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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion


PrinceFrederickWx
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9 minutes ago, SlowerLowerDE said:

We needed this rain badly and I am thankful that we got it.  When I saw the radar yesterday evening showing a warm river of rain being pulled directly out of the gulf I knew that a lot of people were going to be disappointed with their "snowstorm."  Onto Spring.  

Your January storm was pretty awesome.  We road tripped down to OC for that one.  Good times.

If anyone down that way gets a look at the beaches, I would be interested in hearing how they are doing regarding erosion.

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Back end fun? I've never seen LWX split Calvert for a WWA but they just did, with my area being right around the cutoff. I can't imagine 1-2" being able to stick at this point though.

 

Quote

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
715 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017


MDZ018-141800-
/O.EXA.KLWX.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-170314T1800Z/
Calvert-
715 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington has
issued a Winter Weather Advisory for sleet, freezing rain and snow,
which is in effect until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...Sleet and freezing rain changing to snow.

* ACCUMULATIONS...Freezing rain accumulation of around a tenth of
  an inch of ice. Snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches.

* TIMING...A mix of freezing rain and sleet will change to all
  snow by mid morning and continue until mid-day.

* IMPACTS...The snow and sleet will create slippery travel
  conditions.

* WINDS...North 15 to 25 mph with gusts around 40 to 45 mph.

* TEMPERATURES...In the low to mid 30s.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet, or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving.

 

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23 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Your January storm was pretty awesome.  We road tripped down to OC for that one.  Good times.

If anyone down that way gets a look at the beaches, I would be interested in hearing how they are doing regarding erosion.

I remember reading your posts.  Enjoyed seeing you and your lady on the OC boardwalk cam.  Fun times!

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1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Your January storm was pretty awesome.  We road tripped down to OC for that one.  Good times.

If anyone down that way gets a look at the beaches, I would be interested in hearing how they are doing regarding erosion.

That one storm made this wretched winter bearable. Who would have thunk it- the best pure snow event of the season for our region occurred at the beaches. Cold dry powder with drifting too. I had 2 great days at Rehoboth, then came home to 6" on the ground and that stuck around for 3 more days. I got a nice snow hike in at Tuckahoe. Good 5 day stretch of winter, and in early January to boot. But that was all she wrote.

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Hi southerners! As a friendly reminder, please be sure to stop into the Snow Totals thread and post your totals for the season! I have begun working on our end of year snow map, don't want to forget anyone!

Thank you!
Happy

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 3/23/2017 at 8:34 PM, mappy said:

Hi southerners! As a friendly reminder, please be sure to stop into the Snow Totals thread and post your totals for the season! I have begun working on our end of year snow map, don't want to forget anyone!

Thank you!
Happy

Here are some official totals from Mount Holly for the 1/7 storm for southern DE-

...SUSSEX COUNTY...

   OCEAN VIEW            13.5   625 PM  1/07  TRAINED SPOTTER

   SELBYVILLE            13.0   604 PM  1/07  TRAINED SPOTTER

   SEAFORD                9.0   550 PM  1/07  TRAINED SPOTTER

   LAUREL                 8.0   538 PM  1/07  DEOS

   ELLENDALE              6.6   537 PM  1/07  DEOS

   7 E SELBYVILLE         6.5   600 AM  1/08  COCORAHS

   STOCKLEY               6.2   537 PM  1/07  DEOS

   BRIDGEVILLE            6.1   538 PM  1/07  DEOS

   1 W MILLSBORO          6.1   800 AM  1/08  COCORAHS

   BLADES                 6.0   545 PM  1/07  TRAINED SPOTTER

   NASSAU                 5.8   600 PM  1/07  DEOS

 

I was in Rehoboth and there was unofficially 10" there for the 1/7 event. Lewes I thought I saw a report of 12" somewhere.

I don't have any official totals for the 1/30 event, but I know there was a 2-4" area in southern DE for that one.

Hope this helps!

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  • 8 months later...

From AKQ:

(snip)

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Attention turns to the srn stream system currently over SE TX
for tonight through Sat. The operational models have trended
toward a (slightly) more amplified system (the past 24
hours)...allowing more pcpn to be thrown back to the NW.

RA likely will be the dominant ptype in ern/SE VA and NE
NC...while SN is favor far NW. In between...the battle line will
be drawn (basically centered along a line from SBY-RIC-AVC). The
more amplified the system...the more potential for warming (in
the mid levels)...though w/ marginal thermal profile/cold air
in place...more QPF doesn`t necessarily mean more SN accum.

There are differences in thickness/thermal profiles from model
to model...and since there has been no cold air up until
now...any SN accums difficult to determine...and P-rate/SN-rate
likely to determine whether there is any impact on roads. The
arrival of the upper level system on Sat may be enough to aid in
cooling the column (w/ better UVM)...and bring a higher
potential for SN across the FA (esp from central VA to interior
lower SE MD).

For now...will be holding off on any winter headlines (after
coordination w/ nearby offices). Also...will have a rather wide
zone of mix RA/SN centered along a line from AVC-PTB/RIC-XSA-SBY
from tonight into Sat. Forecast SN accums 1-4 inches over the
piedmont in VA to far interior lower SE MD...up to 1 inch to an
EMV-PHF-OXB line. RA may mix w/ or end as little SN near the
coast in ern/SE VA and over NE NC as pcpn diminishes (W-E) Sat
afternoon through Sat evening. Cold but dry Sun w/ highs around
40F. (Lows Sat night m-u20s inland...l30s right at the coast in
SE VA-NE NC).
(snip)

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7 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Get a load of this guy:

I saw that. But when it comes to snow we are all greedy. 

I’ve  learned to live with things not ending the way I want them.  For example I’ve been an eagles fan my whole life and we’ve never won the super bowl. Oh well- maybe we get lucky and we all get snow. 

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Keep in mind, re: that GFS map, it's probably struggling with temps/p-type to produce those amounts in the Salisbury/Delmar area.  The QPF supports that kind of accumulation if p-types weren't a concern and the ground wasn't warm.  I think the calls for 2-5" I'm seeing scattered around by the regional mets seem pretty good.  @snowdude, what's your call?

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