strongwxnc Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I was talking about at 220 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2015012312&fh=222&xpos=0&ypos=150 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2015012312&fh=222&xpos=0&ypos=150 Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Are you guys sure that's the right date? It says it was initialized on the 23th....this is the 27th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 and the clown map for fun: Aren't those maps from model runs on 1/23? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Aren't those maps from model runs on 1/23? Sorry about that. I have deleted the map and am waiting for the new 12z to load on tropical tidbits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Yes, today's 12Z run is not complete on WB yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 GGEM has a tad bit of ice (trace amounts/drizzle) for the midlands of SC... the 850s are warm even for most of NC... as the coastal tries to get going, it may throw some moisture in when it's colder at 850 though. Right now it looks like ice for small areas of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Longer range around hour 234 of the GGEM seems to like light frozen precipitation around the Fl Panhandle, Macon, SC coast looking over the 850 temperature map. 2m may be a problem, but too far out for specifics really. By 240, most NC is probably very light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Euro looks like it phases just in time to give the mountains a big hit of snow on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Euro looks like it phases just in time to give the mountains a big hit of snow on Monday. Snowfall maps look pretty light through 150. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The PV retreats N day 5-6 on the Euro, thus no supression. And a low deflates our pac ridge. Ugly run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Euro looks "meh" after this weekend, but of course a descent look with our energy. Can't catch any breaks it seems. We need the look of the GFS to verify after this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Sorry about that. I have deleted the map and am waiting for the new 12z to load on tropical tidbits. Good thing for me at least - check out the donut hole - uncanny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Anyone have access to some good UK maps? Looks like it takes that energy in the SW and just pushes it east. Has a low in southern AL @144. Also looks like a good 50/50 low setting up as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Anyone have access to some good UK maps? Looks like it takes that energy in the SW and just pushes it east. Has a low in southern AL @144. Also looks like a good 50/50 low setting up as well. I am curious, too, since it was said the UK did the best with the storm that just hit the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I am curious, too, since it was said the UK did the best with the storm that just hit the NE. Man you need some reading comprehension...that was a tweet about short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Man you need some reading comprehension...that was a tweet about short range. I thought it was saying it is known for short range but beat the others in long range with the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Euro control run has a huge event in central SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smoked Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Euro control run has a huge event in central SC. How far out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 How far out?9-10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 How far out? 174-190 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The arctic blast near the end of the GFS run looks like a fantasy... We just need it to stay on the upcoming model runs (which it probably won't) and we need alot of moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 174-190 Is that for the second low that runs up the stalled out frontal boundary just to my south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Gfs consistent with a nice cold rain storm on 2/2 as noted in the 18..... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Euro ensemble mean looks like a possible ice threat GA 174-192, but we all saw how bad even the ensembles were on the upcoming weekend system so I am not going to really pay close attention for at least 4 more days.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Previous 3 runs of GFS tracked the SLP up into Ohio. The 18z run tracks it through central NC, jackpots the MA. Big shift, can't tell why yet. See if GEFS shift south of if this is 18z burp run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Big gulf low on the 18z for around day 8...Lots of qpf put not cold enough. If I could get the qpf showing up on the 18z w/ some cold air, I'd call it a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Big gulf low on the 18z for around day 8...Lots of qpf put not cold enough. If I could get the qpf showing up on the 18z w/ some cold air, I'd call it a winter. Both storms jackpot MA. I guess the good news is we could realistically chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Previous 3 runs of GFS tracked the SLP up into Ohio. The 18z run tracks it through central NC, jackpots the MA. Big shift, can't tell why yet. See if GEFS shift south of if this is 18z burp run. Looks like the trough is further west and the energy in the SW shoots out at 00z Monday. Still rain for most but is it a trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The 12z JMA is interesting... It basically does not have a northern stream parcel dropping down and thus has no storm at all for Sunday.... The SW low looks poised to come east with high pressure building in at 144hrs. Hard to tell if it's going to eject early enough to make hay from the high pressure to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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