Dunkman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The 00z Euro is a good 50 miles east of its 12z run. It's still a great hit for NYC. Usually in these situations in my experience the Euro will move some and then the other models will meet the Euro in the middle. Well, except for the NAM which will just spit out random crap every 6 hours. I'm much more interested in what happens a week from now though. Come on king Euro find our storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The 00z Euro is a good 50 miles east of its 12z run. It's still a great hit for NYC. 20"+. Mets are going to have a tough job up there.I doubt you could think of a higher pressure situation for mets... It's only a 20 inch spread between models across the most densely populated area in the country. NYC will be a stones throw from a significant but not too notable storm. Gradient will probably end up being around an inch per 2 miles or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Okay, so let me get this straight. When our SE Groundhog Day storm was dropping snow in ATL on the GFS for 10+ days out (around 5-6 days ago), the NE storm for Monday and Tuesday this current week looked considerably less snowy than it does now. And now, the NE storm looks like blizzard conditions, while the SE storm is basically a rain (and ice for NC) storm. If this is correct, I have faith that after the NE storm occurs, we'll see the snowstorm on the GFS again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Per early 0Z Euro maps, the Canadian high at day 5 is a bit stronger (now back above 1052 mb) and the western ridge is a little further west. I'm wondering if this may mean that an early Feb. threat will return. We'll see what later maps show. I'm still wondering about 2/4-5 for potential big CAD, regardless. #Faithinthepellets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 0Z Euro: Snow far north MS/AL/far S TN 2/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 0Z Euro: Snow far north MS/AL/far S TN 2/1. Good step. Let's keep this thing moving east! Thanks for the pbp! And good to hear high is stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Good step. Let's keep this thing moving east! Thanks for the pbp! And good to hear high is stronger. #faithintheflakes paying off for James: snow for him, CR, Pack, and Brick late 2/1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 #faithintheflakes paying off for James: snow for him, CR, Pack, and Brick late 2/1!Good! Does it get close for us GA folks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The Euro's close to a foot here. No biggie. Basically, boom from CLT to RDU N/W. Impressive overrunning, then the low bombs off of Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just looking at the H5 map is looks like the system get absorbed by th northern stream but have no precipitation maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The Euro's close to a foot here. No biggie. lol what's the run down James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Good! Does it get close for us GA folks? Far N GA mtns get real nice hit. Where is your approximate location? James et al get a huge hit. Epic hit. clown has 8-12" W NC to N NC..please take with a huge grain though clown likely not overdoing badly due to lack of sig CAD. Bedtime soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 lol what's the run down James. Basically, 10"+ at 10:1 ratios for everyone from just N of CLT to just NW of RDU. Easy cold enough for us. 850s never get above -4C or so. RDU and CLT make out well, too. Actually, at 10:1 ratios, that is a foot here. Doubt we'd get 10:1, but still. When the low bombs, we get a little love. EDIT: Actually, surface temps fall into the mid-20s, then the teens, so we might get 10:1... The clown goes... GSO: 11.5" RDU: 9.6" CLT: 8.8" (10"+ just N/W) AVL: 11.7" Extreme N GA and N AL/MS also get some, as does most of TN (not as heavy, though). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Lol Nice turn around by the euro, still not convinced but definitely a step in the right direction. Also nice to see within the D6-D7 versus D10 timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Far N GA mtns get real nice hit. Where is your approximate location? James et al get a huge hit. Epic hit. clown has 8-12" W NC to N NC..please take with a huge grain though clown likely not overdoing badly due to lack of sig CAD. Bedtime soon! Dawsonville. Need to update my location. Great trend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Basically, 10"+ at 10:1 ratios for everyone from just N of CLT to just NW of RDU. Easy cold enough for us. 850s never get above -4C or so. RDU and CLT make out well, too. Actually, at 10:1 ratios, that is a foot here. Doubt we'd get 10:1, but still. When the low bombs, we get a little love. EDIT: Actually, surface temps fall into the mid-20s, then the teens, so we might get 10:1... The clown goes... GSO: 11.5" RDU: 9.6" CLT: 8.8" (10"+ just N/W) AVL: 11.7" Extreme N GA and N AL/MS also get some, as does most of TN (not as heavy, though). Thanks James. Great trend tonight for the Euro. To beat it all after the storm an arctic blast comes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Cary, there's a lot of snow left to fall on that clown you posted. Precip continues until about hr 192. It's a long storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Meanwhile, later that day.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 For anyone wondering about the clown map, it's cold. 850mb freezing line is way south and surface temps keep dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Impressive but let's keep composure. We have seen a lot of wild swings from run to run from th models. That would be an awsome storm for lot of us but just one run. We need to see the GFS go that way and about 10 more runs from the EURO like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The Euro plunges the snowed in areas to around/just below 0 on February 3rd, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The Euro plunges the snowed in areas to around/just below 0 on February 3rd, as well. And after that clown map, why the heck not? LOL Great solution... even better than the one portrayed before the Nor'Easter got in our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Exactly Met. Hey, only about 14 more runs to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Impressive but let's keep composure. We have seen a lot of wild swings from run to run from th models. That would be an awsome storm for lot of us but just one run. We need to see the GFS go that way and about 10 more runs from the EURO like this. Agreed. It almost sucks to get runs like this because you know it's only going to go downhill from here... Nice shift, regardless. I just hope this isn't an intermediate step to the Euro giving us a cutter next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 That's the first decent pop five days out I've seen all winter for this area. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Impressive but let's keep composure. We have seen a lot of wild swings from run to run from th models. That would be an awsome storm for lot of us but just one run. We need to see the GFS go that way and about 10 more runs from the EURO like this.There are/will be alot of swings, but the GFS trended colder today and the euro had this look a few days ago and basically 6-7 days out, positive baby steps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This is the One guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Agreed. It almost sucks to get runs like this because you know it's only going to go downhill from here... Nice shift, regardless. I just hope this isn't an intermediate stop to the Euro giving us a cutter next run. Yeah, but at day-5 the look is impressive (much better) and in the euro's wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This is the One guysDon't say that!!! lol You'll jenks us, now go knock on wood!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.