OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 We should start a poll. How many MRGL, SLGT and MOD risks for SNE this year. Anyone interested? Put me down for 0. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 Put me down for 0. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 image.jpg We can dream. I guess not all that infrequently we get clipped in the west by some moderate, like Ekster's 9/2012 EML event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 22, 2015 Author Share Posted March 22, 2015 Let's get an update... 40 days!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Some of these runs suggest a chance for training thunderstorms (non-severe variety..) as that front parallels the flow and slowly presses into where 55 + F DP air has overcome the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 23, 2015 Author Share Posted March 23, 2015 Some of these runs suggest a chance for training thunderstorms (non-severe variety..) as that front parallels the flow and slowly presses into where 55 + F DP air has overcome the area. I'll take it anyway I can get it...bring on the season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 12z NAM has regional LI's below 0 on Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 these are always fun to watch https://tvnweather.com/live/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2015 Author Share Posted March 26, 2015 Next week it will be April and we'll only be one month away from May!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 I spy some elevated CAPE today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 I'm itching for some thunder. Just a taste. Then we can give winter a proper sendoff with a few more weeks of snow. Everybody wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2015 Author Share Posted March 26, 2015 I spy some elevated CAPE today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 31, 2015 Author Share Posted March 31, 2015 Tomorrow we will only be one month away from severe wxc season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 hoping you catch one of these!! http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=sel1rad&java=none&mode=archive&frames=10&interval=15&year=2011&month=6&day=1&hour=15&minute=35 Tomorrow we will only be one month away from severe wxc season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 31, 2015 Author Share Posted March 31, 2015 hoping you catch one of these!! http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=sel1rad&java=none&mode=archive&frames=10&interval=15&year=2011&month=6&day=1&hour=15&minute=35 I hope!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 1, 2015 Author Share Posted April 1, 2015 one month to go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Alright Wiz, bow echo to head, give me the odds of a 1953 repeat this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 1, 2015 Author Share Posted April 1, 2015 Alright Wiz, bow echo to head, give me the odds of a 1953 repeat this year. 1:127374735 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 1:127374735 Locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 1, 2015 Author Share Posted April 1, 2015 Locked in. You know it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Marginal risk and 2% tornado probabilities today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 We fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Speak in terms of 'as is' only ... that 12z oper. Euro depiction for D8 might be the first bona fide convective potential. Deep, established warm sector with 850's above 10C suggest some DP advection success, and then that S/W cuts in from the GL... Timing looks decent, too. But, that's AS IS... Obviously a lot is going to change between now in mid week ... at which time more confidence can be gained. It just looks like a nice set up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Wiz: Just over three weeks left!Another cheap MRGL risk...this time for Day 3, sneaking into Fairfield County. I could see a few garden variety storms pop up Friday afternoon if the timing is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 8, 2015 Author Share Posted April 8, 2015 Wiz: Just over three weeks left! Another cheap MRGL risk...this time for Day 3, sneaking into Fairfield County. I could see a few garden variety storms pop up Friday afternoon if the timing is right. Can't wait! I talked to my friend from NH yesterday who usually comes down the final week of May and first week of June to chase and not sure how that is going to work out this year. Just got a second job yesterday and I don't have that online job I had anymore and I don't like taking time of from work so I feel like I won't have many opportunities to get out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 Box discussion has strong damaging winds and small hail in it wheres paul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 17, 2015 Author Share Posted April 17, 2015 Box discussion has strong damaging winds and small hail in it wheres paul For when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted April 17, 2015 Share Posted April 17, 2015 Three ticks on my person tonight and counting. The warm season sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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