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Jan 12-14 Minor Ice and Snow Disco/Obs


Bob Chill

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Again the gfs says sneaky snow is so sneaky that we won't see it.

I just want a real storm to track. A threat where there is a legit chance of 6"+. Doesn't even have to be a good chance just at least a real storm. Something sub 1000mb tracking under us. This analyzing strung out crap is beyond annoying. What's the payoff? If we get really lucky an inch ??? No thanks ill punt until we have a shot at something worth it.
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I just want a real storm to track. A threat where there is a legit chance of 6"+. Doesn't even have to be a good chance just at least a real storm. Something sub 1000mb tracking under us. This analyzing strung out crap is beyond annoying. What's the payoff? If we get really lucky an inch ??? No thanks ill punt until we have a shot at something worth it.

X2 not worth investing minutes of life

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Time to stick a fork in this one. At best there might be a coating IF a weak low can manage to sneak far enough north. Pretty epic waste of cold....looks like we get through this period with just the clipper(lame) and the biggest event(tomorrow) being rain. Looking forward to a warm up, and maybe we can salvage the final week of Jan.

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Time to stick a fork in this one. At best there might be a coating IF a weak low can manage to sneak far enough north. Pretty epic waste of cold....looks like we get through this period with just the clipper(lame) and the biggest event(tomorrow) being rain. Looking forward to a warm up, and maybe we can salvage the final week of Jan.

Unless a miracle pops up we are going to lose two weeks in the middle of January. This system tomorrow is the type that should have produced at least some snow  before a changeover if we just had a little better set up. It would have been the usually front end couple inches but it's not to be. Very disappointing to be this cold and not get better results.

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12Z NAM definitely looks colder at the surface than its previous cycle.  Whatever that's worth!  Either way, no matter how much if any ice occurs, mid-30s to 40 and rain will be miserable.  Reminds me of that first week in December.  The NAM also looks a bit more enthusiastic for the "sneaky snow" event, if a few hundredths of an inch and a more expansive looking QPF field can be called enthusiastic.

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