MichaelJ Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 it allows the cold air to travel better across the snowpack up north. It would help keep moderation of air masses from the north to a minimum and it would help the cad areas a lot also to help keep the cold air cold to the north instead of moderating. Yes but air that cold will only force the storms to be suppressed even further to the south with the highs being that strong so it would dry us out until it retreats north, correct? We want moderate cold not overwhelming cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Yes but air that cold will only force the storms to be suppressed even further to the south with the highs being that strong so it would dry us out until it retreats north, correct? We want moderate cold not overwhelming coldYeah we do not want super cold dry air but Marion was talking about if we had another arctic blast it would be colder than the one we had earlier this month because of the snowpack up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Yes but air that cold will only force the storms to be suppressed even further to the south with the highs being that strong so it would dry us out until it retreats north, correct? We want moderate cold not overwhelming cold It's less about the degree of the cold and more about the placement of the upper level features. Often, the conditions that produce severe cold this far south also overwhelm the pattern...but not always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Euro Ens Mean looks slightly better than the Op...western ridge isn't as far east. I counted 13 of 51 members that have snow on the clown maps outside of the mtns in GA, SC, and/or NC. There are 2 members that have snow on the clown from New Orleans to Waycross to Wilmington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The site outage might have been an omen...18z GFS looking pretty icy for NC/SC next Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The site outage might have been an omen...18z GFS looking pretty icy for NC/SC next Sunday... Looks like a long event with snow and or ice for nc and points north. A couple of days of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I had a request to post the 2 Euro Ens members with the deep south snow/ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The site outage might have been an omen...18z GFS looking pretty icy for NC/SC next Sunday... Looks like a long event with snow and or ice for nc and points north. A couple of days of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Looks like a long event with snow and or ice for nc and points north. A couple of days of it. You can say that again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Hey Berlin, looks like a long event? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Must be a glitch in the Matrix... On another note... Does any of the energy from this Sunday "clipper system" give the SC mountains any love??? Sent from my iPad Edit, still must be having issues, this post sent but said I wasn't logged on, and told me an " XML issue has occurred" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Must be a glitch in the Matrix... On another note... Does any of the energy from this Sunday "clipper system" give the SC mountains any love??? Sent from my iPad Edit, still must be having issues, this post sent but said I wasn't logged on, and told me an " XML issue has occurred" Not really :\ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Brick misses 2-3" on Tuesday by 10 miles on the 0z 4km NAM. Looks like it hugs the NE Wake County line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The site outage might have been an omen...18z GFS looking pretty icy for NC/SC next Sunday...18z looks good, South trends continue !!I wish we could have an outage until next Friday! Gonna be a long week of ups and downs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Brick misses 2-3" on Tuesday by 10 miles on the 0z 4km NAM. Looks like it hugs the NE Wake County line. Well, I am right on the Wake and Franklin County line. We seem to be the sweet spot a lot of times for snow in Wake County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Hey Berlin, looks like a long event? :)Sent from my iPhone . Sorry folks.... Oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 00z is looking ready for something big @156. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 00z GFS not gonna get the job done it looks like. Was hoping that big cutoff would shoot off some impulses but it doesn't. Northern energy isn't extreme just no real energy to work with so far @183. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Love this run of the GFS. We went from huge suppressed cold coming down to a low in the lakes and cold air all bottled up to the north. WTF lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Out tax dollars hard at work again. Don't sweat it, our allies in Europe will send the royal ambassador (the doc) to rescue us in 90 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Love this run of the GFS. We went from huge suppressed cold coming down to a low in the lakes and cold air all bottled up to the north. WTF lol. The other runs hadn't bothered me because I still liked the general look. This one, with that damn low in the lakes and no cold for basically anywhere is what we've had all winter. That's the worst part, it's very believable. It seems like we just can't get out of this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah, GFS betting hard dollars with a bad hand again this evening. Let's see Doc's cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That was a drastic change at h5 . Let's see what the GEFS looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 This is just ridiculous. At least it looks in line with the EURO (ie, no southern stream energy ejecting, northern stream clipper) which means we can probably shut the book on this one. My bet is the Doc comes in very similar to 12z. Kind of fun, in a depressing, maniacal sort of way, putting the animations in fast motion and watching that Baja low get squashed like my hopes and dreams in life into Mexico over and over and over and over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That was a drastic change at h5 . Let's see what the GEFS looks like Yeah, it was. In reality, this is a long way off as you well know...and the models are throwing northern stream darts to the south in different locations and with different trajectories affecting how the cold air presses south, and how the energy interacts with the southwest cutoff. The two things that keep me interested are: 1) the southwest cutoff is capable of injecting a great deal of moisture into the southern states, and 2) cold air is moving south in some form or fashion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 CMC is even further west than the 12z. It has a slp cutting in far west Tn. and heading north over the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 ....and the CMC looks just like the GFS from yesterday. Model madness has begun again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 This is just ridiculous. At least it looks in line with the EURO (ie, no southern stream energy ejecting, northern stream clipper) which means we can probably shut the book on this one. I think you said the exact same thing Tuesday afternoon about the 1 inch of QPF that fell IMBY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Atleast February 6th is still looking good on 00z GFS ! Has a rockin' miller b look to it, don't give up on Fab Feb yet!! By then , it'll be close enough to mid Feb, and we will almost be out of our misery! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 LOL, Beantown gets two crushjobs in a matter of days on the 00z Euro. January 31st is another big hit. Well, I guess a foot really isn't anything remarkable for them at this point. Looks like NYC and from Providence to Boston to Bangor are in the 30-40" range in total by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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