csnavywx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 6 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: I thought this upcoming storm was progged for Tuesday Wednesday? Willing to bet it'll end up more like Wed. aftn/overnight into Thu. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Willing to bet it'll end up more like Wed. aftn/overnight into Thu. Sorry, I misunderstood when you were referencing CAA on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 00Z suite was made from pure snow weenie dreams. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 5 hours ago, csnavywx said: 00Z suite was made from pure snow weenie dreams. wow but I wish it was two days away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
diatae Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 It was so good. The ensemble means we're eye popping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 This could be the big one, not just for us, but for the whole subforum. Let's hope it continues to hold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 hour ago, AlexD1990 said: This could be the big one, not just for us, but for the whole subforum. Let's hope it continues to hold! Let's hope! Climate and history say no. Still giving it low % of happening that way but you never know. The weather will do what the weather will do. Sit back and enjoy the model watching all we can do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Lowershoresadness said: Let's hope! Climate and history say no. Still giving it low % of happening that way but you never know. The weather will do what the weather will do. Sit back and enjoy the model watching all we can do Seasonal trends argue we may end up with a result somewhere in the middle. If we didn't have the arctic air antecedent airmass, i would agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, AlexD1990 said: Seasonal trends argue we may end up with a result somewhere in the middle. If we didn't have the arctic air antecedent airmass, i would agree. def will be an interesting few days ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 We abscond! 10-17" would easily be the biggest storm since 2010 for my neck of the woods 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Hopefully these solutions remain consistent, a lot of agreement atm. Would like to see the max a bit more to the SE. Still 5 days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, SnowtoRain said: Hopefully these solutions remain consistent, a lot of agreement atm. Would like to see the max a bit more to the SE. Still 5 days out... In this kind of storm, id be fine with getting 12+ while the i95 crew gets 15+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMDweather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 @csnavywx we'd be buried in St Mary's if the Euro is anywhere close to being right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, SOMDweather said: @csnavywx we'd be buried in St Mary's if the Euro is anywhere close to being right hell just about the whole thread would be. 2010 levels 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 so many more model runs to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 So what's the word for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Gfs partial fold to the Euro/ICON/GEM camp. LFG! this could be the real deal, FOLKS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 snow seems to be locking in. Now amounts hmm well we still have a couple of days of model runs. My wag for a huge snow is still pretty low but its going up. still we have no clue how much latitude that low gains and how close to the coast it gets. down here I have very small wiggle room to bust high. again we wait and watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 big storms like a KU are usually an FU for me down here but again anything can happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I'd do your shopping this weekend. If it goes full KU/Miller A, and it's starting to lean that way, then you don't want to be fighting the madhouse when that news gets out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Ugh, UKMET is trash. At least IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Yeah, not what we want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Overamps the NS wave, brings in warm air aloft and delays the coastal. GEM delayed the coastal from the other end (prob partially due to diabatic/latent heating). 12Z EC doesn't and it's right through the uprights. In fact, if I were going to draw us up a near-perfect setup, that EC run from 96-120h is pretty hard to beat. 700mb low develops just west and flow goes *SE* with some 1-3"/hr rates in there likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 EPS inched up to 0.8-1.0" liquid mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 we are on the cusp of greatness butttttttt we have to hope it holds for days. uggg stay grounded and hope for the best 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Think I should stick with our thread. Richmond thread trying to re enact the civil war lol. We just plain get ignored at least lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Lotta copium and denial going on in there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 We basically are finally having a winter where the regional precipitation pattern matches the other three seasons IMBY. On the other hand, we haven’t really had a true model pump-and-dump scam yet this year, which has been unusual. I might sell the top and move to cash instead of holding for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 we are seeing jack after jack which is great. still too far from gameday to get 100% invested. I average 9 inches of snow here for a reason. getting a foot here is rare. going over a foot is even rarer. this winter has played its cards and we seem to be winning a lot of hands so we'll see 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 hours ago, Lowershoresadness said: we are seeing jack after jack which is great. still too far from gameday to get 100% invested. I average 9 inches of snow here for a reason. getting a foot here is rare. going over a foot is even rarer. this winter has played its cards and we seem to be winning a lot of hands so we'll see Agreed. My average just north of you is around 12", and I'm sitting somewhere around 15-18" right now for the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now