SabreAce33 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 SBY looks to be riding the figurative boundary for quite a lot of this storm, given the warm nose. It's going to be one of those boom or bust scenarios where 30 miles makes all the difference in the world. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 After further review of this morning's satellite, radar and guidance, it's time to bump those totals way up. I'll re-post here in a few, but 6+ looks to be on the table for SoMD and the Ern Shore for sure. There were some hints yesterday about the possibility of the track trending closer and a clean transfer. That seems to be the preferred outcome this morning. In particular, there's now agreement that the H5 and H7 lows will develop just southwest and track just south of the area, with southeasterly and easterly winds at those levels, unlike yesterday, which showed messy and weak flow at that level.Talk dirty to me..Sent from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Snow and sleet in Easton, starting to turn everyhing white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Well well well.....this morning I was ready to jump out of the gate and dramatically bump up our snow map, but then I saw the 12z guidance today and the warm nose. Ah! A very fragile setup indeed. I have SBY in 2-4" and areas just NW (Cambridge/Easton) in 4-8", so I did bump up totals a bit. I think whoever is under banding will truly win out. But a very close call for SBY south. Even southern DE may be in the warm nose for a bit. But these highly convective winter storms can overachieve and impress, even in March. Thundersnow is almost a guarantee in my opinion tomorrow in spots. So it's time to wait and see what happens! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Are you getting accretion from that freezing drizzle in Easton? I've noticed the obs have fallen to freezing with some wind there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Down to 33 in lewesSent from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 26 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Are you getting accretion from that freezing drizzle in Easton? I've noticed the obs have fallen to freezing with some wind there. Yes, very slight, but everything has a crust on it. Sitting at 31.6. We snuck in about 0.2 of snow and sleet before this lull. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Good Morning Fellow Southerners... Working From home today in Central Calvert County. Sleeting pretty heavily at the moment. 32f and 31 dew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Topher Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, wdavis5784 said: Good Morning Fellow Southerners... Working From home today in Central Calvert County. Sleeting pretty heavily at the moment. 32f and 31 dew. Sleeting here too, nice ice accretion from all the drizzle last night. 31.8F right now. Hoping we turn to snow within the next hour or two. Location just north of the 2&4 split in huntingtown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Looks like another Delmarvelous day on tap, 32.2 with sleet in Easton. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Topher said: Sleeting here too, nice ice accretion from all the drizzle last night. 31.8F right now. Hoping we turn to snow within the next hour or two. Yes! I noticed that too when I woke up this morning. I think we start seeing more and more snow mix in as layers cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 Heavy sleet here too although my thermometer says 36. Never had problems with accuracy before but you all are several degrees lower so it must be a little off. LWX dropped my point and click to 2-4” today and up to 1” tonight. Map went from 6-8” to 4-6”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Im what about 1.5 miles as the crow flies? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Good news is it is snowing in our county.. http://www.chart.state.md.us/video/video.php?feed=dcffb99000fa00c80054fa36c4235c0a 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Topher Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, wdavis5784 said: Good news is it is snowing in our county.. http://www.chart.state.md.us/video/video.php?feed=dcffb99000fa00c80054fa36c4235c0a Was just about to say it looked like snow mixing in outsides a couple minutes ago. Now it’s 50/50 snow/sleet and at Prince frederick that does seem off, even Chesapeake beach is 32-33. I look on weather underground for stations close to me. I’m fine with 4-6. I think that is doable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Its about 80% Sleet 20% Snow about 2 miles east of Prince Frederick. Temps Steady at 32f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 The map for 4-6” was last updated at 4:45am and the point and click (which tallies up to 3-5”) was last updated 7:29am. Not sure if LWX will downgrade us to advisory but maybe northern Calvert is still on the table for WSW level snow, I haven’t checked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I wouldnt worry about what NWS is saying now. We have to see how the storm develops and if we can get heavy banding to help out. I think a layer of ice and sleet is nice for the snow to stick to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Topher Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: The map for 4-6” was last updated at 4:45am and the point and click (which tallies up to 3-5”) was last updated 7:29am. Not sure if LWX will downgrade us to advisory but maybe northern Calvert is still on the table for WSW level snow, I haven’t checked. 3 minutes ago, wdavis5784 said: I wouldnt worry about what NWS is saying now. We have to see how the storm develops and if we can get heavy banding to help out. I think a layer of ice and sleet is nice for the snow to stick to. All snow now and coming down heavy. I think 5-6 is a good call for all of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Did I say east I meant west.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Yea it is starting to mix to more snow now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Where at in Huntingtown are you Topher? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Topher Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, wdavis5784 said: Where at in Huntingtown are you Topher? I’m a mile or so west of the China king, oceanic gas station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 CC on radar shows pretty steady progress of the snow/sleet line. Should clear the western shores here in the next 60-90 minutes and progress across the bay. Some shallow convection showing up in echo tops already. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, csnavywx said: CC on radar shows pretty steady progress of the snow/sleet line. Should clear the western shores here in the next 60-90 minutes and progress across the bay. Some shallow convection showing up in echo tops already. Oh yea, Big Giant flakes mixing in now. We have a nice coating of sleet for it to lay on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, Topher said: I’m a mile or so west of the China king, oceanic gas station Sweet! I know exactly where ya are! I just bought a deep freezer off someone who lives on Miss Sams way last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 Definitely seeing more snow mixing in with the sleet now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMDweather Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Moderate snow at least in Hollywood. As soon as it went from sleet to snow, snow started sticking immediately, even on roads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 and now it is DUMPING! Enjoy yall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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