superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Do we want the clipper tracking that far north of us? Looks like a great event for the NE. NC mountains get some snow though. Looks like DC gets it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 If we don't get anything from the clipper, then our goose is cooked for January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Looks like DC gets it. LOL, wasn't going to say it. Just a sad sad winter. Actually I take that back, this winter is going to rock in Feb, we have it right where we want it. The coastal still can produce for western NC, I wouldn't give up hope yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 If we don't get anything from the clipper, then our goose is cooked for January. It is so common for these things to take beautiful tracks 5+ days out. It seems like they almost always end up hundreds of miles north. DC will be lucky to stay south of it at this rate. On to February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I'm absolutely amazed at the amount of people (on here, on TV) who are so gung-ho about Monday just because the GFS shows a clipper that goes across the Southern Appalachians.I mean...we have a classic Miller-A low that is going to not create any snow in the climatological peak of winter because there is zero cold air in place...yet, something that traditionally does little to nothing for NC is getting so much play because the cold is in place. This winter has been a total disaster...from the very deceitful teleconnections (NAO, AO, PNA, EPO) to the lack to getting the southern stream to cooperate when needed...this has become a complete dumpster fire.Wake me the hell up when spring arrives, I'm done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 It is so common for these things to take beautiful tracks 5+ days out. It seems like they almost always end up hundreds of miles north. DC will be lucky to stay south of it at this rate. On to February.I think you can get results from that clipper next week. We never get snow from that track being in the Lee but yall are better placed further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 If we don't get anything from the clipper, then our goose is cooked for January. so onto FEB then? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Wasn't the Jan, 20 2009 event a clipper? That gave 6 inches to raleigh IIRC. Gave Wilmington our first significant snow in 5 years. IIRC that Clipper was bolstered by low pressure that popped off the coast. It was a surprise here, with 4-6 inches of snow in the Sandhills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I never had and never will have hope for snow from a clipper. It will just have to surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The 18z NAM is colder and a decent hit for the mountains. It actually starts off N NC and the foothills as snow, too, before going over to rain. Strange. Yeah, yeah... LR NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The 18z NAM is colder and a decent hit for the mountains. It actually starts off N NC and the foothills as snow, too, before going over to rain. Strange. Yeah, yeah... LR NAM... When you look at the EPS the members do cluster right inside HAT, you would think the mountains would do OK with that. But, now you are seeing a cluster that run up the apps too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The 18z NAM is colder and a decent hit for the mountains. It actually starts off N NC and the foothills as snow, too, before going over to rain. Strange. Yeah, yeah... LR NAM... temp/ptype wise it is almost identical to the 12z gfs. will be interesting to see if the 18z gfs keeps showing cooler temps or if it goes back to the torch euro solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GFS hammers N-W NC, does flip to rain. Nice looking winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GFS hammers N-W NC, does flip to rain. Nice looking winter storm. Definitely colder than the 12z run. The 18z NAM was already interesting, as mentioned. Maybe a front-end bit of snow isn't completely impossible. If nothing else, the mountains look to do well. The northern foothills would start out as snow, verbatim (assuming BL temps are okay... didn't look). Frosty would be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Nice... Not too shabby. Can easily chase this one to Sugar or Roan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Definitely colder than the 12z run. The 18z NAM was already interesting, as mentioned. Maybe a front-end bit of snow isn't completely impossible. If nothing else, the mountains look to do well. The northern foothills would start out as snow, verbatim. Frosty would be happy. This could be a good weekend to hit up Boone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Nice...Would gladly take the less than 1 it is showing in the southern foothills ! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Boone sounding on GFS. Looks like snow down to about 920mb (at hr75 anyway) which is probably close to Boone's elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Total snow over the next 7 days.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Nice to see the GFS went ahead and canceled the clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Nice to see the GFS went ahead and canceled the clipper.Yep, went to see what the MA was up to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Nice to see the GFS went ahead and canceled the clipper If you ever pin any hopes on a clipper, You are bound to get disappointed, And if you get anything it will be a BIG surprise!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Definitely colder than the 12z run. The 18z NAM was already interesting, as mentioned. Maybe a front-end bit of snow isn't completely impossible. If nothing else, the mountains look to do well. The northern foothills would start out as snow, verbatim (assuming BL temps are okay... didn't look). Frosty would be happy. Imma on the line for 1-3 which when push comes to shove means, I get a mix at best!!! And that's what RNK says Mix for me. THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. .FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. As of right now I'm looking for 0 flakes!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Charlottesville has been the place to be all winter. HOOS ready for another accumulating snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 The 18z clipper for Monday looks like it's more North, but there still looks to be moisture pockets and snow around TN, NGA, NC, SC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Looking at the wxbell maps for SLP coupling on the Euro ens mean at 96-102hrs for the storm is just depressing...bombing out and no cold. A lot in a perfect location for the scenario if we event got a hint of cold to work with, but still no snow over Central NC. Sad really. I think there is still potential for flakes on the back end for Central NC though for a silver lining. Very slim chance but there IMO, so long as this doesn't trend warmer than it already has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 The D-Band word is being thrown around for TN and NGA on Facebook ! Grasping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 The D-Band word is being thrown around for TN and NGA on Facebook ! Grasping Interesting, the trend all winter has been weaker and further east inside 4 days, let's see if this storm bucks that trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Looking at the wxbell maps for SLP coupling on the Euro ens mean at 96-102hrs for the storm is just depressing...bombing out and no cold. A lot in a perfect location for the scenario if we event got a hint of cold to work with, but still no snow over Central NC. Sad really. I think there is still potential for flakes on the back end for Central NC though for a silver lining. Very slim chance but there IMO, so long as this doesn't trend warmer than it already has. How did the ensemble look for the mtns? I still think we are in for good snow storm despite the slightly warm look for us atm. I can't recall the Mtns ever starting as heavy snow and going over to rain, it's always the other way around when both rain and snow are involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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