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Pittsburgh, PA Thread: Winter '14-'15


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Jeff Verszyla probably too busy doing his Super Bowl polls. Good guy, but not interested in the weather. I think you see him in sports soon.

He made a valid point on Twitter this afternoon: "I think there are still several solutions...the energy has not even come onshore yet...haste makes waste"  

 

Think back to early March 2014...big snowstorm was forecast 2 days out, and it busted.  IIRC, the ECMWF ensembles were still showing a ton of spread when all 3 stations went big for the Friday evening news (7-11"+).

 

I like that Verszyla doesn't hype regularly.  If PIT was actually under say a blizzard warning, I imagine then he would hype.  But hyping this far out for a potential moderate event wouldn't be worth it, imho.

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Yeah - but in Feb '10 we had a foot on the ground at 11:00 and the 0z GFS had 15" additional (so maybe 10" more if u backdated to 7:00 PM). Jeff V was calling for 12-14" total at that point. This was after he had taken away Bowmans 8-12" on the morning news and replaced it with 6-9" at 5 PM. Result was 22"

The storm the next week we squeezed out about 9" in what i think was a retrograding Miller B. He called for no more snow and "breezy" conditions when we were at 5".

I dont hate on mets - just giving objective facts. Denardo didnt hype - but when it was on it was on. Havent seen Jeff V ever do that

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Agree, the Euro may actually be a tad to far north for our friends around the m/d line and i-70. Bit concerned seeing the GEFS look that far north too. Hopefully the north trend is over for the most part now.

Yea not liking that EURO for the South Hills  Once these storms start hinting at WAA for our area seems like that always happens.

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Yea not liking that EURO for the South Hills  Once these storms start hinting at WAA for our area seems like that always happens.

Yeah, here's to hoping the north trend stops on today's 12z runs. 00z GFS was pretty solid, probably about the best we can hope for this storm, here is KAGC cobb output:

150201/1200Z  60  VRB02KT  20.4F  SNOW   10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013   10:1|  0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01  100|  0|  0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---150201/1500Z  63  19003KT  24.9F  SNOW    8:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.050    9:1|  0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06  100|  0|  0150201/1800Z  66  18003KT  29.0F  SNOW   17:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.059   12:1|  1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.12  100|  0|  0150201/2100Z  69  VRB02KT  30.5F  SNOW   12:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.068   12:1|  2.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.19  100|  0|  0150202/0000Z  72  07003KT  29.0F  SNOW   12:1| 1.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.128   12:1|  3.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32  100|  0|  0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---150202/0300Z  75  05003KT  29.6F  SNOW    9:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.128   11:1|  5.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.45  100|  0|  0150202/0600Z  78  36004KT  29.4F  SNOW   11:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.115   11:1|  6.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.56  100|  0|  0150202/0900Z  81  34009KT  22.4F  SNOW   17:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.117   12:1|  8.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.68  100|  0|  0150202/1200Z  84  34010KT  11.7F  SNOW   22:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.034   13:1|  8.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.71  100|  0|  0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---150202/1500Z  87  34010KT   8.3F  SNOW   25:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.030   13:1|  9.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.74  100|  0|  0150202/1800Z  90  34010KT  10.5F  SNOW   22:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022   13:1| 10.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.76  100|  0|  0150202/2100Z  93  32009KT   8.9F  SNOW   10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006   13:1| 10.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.77  100|  0|  0150203/0000Z  96  31004KT  -2.1F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000   13:1| 10.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.77    0|  0|  0
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Yeah, here's to hoping the north trend stops on today's 12z runs. 00z GFS was pretty solid, probably about the best we can hope for this storm, here is KAGC cobb output:

150201/1200Z  60  VRB02KT  20.4F  SNOW   10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013   10:1|  0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01  100|  0|  0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---150201/1500Z  63  19003KT  24.9F  SNOW    8:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.050    9:1|  0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06  100|  0|  0150201/1800Z  66  18003KT  29.0F  SNOW   17:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.059   12:1|  1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.12  100|  0|  0150201/2100Z  69  VRB02KT  30.5F  SNOW   12:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.068   12:1|  2.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.19  100|  0|  0150202/0000Z  72  07003KT  29.0F  SNOW   12:1| 1.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.128   12:1|  3.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32  100|  0|  0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---150202/0300Z  75  05003KT  29.6F  SNOW    9:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.128   11:1|  5.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.45  100|  0|  0150202/0600Z  78  36004KT  29.4F  SNOW   11:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.115   11:1|  6.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.56  100|  0|  0150202/0900Z  81  34009KT  22.4F  SNOW   17:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.117   12:1|  8.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.68  100|  0|  0150202/1200Z  84  34010KT  11.7F  SNOW   22:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.034   13:1|  8.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.71  100|  0|  0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---150202/1500Z  87  34010KT   8.3F  SNOW   25:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.030   13:1|  9.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.74  100|  0|  0150202/1800Z  90  34010KT  10.5F  SNOW   22:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022   13:1| 10.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.76  100|  0|  0150202/2100Z  93  32009KT   8.9F  SNOW   10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006   13:1| 10.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.77  100|  0|  0150203/0000Z  96  31004KT  -2.1F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000   13:1| 10.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.77    0|  0|  0

do you have a link to this?

 

I have the output on my phone, but lost it.

 

Thanks

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