SnowtoRain Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Pretty sure anything north of Cambridge will be shutout, Cambridge might still be too far north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMDweather Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Go NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 9 minutes ago, SOMDweather said: Go NAM! don't look at it............its like looking at a vampire in the eyes, it will seduce you and drain your blood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMDweather Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, Lowershoresadness said: don't look at it............its like looking at a vampire in the eyes, it will seduce you and drain your blood HAHA. could it be the rare time it's right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 6 minutes ago, SOMDweather said: HAHA. could it be the rare time it's right? I said a few days ago that anything can happen. All the models have sucked with this set up. I'm expecting a few inches. I am tracked out with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Quote On 2/16/2025 at 1:39 PM, csnavywx said: Yep -- for a big storm anyways. Can still get a light-moderate event just from relatively favorable track of the southern wave effectively being a slider. But in order to keep a big storm, we need the northern wave to play ball at least a little bit. can we steal warning criteria snow from this thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 hour ago, Lowershoresadness said: can we steal warning criteria snow from this thing? Yes, it's not over -- at least for us southerners. Most guidance was north this run, esp. the CAMs. Although I think some of the NAM positioning is due to diabatic processes in the model from convection. They exist, but it's very difficult to model and prone to shifts. Still, it would be great to get some non-linear cyclogenesis and "save" this one from mediocrity. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, csnavywx said: Yes, it's not over -- at least for us southerners. Most guidance was north this run, esp. the CAMs. Although I think some of the NAM positioning is due to diabatic processes in the model from convection. They exist, but it's very difficult to model and prone to shifts. Still, it would be great to get some non-linear cyclogenesis and "save" this one from mediocrity. From your lips..etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DraydenWX Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Light snow has started in St. Mary’s County. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Interesting tidbit from Mount Holly AFD this morning- Confidence in the synoptic snow amounts is fairly high in that we`ll see generally low snow totals but some ensemble members do show the potential for a higher impact mesoscale band to develop over portions of southern Delaware. The WPC Snowband Prototype shows at least one band from the HREF moving into Sussex County DE. If this does occur, rates could reach or exceed 1"/hour with snow quickly accumulating for a time. This is of low confidence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 and so it begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Dusting in Easton, snowflakes are larger now, borderline moderate snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Half mile in moderate snow under this frontogen. band. Hopefully sticks around for a couple of hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Maybe .25" in Easton, more than I was expecting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 hours ago, CAPE said: Interesting tidbit from Mount Holly AFD this morning- Confidence in the synoptic snow amounts is fairly high in that we`ll see generally low snow totals but some ensemble members do show the potential for a higher impact mesoscale band to develop over portions of southern Delaware. The WPC Snowband Prototype shows at least one band from the HREF moving into Sussex County DE. If this does occur, rates could reach or exceed 1"/hour with snow quickly accumulating for a time. This is of low confidence. Seeing some nice banding develop over S DE on radar. Any reports? @AlexD1990 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, CAPE said: Seeing some nice banding develop over S DE on radar. Any reports? @AlexD1990 Just got out of work in Rehoboth, driving to Ocean City to the dispensary. 1 is snow covered heading for Indian River bridge, and it's coming down at a decent clip 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Can't attach pics cause they're too large lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 11 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said: Maybe .25" in Easton, more than I was expecting It was pretty impressive when I was leaving to go home, but It seemed to be winding down. Maybe a quarter but definitely a solid dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, AlexD1990 said: Just got out of work in Rehoboth, driving to Ocean City to the dispensary. 1 is snow covered heading for Indian River bridge, and it's coming down at a decent clip Get something good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Uploaded thru Facebook compressed it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, CAPE said: Get something good! Lol I'm just the passenger, I love the ride down tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: Just got out of work in Rehoboth, driving to Ocean City to the dispensary. 1 is snow covered heading for Indian River bridge, and it's coming down at a decent clip I need to retire and get a nice low stress job in the Rehoboth area, and move there. DFH brewery would be a dream, but with my background I would get sucked into the automation side and be working long hours lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, CAPE said: I need to retire and get a nice low stress job in the Rehoboth area, and move there. DFH brewery would be a dream, but with my background I would get sucked into the automation side and be working long hours lol. You know how bad the traffic and congestion is down here, though. And God help you if you need a doctor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, AlexD1990 said: You know how bad the traffic and congestion is down here, though. And God help you if you need a doctor. Yeah I love it in the off season. Not so much in Summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Coming into Bethany 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Definitely coming down at a nice clip, but the ground is barely whitened. Goose down flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Solid mesoband established from NHK over to far southern DE. Coming down at about 0.75"/hr here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Ocean City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Southside OC, picking back up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Pretty town in the snow 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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