, which I’m not gonna fully know until next year. Proximity to relatives is also a factor. My wife and I just fell in love with the Hanover area. So much so we were like, let’s move! Kids are even on board, mostly because I sold them on more snow lol. They are just like their old man, haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, Wxdavis5784 said: My wife and I just fell in love with the Hanover area. So much so we were like, let’s move! Kids are even on board, mostly because I sold them on more snow lol. They are just like their old man, haha. Sounds like my boys! They love the snow too. This will be my youngest son’s first snowstorm- I wonder what he’s going to think of it. Sadly, baby’s first winter last year was a dud. His baby book actually has a section to fill in for “my first snowstorm” - hopefully that gets filled soon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 He’s gonna love it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 posted in many sub, but relevant here, current projections fairly even, once the coastal is better modeled this will change 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Still can't count on the coastal actually doing anything for us. It's a very chaotic/sensitive setup where popping the low and closed H5 circulation a bit earlier and further south like the Euro and RGEM allows us to cash in on some of it -- or a little later and further north where it can't help us (like the NAM). 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 28 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Still can't count on the coastal actually doing anything for us. It's a very chaotic/sensitive setup where popping the low and closed H5 circulation a bit earlier and further south like the Euro and RGEM allows us to cash in on some of it -- or a little later and further north where it can't help us (like the NAM). Agreed- all I care about is that front end / WAA first half. Let the northern crew obsess over the coastal deathbands in the main thread. Are you still thinking late morning Sunday is when the good stuff arrives? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 11 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Agreed- all I care about is that front end / WAA first half. Let the northern crew obsess over the coastal deathbands in the main thread. Are you still thinking late morning Sunday is when the good stuff arrives? You gotta admit it’s comical watching the weenies live and die by each run... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 27 minutes ago, Wxdavis5784 said: You gotta admit it’s comical watching the weenies live and die by each run... Honestly it comes full circle 4 or 5 days ago we were having similar solutions with the coastal crushing the Northern part of our forum and then the suppression started, everyone (psu et al) panicked and now we are back where we started. I said 1"-4", snow to rain to dry slot for our sub forum at large a few days ago and these diamond hands are sticking with that. We might get some upside with WAA for Charles, St Mary's, and Calvert, but here on the shore the bar is at 4" for midshore and @Lowershoresadness the bar is seven snowflakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 CMC is niiicee. Shame its the CMCSent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Agreed- all I care about is that front end / WAA first half. Let the northern crew obsess over the coastal deathbands in the main thread. Are you still thinking late morning Sunday is when the good stuff arrives? Yeah, primetime between 14 and 21z, shift that up an hour or two for places further east/north. Thermals get shaky from south to north after that, though it might rip right up through changeover. I'm thinking diabatic cooling keeps the warm wedge at bay until the rates relax and the dry slot starts to nose in and then the changeover will be really fast. Key question will be how quick the morning stuff gets going. Earlier the better, as that sets us up nicely for column saturation and gives a decent powdery base to accumulate on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Euro throwing us a bit of a bone with the coastal and gets some wraparound in here late Monday into Tues. Not a ton, but seeing it cave towards the GEM isn't something I really expected. Might be able to eek out the butt end of a ccb band after all. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 I can confirm that the California Walmart is a madhouse this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
m045400 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Well, headed up to the barn to start my snowblower. I haven't had to use it for two years. I hope she starts! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, m045400 said: Well, headed up to the barn to start my snowblower. I haven't had to use it for two years. I hope she starts! Brave man. Mine is in the back of the "shed" under my porch and I won't even look at it until Monday evening at the earliest. Haven't seen it since 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Forecast wise not much has changed for our region it seems, best WAA Charles, N. St Mary's and Calvert with less totals farther north and east. Most of our snow will come then so hopefully we can capitalize on some more moisture at the beginning. Biggest boom or bust is @CAPE and @JakkelWx neighborhood. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 hour ago, SnowtoRain said: Forecast wise not much has changed for our region it seems, best WAA Charles, N. St Mary's and Calvert with less totals farther north and east. Most of our snow will come then so hopefully we can capitalize on some more moisture at the beginning. Biggest boom or bust is @CAPE and @JakkelWx neighborhood. 12z Euro was pretty sweet. If it and the CMC are more correct than the GFS, we should all be pretty happy. Biggest issue will be temps after the thump- mid to upper 30s for a few hours isn't too bad with some light rain falling, but the GFS likes low 40s and even has some heavy rain before the cold comes back in. Hopefully its wrong and wont get that warm for that long, but we know how that goes with a developing coastal low and stiff east winds off the Atlantic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 I wonder if there’s any chance of significant ice late Sunday evening? I see LWX called for 0.1” ice in the WSW for Calvert and St Mary’s. We don’t seem to do ice much here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: I wonder if there’s any chance of significant ice late Sunday evening? I see LWX called for 0.1” ice in the WSW for Calvert and St Mary’s. We don’t seem to do ice much here though. Not really seeing that. Better chance of something after it cools down Mon night -- but even that would be freezing drizzle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 this is a classic miller F as in I'm F'd down this way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 25.7/16.3, one thing we do well is radiational cooling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Good luck everyone, I hope the WAA treats us well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 Looking like the usual Miller B areas are gonna jackpot from the coastal (big surprise amirite?) Going all in on the WAA here Temp/dew both continue to rise though (not sure if that’s good or bad). Currently up to 31/23 and it was 28/19 a few hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just means the air is moistening up. But if it keeps going they will drop the WSW and put out heat advisories... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snow starting in Easton, 30.9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 Seems like a bit of an underperformer so far- not sticking to roads or sidewalks here either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snowing good in Millsboro, DESent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Roads are starting to cave, probably closing in on 0.5". Snow has been pretty moderate for the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I forgot how nice the crunch of snow sounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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