Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 Where is the para? not updating on wxbell or sv. GFS is such a worthless model it makes me embarrassed to be an American. Not updating @ ncep either. For a second I thought maybe the gfs run is the new one but definitely not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 ha was just saying the same.. tho mainly because it was the most recent SE of us event. i think we could do 1". I'm hoping I can get 1 to 2. Seems possible unless sleet screws things in mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Not updating @ ncep either. For a second I thought maybe the gfs run is the new one but definitely not. Instilling high confidence in our technological prowess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I'm hoping I can get 1 to 2. Seems possible unless sleet screws things in mby. You might be in a sweet spot. I like storms that give me snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Instilling high confidence in our technological prowess. The North Koreans hacked it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 The North Koreans hacked it. If they can get into the military twitter account, they can run circles around ncep I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I'm hoping I can get 1 to 2. Seems possible unless sleet screws things in mby. Hoping we can at least do one down in Fredericksburg, to get into the snow column. What a realistic goal for EZF because I honestly have no clue right now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 If they can get into the military twitter account, they can run circles around ncep I'm sure Hacking a Twitter account is probably 100,000x easier than hacking a government computer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 You say that now..... Id need quite the north trend to be in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Where is the para? not updating on wxbell or sv. GFS is such a worthless model it makes me embarrassed to be an American. There is a note on the tropical tidbits page that says a para run might be skipped a day before the upgrade. How dare they skip this one! This is the most important run of winter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Time to talk about the RAP yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 If they can get into the military twitter account, they can run circles around ncep I'm sure But the bigger question is why would they hack ncep? It's an inverted risk/return ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Id need quite the north trend to be in the game tell me. and then another 75 miles west please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I'm straight up riding the SREF's to total disappointment. Also hoping for the "the best banding sets up north of where the models predict it" to come true... Wish me luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 But the bigger question is why would they hack ncep? It's an inverted risk/return ratio NCEP's systems would accidentally reverse-hack whoever did it, and then corrupt all hardware involved. And then continue to spin-up fantasy storms post-d10. So, basically a Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Hoping we can at least do one down in Fredericksburg, to get into the snow column. What a realistic goal for EZF because I honestly have no clue right now.... EZF looks to be in a sweet spot. Noone should have a goal of more than 1-2 here, but that seems quite possible for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 They are already pre-treating the roads here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 EZF looks to be in a sweet spot. Noone should have a goal of more than 1-2 here, but that seems quite possible for you. My goal honestly is to get our first inch of snow in EZF and that seems reasonable.....So, I guess im in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Time to talk about the RAP yet? Sure. Why not? It trended NW since last hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 12z UKIE looks good... quick estimate looks like 4mm at DCA.... ~6mm at EZF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 12z GEM is 1-2" for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 12z GEM is 1-2" for most of us. yes...0.15? or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Not good form for the PARA not to show up to work a day before it starts its new job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 yes...0.15? or so I can't get zoomed maps but looks like .15 is just se of dc proper. Nice expanse of .10+ though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 12z GEM is 1-2" for most of us. looks solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Not good form for the PARA not to show up to work a day before it starts its new job might be for the best.. especially if it continued to show nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I have to admit that I like seeing those radar returns, however weak, in western SC and NC developing and moving due north instead of NE http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USNC0121&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I can't get zoomed maps but looks like .15 is just se of dc proper. Nice expanse of .10+ though. gemqpf.JPG Lets will this baby in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 GEM snowmap @ standard 10-1. Wes gets 1.5". Go Wes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I have to admit that I like seeing those radar returns, however weak, in western SC and NC developing and moving due north instead of NE http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USNC0121&animate=true close up http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=GSP&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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