Jonathan Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 You guys in the Upstate,NE GA, NC are in an amazing spot this far out. Just like 9+ days ago with tomorrow's flop... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Well if we can't get something out of the look just past 200 hours on the 12z GFS I don't what else we can do. It's about to be a big big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Well if we can't get something out of the look just past 200 hours on the 12z GFS I don't what else we can do. It's about to be a big big storm. It was early but the ridge looked like it was nice and tall and in the right place. It's going to be a loooonnnng several days of model watching for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This setup just looks glorious. Big split flow with huge arctic high and a strong fetch of moisture with the trough in the STJ over the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This setup just looks glorious. Big split flow with huge arctic high and a strong fetch of moisture with the trough in the STJ over the SW. 1041 over Buffalo. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Well if we can't get something out of the look just past 200 hours on the 12z GFS I don't what else we can do. It's about to be a big big storm. I agree burger...If we get that look and don't get something, I give up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This setup just looks glorious. Big split flow with huge arctic high and a strong fetch of moisture with the trough in the STJ over the SW. Prepare for glory? It's inside 10 days too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Just look at the fetch of moisture. It may not come out as one huge storm at the start but a string of low pressure setting up a long duration event. That's the ticket for deep south snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Wow what do we need to do to get the look @240 on the GFS? 1044 high coming into the midwest, 1036 high to our north and a ton of moisture coming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 ^ And beautiful beautiful high pressure across the north and more dropping down out of Canada. It's a beaut, Clark, it's a beaut! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Wow what do we need to do to get the look @240 on the GFS? 1044 high coming into the midwest, 1036 high to our north and a ton of moisture coming in. Sacrifice the chickens. Haley will understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Wow what do we need to do to get the look @240 on the GFS? 1044 high coming into the midwest, 1036 high to our north and a ton of moisture coming in. Don't ask Sacrifice the chickens. Haley will understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Yup, looks like snow on Super Bowl Sunday this run. 23 and coming down by 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Sacrifice the chickens. Haley will understand. or keep packbacker from getting his model subscription again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Sacrifice the chickens. Haley will understand. We have one ready to go as soon as I land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Oh, only a foot of snow or so on the GFS. We need this to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 QPF galore. It's wild seeing that large of amplitude on the wave in the southwest...and have it as far south as it is...good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Oh, only a foot of snow or so on the GFS. We need this to happen. Snows from early Feb 1 to evening of Feb 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 ^ And beautiful beautiful high pressure across the north and more dropping down out of Canada. It's a beaut, Clark, it's a beaut! Cold Rain approved high pressure keeps showing up....nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 QPF galore. It's wild seeing that large of amplitude on the wave in the southwest...and have it as far south as it is...good stuffLooks really great! Will be a cutter at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 or keep packbacker from getting his model subscription again I heard my name...you guys need me to sign back up :-) I still have AmWx's model page, support you guys/Allan. I haven't looked at the surface map and won't until 24 hours to said rain storm...oh I mean snow storm. The question isn't whether we get snow with this look, the question is whether we get the look. I already know the answer to that question.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 QPF galore. It's wild seeing that large of amplitude on the wave in the southwest...and have it as far south as it is...good stuff I think that strong -SOI signal is paying off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Looks really great! Will be a cutter at 18z. LOL, it won't cut if the ridge placement is right and the weak NAO is right. Of course that's a big IF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I think that strong -SOI signal is paying off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 By the looks of things, temperatures during that time period shouldnt be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Just look at the fetch of moisture. It may not come out as one huge storm at the start but a string of low pressure setting up a long duration event. That's the ticket for deep south snow. Soo....is that a good low over the great lakes or a bad one? I see the nice high pressure in a nice spot, but there is also a low pressure in the GL. That showed up on this weekend's event early on too when it was cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I gotta say, the models have really honed in on this threat over the past several days. would not surprise me for them to lose it as we get inside 200 hrs or so only for it to show up again closer to the event. seems like it happens every time we have a big ticket storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 CLT with a low of -2 on the night after the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I gotta say, the models have really honed in on this threat over the past several days. would not surprise me for them to lose it as we get inside 200 hrs or so only for it to show up again closer to the event. seems like it happens every time we have a big ticket storm. I disagree slightly there. The BIG ones almost always are consistently modeled. Medium level events are the ones we'll lose and they'll come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I disagree slightly there. The BIG ones almost always are consistently modeled. Medium level events are the ones we'll lose and they'll come back. true, but i think itll be tough for the models to stay consistent with this one (IF it is our big dog) 230+ hrs out. the look will change for the worse over the next week, but as long as we get the cold modeled consistently I won't mind seeing the qpf fluctuate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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