T. August Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 from Plymouth RH maps 850/700, looks like Euro wants to give us a little Wed. morn, but not much Not much precip, but a huge improvement over 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 from Plymouth RH maps 850/700, looks like Euro wants to give us a little Wed. morn, but not much Spreads some light snow over the entire area Wednesday morning. Cold surface temps too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 from Plymouth RH maps 850/700, looks like Euro wants to give us a little Wed. morn, but not much yes...much improved, but probably like a 0.5" - 1".... trend is good...now we have to hope it moistens a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Not much precip, but a huge improvement over 00z. Spreads some light snow over the entire area Wednesday morning. Cold surface temps too. yes...much improved, but probably like a 0.5" - 1".... thanks all it's moving toward the GFS, which is obviously what we want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2015 Author Share Posted January 10, 2015 yes...much improved, but probably like a 0.5" - 1".... trend is good...now we have to hope it moistens a bit Definitely a nice move. Things are lining up on this. Let's collectively will our way to a 1-2/1-3 kinda deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 My guess is that the 2nd system is what it limiting the chances for the bigger coastal but I don't care. I'd rather have the Wed. morning system trend better. Temps won't be a problem and it's closer timewise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 thanks all it's moving toward the GFS, which is obviously what we want looking back at past winters, I have all sorts of 0.5's and 0.75's...probably some like this...you back into some mangled, random -sn event....hopefully it happens and gets wetter...it's so hard to discern evolution from the globals when they just throw a dry blob over the whole region... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Here's a quick article I wrote on the freezing rain threat. I'm with Matt, I don't see this being much of an event around the city except maybe a little on car tops or trash cans. Farther west is trickier. The cold ground further complicates the equation. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/01/10/freezing-rain-possible-for-monday-morning-commute/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 My guess is that the 2nd system is what it limiting the chances for the bigger coastal but I don't care. I'd rather have the Wed. morning system trend better. Temps won't be a problem and it's closer timewise.Coastal never has looked good. Punt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 I was wasting some time looking at the GFS soundings for Wed. morning pretty nice look we don't often get around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Coastal never has looked good. Punt. yes...it never has really worked...our best hope is that the dry blob wednesday gets wetter...of course I am a snow sucker and will take a 0.75"...I know other people don't care about minor stuff...but I am always desperate once I get a taste...let's hope for GFS solution so we can get a 1-2" event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 I haven't completely given up on Thursday as much depends on the northern stream so even though the models are suppressing it, I'm not sure it's a done deal though its certainly has a low probability of doing much. I'll be hoping for my Wed dusting/ inch. Beggars can't be choosy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Definitely a nice move. Things are lining up on this. Let's collectively will our way to a 1-2/1-3 kinda deal. These events tend to trend wetter, but a little wishcasting is mixing in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Coastal never has looked good. Punt. Yeah, I don't get the excitement with this one. I didn't think we were ever good for this. I mean, its a long way off in terms of model accuracy, so no need to punt, but still.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2015 Author Share Posted January 10, 2015 yes...it never has really worked...our best hope is that the dry blob wednesday gets wetter...of course I am a snow sucker and will take a 0.75"...I know other people don't care about minor stuff...but I am always desperate once I get a taste...let's hope for GFS solution so we can get a 1-2" event I'd think just about everyone would be totally happy with another .5-1" of snow that would stick instantly to everything. It's that kind of winter so far for just about everyone up and down the coast. Take what you can get and like it because want we all really want isn't on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 I haven't completely given up on Thursday as much depends on the northern stream so even though the models are suppressing it, I'm not sure it's a done deal though its certainly has a low probability of doing much. I'll be hoping for my Wed dusting/ inch. Beggars can't be choosy. It would be nice to lay something on the ground at some point before the torch, though the torch might not be that torchy at the surface...50s for a couple days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 I'd think just about everyone would be totally happy with another .5-1" of snow that would stick instantly to everything. It's that kind of winter so far for just about everyone up and down the coast. Take what you can get and like it because want we all really want isn't on the table actually its unacceptable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Here's a quick article I wrote on the freezing rain threat. I'm with Matt, I don't see this being much of an event around the city except maybe a little on car tops or trash cans. Farther west is trickier. The cold ground further complicates the equation. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/01/10/freezing-rain-possible-for-monday-morning-commute/ Nice article Wes. Pretty much my thoughts as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 actually its unacceptable I know...but I like snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2015 Author Share Posted January 10, 2015 These events tend to trend wetter, but a little wishcasting is mixing in... Considering it kinda magically appeared in between what we thought would be 2 more significant systems, it's fits the sneaky snow category that can overperform as we close in. Overperform meaning wishcast your head off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 These little events sometimes get better. Could turn into a 3-4 deal like the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2015 Author Share Posted January 10, 2015 actually its unacceptable I gave up on the historic winter in late Dec. Time to figure out how to mangle and mess our way to respectable totals for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 I gave up on the historic winter in late Dec. Time to figure out how to mangle and mess our way to respectable totals for the month. it'd be nice to at least get an event or 2 before our historic February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 These little events sometimes get better. Could turn into a 3-4 deal like the last one.We are a sneaky snow town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 I gave up on the historic winter in late Dec. Time to figure out how to mangle and mess our way to respectable totals for the month.. We count November slush fest in our totals for the year? I don't think we are going to approach acceptable this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2015 Author Share Posted January 10, 2015 it'd be nice to at least get an event or 2 before our historic February Wrong thread for this post but the GEFS has been set on setting us up for better chances before we close the month. It's been showing the AO going negative around the 22nd for 4+ runs in a row. Prob take a few more days to get things right (assuming they go right) so that puts the last week of the month in play. Warm up looks to be a solid 5 days before it though. I plan on enjoying the easy weather and won't complain at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Euro ensembles will show more for Wed a.m. than the operational.....book it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 10, 2015 Author Share Posted January 10, 2015 . We count November slush fest in our totals for the year? I don't think we are going to approach acceptable this month. Jan isn't a particularly snowy month. I'm at 3.8. If I close the month @ 8" then I'm pretty happy. This week doesn't look to be the end of our Jan chances. Jan 25th-35th could be a good window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 I gave up on the historic winter in late Dec. Time to figure out how to mangle and mess our way to respectable totals for the month. i didnt ask for a historic winter but 1 inch snowfalls are not exciting. I like all day snow events even if it amounts to only 6-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 what happened to El Nino and robust southern jet. Our best storm has come from Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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