SnowGoose69 Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Don't know if the soundings up in SNE are showing this too but there is a huge dry layer below 800mb on all NYC area soundings leading into the event, tons of evaporative cooling room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 So the Canadian goes from rain to a snowstorm in one run. . GFS still seems like 1-3 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 4:44 AM, CoastalWx said: So the Canadian goes from rain to a snowstorm in one run. . GFS still seems like 1-3 or so. Models are nuts this winter for sure!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 4:46 AM, WinterWolf said: Models are nuts this winter for sure!! This winter is the opposite of last on seasonal trend, it was NW last year it's SE this year, I wouldn't be surprised if this event ticks SE gradually the next 48 hours but I think most of you guys will do fine, I would really like to get us over to sleet here and not FZRA as it looks now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 It looks like this is going to be one of those situations where there is a very narrow stripe of advisory level snowfall. It looks like somewhere near the south coast if you believe the GFS NAM solutions. Just a bit farther south and its rain, a county or two north and the precip tapers off fast. GGEM is colder but still warmer than the NAM/GFS solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2015 Author Share Posted January 10, 2015 Euro came in solid again. 2-4 or 5. Not much room for anything more..but we'll see how today's runs look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2015 Author Share Posted January 10, 2015 LOL..It's funny what you get depending on who is on the shift. Snow showers with moderate accumulations? MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCEOF SNOW 70 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Blizz, is it a south to north gradient? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 11:30 AM, Damage In Tolland said: LOL..It's funny what you get depending on who is on the shift. Snow showers with moderate accumulations? MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. No reference at all to accumulations up here. I may need to just hold with the few inches I got yesterday and dream of the GFS system for Thurs/Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 11:26 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Euro came in solid again. 2-4 or 5. Not much room for anything more..but we'll see how today's runs look No 5. Maybe 2-4 if lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Precip on the nrn edge may not have the oomph. Even 2-4 may be pushing it. 6z GFS wasn't too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 12:20 PM, CoastalWx said: Precip on the nrn edge may not have the oomph. Even 2-4 may be pushing it. 6z GFS wasn't too bad. Wagon's south. High pressure gives and high pressure takes away. A lot of taking away this season. Except on the cutters of course. Great flakes here now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 12:31 PM, moneypitmike said: Wagon's south. High pressure gives and high pressure takes away. A lot of taking away this season. Except on the cutters of course. Great flakes here now though. Euro is even some sleet for CT and RI and int se MA. Probably a I-90 deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2015 Author Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 12:36 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro is even some sleet for CT and RI and int se MA. Probably a I-90 deal. Yeah it's an icy mix that flips to snow after a few hours north to south. Although I 'd bet that cold trend continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 12:41 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah it's an icy mix that flips to snow after a few hours north to south. Although I 'd bet that cold trend continues It did tick warmer, but yeah it wouldn't shock me. GFS was actually fairly nice looking. Eh, whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 12:48 PM, CoastalWx said: It did tick warmer, but yeah it wouldn't shock me. GFS was actually fairly nice looking. Eh, whatever.cold low levels may be a little more stout with WAA, these have overpreformed with similar setups before. Would not surprise me to see like Jerry says a 3-6 type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 3:40 AM, Ginxy said: .28 at my house, 3.2 snowYou posted 2.25 after it ended. When did the extra inch come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Gfs looks good for 2-4" I thought. In this season, that would be the biggest event people have seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 2:32 PM, Cold Miser said: You posted 2.25 after it ended. When did the extra inch come?What thread are you in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 2:32 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: In this season, that would be the biggest event people have seen Undoubtedly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 2:32 PM, Cold Miser said: You posted 2.25 after it ended. When did the extra inch come?. I believe that is the model output.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 2:39 PM, JC-CT said: What thread are you inThe wrong one. lol Thought I was still in yesterdays storm thread. Technology useage fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 Or it could rain to the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 NAM is a toaster for SNE, hits the NNE guys pretty decently though. It's a delicate balance between having enough QPF and keeping it cold enough for all/mostly snow. Someone in that lucky band where both verify will hit advisory totals likely, but the majority will probably fall closer to that 1-3" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 2:52 PM, SR Airglow said: NAM is a toaster for SNE, hits the NNE guys pretty decently though. It's a delicate balance between having enough QPF and keeping it cold enough for all/mostly snow. Someone in that lucky band where both verify will hit advisory totals likely, but the majority will probably fall closer to that 1-3" range. Not the model that you want either trending north or warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 2:48 PM, JC-CT said: Or it could rain to the pike. Yesterday's Canadian back on the table? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 2:32 PM, Cold Miser said: You posted 2.25 after it ended. When did the extra inch come?lol dude, that's NAM prog last night for Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 I would gladly take me some NAM up here. Puts down a nice 2-4" snowfall on Monday. The Nickel and Dime winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 2:52 PM, SR Airglow said: but the majority will probably fall closer to that 1-3" range.based on? You are making some assumptions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 10, 2015 Share Posted January 10, 2015 On 1/10/2015 at 2:59 PM, Cold Miser said: Yesterday's Canadian back on the table?I wouldn't quite say that. The CMC is loaded with qpf and was showing snow to Montreal yesterday.The NAM just looks anemic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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