Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2015 Author Share Posted January 12, 2015 There isn't north drain though. I do think nrn CT will be tough to get above 32.Intersting setup tomorrow. With no cutter you don't get that west wind warmup. So if you stay at 32 then you just ooze back down as it turns back to a period of snow. We'll see how it plays out I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Winds are really weak...its light SW, but it might even be almost calm at times. Euro showed pretty tough getting the sfc cold out in the interior. The mid-levels are still really marginal in the pike to rt 2 region, so we'll have to watch that closely. We're like less than 1C from being an advisory snow on several pieces of guidance and the Euro is almost straight snow, it was a bit colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Where do you guys get those RGEM maps that have the p-types and accumulated amounts by modeled p-types? Like those higher-res northeast focused maps? I was looking through my bookmarks and can't come up with it. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 school district announced closing due to anticipated inclement weather tomorrow. how dumb is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Exciting-ier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 school district announced closing due to anticipated inclement weather tomorrow. how dumb is that? LOL. Very! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 This looks like a classic light mixed precip sh*t show for some though. The ground is so cold, any ZR will bond immediately. Usually the light mixed events are the worst because the light precip (esp ZR) can accrete easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 This looks like a classic light mixed precip sh*t show for some though. The ground is so cold, any ZR will bond immediately. Usually the light mixed events are the worst because the light precip (esp ZR) can accrete easily. You can have it. We've got enough glacier. Give me an inch or three of snow--and ip if I need to taint. 19.0/7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Where do you guys get those RGEM maps that have the p-types and accumulated amounts by modeled p-types? Like those higher-res northeast focused maps? I was looking through my bookmarks and can't come up with it. Thanks in advance. meteocentre and tropical tidbits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 These events would barely earn a page most years. Now we have 9 pages and the event Friday was similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Exciting-ier I think that looks pretty good. Lot of folks south of the pike, especially SE won't see much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 This looks like a classic light mixed precip sh*t show for some though. The ground is so cold, any ZR will bond immediately. Usually the light mixed events are the worst because the light precip (esp ZR) can accrete easily. Yeah those actually cause the most issues on the roads. The light rain on cold roads...when the rain is moderate to heavy, it often pools and ponds enough to keep things unfrozen unless it's real cold, but at 31F if you can get a light rain steady enough to just wet the pavement but not so much that the rates cause standing water, that's when you'll get the most impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 meteocentre and tropical tidbits Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 It looks like the nam is not as warm and for not as long as prior runs? Hard to tell on my phone but that's how it looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Exciting-ier Awesome. Canadian from the other day FTW? I will take my none to <1" and go with that. ...Won't have to gas up the snow thrower yet. Maybe this will be the year I don't use it at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Good luck and stay safe, everybody Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Where do you guys get those RGEM maps that have the p-types and accumulated amounts by modeled p-types? Like those higher-res northeast focused maps? I was looking through my bookmarks and can't come up with it. Thanks in advance. http://meteocentre.com/models/models.php?lang=en&mod=gemreg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Awesome. Canadian from the other day FTW? I will take my none to <1" and go with that. ...Won't have to gas up the snow thrower yet. Maybe this will be the year I don't use it at all. Yeah sort of a GGEM win but there was nothing that threw a huge red flag until the NAM started trending north and warmer for consecutive runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 BDL has a south wind at 8 knots. Not exactly a classic ice storm look lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Yeah sort of a GGEM win but there was nothing that threw a huge red flag until the NAM started trending north and warmer for consecutive runs. I'm actually thinking a bit of ZR followed by some rain, and then done for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 It looks like the nam is not as warm and for not as long as prior runs? Hard to tell on my phone but that's how it looks. Probably noise. Still a sucky result verbatim anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Probably noise. Still a sucky result verbatim anyway. I don't agree with this. I NWS will bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 RGEM is now introducing a little backend snow for some tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 I don't agree with this. I NWS will bust. I'm with you. If there was ever a best time to bust on the colder side, it would be now at the climo lows. Who knows? Maybe winter '14-15 will throw us a bone tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Eh the back end stuff tends to never happen. The storm moves out faster than modeled and any precipitation left lingering drys out too fast. Here's to me being wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Eh the back end stuff tends to never happen. The storm moves out faster than modeled and any precipitation left lingering drys out too fast. Here's to me being wrong though. Yea I'm skeptical of those back-end totals as well... HRRR guidence has been consistently showing between 0.1-0.2" on the front end (by 1800 UTC), and we will need significantly more precip to reach those lofty totals from the RGEM. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/hrrr.php#alb ---> HRRR guidence that updates every hour. Should cover most of the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Up to 34F at HFD. Up and uppity up we torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Guidance says close the shades and avert your eyes if you hoped for a cooler solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 BDR at 44...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 BDR at 44...wow Probably an error, no station on Long Island is even close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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