Topher Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Latest LWX map expands it further north and west. I'm thinking WWA's might be issued for Calvert and St. Mary's at least? They were just issued a couple minutes after you posted that, and for 1-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Dont look at the 16z RAP...basically nada for SBY eta- 17z looks better, and its the extended RAP so its out of its range a tad. It also tends to run warm, but the warm temps going in and the short window are a concern. Temps will be an issue, but can the column cool with heavier rates? It's going to be a challenge and a close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Temps will be an issue, but can the column cool with heavier rates? It's going to be a challenge and a close call. Yup. The 5" on the Euro seems unlikely..thats the Boom potential with this. 1-2 seems doable. If the dynamics arent there, I could see it raining for hours as the temps slowly fall, with some mood fllakes at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 They were just issued a couple minutes after you posted that, and for 1-3 inches. LOL yeah I see that now. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 215 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016 MDZ017-018-050315- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0004.160205T0500Z-160205T1500Z/ ST. MARYS-CALVERT- 215 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW. * HAZARD TYPES...ACCUMULATING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES. * TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN DIMINISH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...ROADS MAY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 AKQ pulls the trigger (surprised, they're usually so conservative): URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA318 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016MDZ021>025-050430-/O.NEW.KAKQ.WW.Y.0003.160205T0500Z-160205T1800Z/DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY318 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO1 PM EST FRIDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE WHICH IS INEFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY.* AREAS AFFECTED: THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE* HAZARDS: RAIN WILL MIX WITH THEN CHANGE TO WET SNOW AFTERMIDNIGHT. THE WET SNOW WILL END AROUND NOON FRIDAY.* ACCUMULATIONS: 1 TO 3 INCHES....HIGHEST OVER DORCHESTER ANDWICOMICO COUNTIES.* TEMPERATURES: FALLING INTO THE LOWER 30S.* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH AT THECOAST.* IMPACTS: ROADS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY DUE TO THE WET SNOW.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOWWILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOWCOVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILEDRIVING.&&$44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 ok peeps how we looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Some models (RAP I think) were moving the bulls-eye west (bay to SOMD). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Some models (RAP I think) were moving the bulls-eye west (bay to SOMD). Not seeing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 21z RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Per 21z RAP, best accums still lower So MD and Eastern shore. Oddly this latest run has a local bulls eye over me lol. In general I think this aligns with the ongoing forecast of 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 21z RAP latest rap.png I think it was an earlier run of this map, the other one that follows looks ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 I love watching this map creep further and further towards us. This thread always reels them in for us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Just not happening for Lewes this winter boys. Little bit of a mix now but not rgem like snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Did anyone get... anything? The only LWX accumulating spotter reports I see are: ...CALVERT COUNTY... 2 NE DOWELL 0.7 733 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER ...ST. MARYS COUNTY... RIDGE 1.3 1004 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER 2 W CALIFORNIA 0.8 633 AM 2/05 TRAINED SPOTTER I didn't submit anything, but I'm guessing we had like 0.1" here or something overnight? It was raining and melting when I woke up, but there was still some snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Had a really wet inch or so, mostly on unpaved surfaces. Nasty, slushy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Long range models look snowy over the east coast except the shield over Sussex county looks to hold firm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Long range models look snowy over the east coast except the shield over Sussex county looks to hold firm The low over the SE moving up off the coast tomorrow and Monday may get close enough to get some snow into your area. Temps may be marginal though. Odds are sometime over the next 10 days you will get some snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 The low over the SE moving up off the coast tomorrow and Monday may get close enough to get some snow into your area. Temps may be marginal though. Odds are sometime over the next 10 days you will get some snow there. It would be nice to score a couple of inches. A very frustrating winter so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016020612/gfs_asnow_neus_17.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 so when's are next slop fest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 7, 2016 Author Share Posted February 7, 2016 I haven't paid much attention to this system, but I think the latest GFS run told everyone in this thread to go kill themselves lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I hate this winter. I hate the next 3 winters too. 2020 will be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 This upcoming storm looks terrible for us again. Not sure how you get a real snowstorm around here at all anymore. SE winds always mean rain for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Salisbury, Maryland where thunderstorms go to die where North Carolina sticks its arm out and steals our hurricanes where snowstorms......ahhh it's not even worth it lol where prolonged easterly flow kills early spring warmth where tornadoes nah...I've seen one funnel cloud in my 42 years the beach being close is kinda cool ...meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On the plus side, our homeowners insurance rates are pretty reasonable... But yeah, Salisbury is where interesting weather goes to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 Well... at least this time southern MD will be joining you all on the other side of the bay in your misery. Latest LWX map for me: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Hopefully NE Md gets crushed- those guys deserve it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 What a brutal map. Can't remember the last time AA county had a warning and Calvert got nothing... oh wait 2/21/15 lol. Unlike that storm though, at least we know the screwjob that is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMDweather Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Heavy snow wording in the point and click for Tuesday night for St. Mary's. Looking forward to some SnowTV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 Heavy snow wording in the point and click for Tuesday night for St. Mary's. Looking forward to some SnowTV. Same here. The bolded does not compute: Snow likely, mainly before 1am. The snow could be heavy at times. Cloudy, with a low around 29. West wind 8 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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