IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 The HRRR is just starting to come into range now but that's a model to start paying attention too, especially tonight. The 17z run has a farily healthy looking line over eastern PA at the end of its run, which matches up fairly well with the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 18z nam brings heavy band of snow into nyc during the morning rush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Like around 8 o clock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Like around 8 o clock? Yes...7-8..12z Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 Like around 8 o clock? 6-9AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 4k NAM spits out 2-4" North of the Driscoll Bridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Thank you. I love looking out my classroom window while it is snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 4k NAM spits out 2-4" North of the Driscoll Bridge.I live around there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 4k NAM spits out 2-4" North of the Driscoll Bridge. 2-4"...come on...more like 1" or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 2-4"...come on...more like 1" or so The graphic I posted starts out with everyone having a snow depth of 2" so minus that off and that's what you get. 1-2" is probably more accurate for most posters here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 The 12z nam was an outlier compared to it's prior runs, the 18z run has sort of reverted to the wetter idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 1-3" areawide looks like a good bet. I wouldn't be surprised if some areas in SENY or NWNJ pick up 3" of pure powder from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I know shoot me, but what is the start time for this event? I havent been following it and i got to drive for a business trip tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I know shoot me, but what is the start time for this event? I havent been following it and i got to drive for a business trip tomorrow morning. 8/9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 18z RGEM still looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 In general, looks like a quick inch or so for most with a chance of 2-3" as you head further N and W. RGEM cut the amounts in half for much of NNJ and where it showed close to 5" for NW NJ, it now shows around 2", but it was the outlier anyway. Mood flakes for sure, though we still wait for a significant snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 This could be our biggest snow event so far this year for some of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 This could be our biggest snow event so far this year. We're about 5 weeks away from being a full year since our last plowable snow here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 We're about 5 weeks away from being a full year since our last plowable snow here... You guys didn't get anything from the T-day storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 You guys didn't get anything from the T-day storm? A little less then an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 New RGEM is 1-3" for all again in the metro area .....even 3-6" for our friends NW. nice band coming through in the morning. GFS still nada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 I probably shouldn't have buried this in the banter thread: There is a small window of opportunity for some OES / enhancement over eastern LI tomorrow morning. I am reminded of this: http://www.northshorewx.com/images/sidebars/OES-20050119.gif OKX is considering something similar and updated the AFD with the following at 10:22PM: A FEW FLURRIES OR POCKETS OF LGT SNOW CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVER LI AND ERN CT WITH THE DEVELOPING STRATUS...OTHERWISE AS THE FRONT APPROACHES TOWARDS DAYBREAK FRIDAY...SOME SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY FOR THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. Not sure if there are any flurries out that way yet, but radar has been picking up the effect of the SW flow over the south fork all evening. Ocean temps are about 6 to 8C close to the shore and warmer further south. 850s aren't expected to warm to any more than about -7 or -8, so plenty of Delta-T for OES. I am not sure how the expected high winds will affect this, but they are expected to have a decent onshore fetch. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0Q-1-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 It'll soon get lost under the brighter returns of the approaching synoptic snows, but you can see OES bands trying to get organized along the NJ coast. Looks like perhaps SSW winds along the shore: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0Q-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Radar looks pretty impressive over Pennsylvania. Not sure how well that will translate for the metro area. Should be a messy commute this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Steady snow falling here w/ a temp of 13.3 Expecting 1-3" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 temps have skyrocketed on the strong sw winds overnight with many south shore locales at or even above freezing as of 4:30am I didn't expect to be flirting with the freezing mark this early but this goes to show you how ocean temps in the low 40;s just offshore can wreak havoc at the surface when combined with strong winds off those waters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 temps have skyrocketed on the strong sw winds overnight with many south shore locales at or even above freezing as of 4:30am I didn't expect to be flirting with the freezing mark this early but this goes to show you how ocean temps in the low 40;s just offshore can wreak havoc at the surface when combined with strong winds off those waters 33 here with winds absolutely screaming off the water. Easily advisory gusts. Luckily this was never a big deal for us or I would be pissed. Radar looks great N of the city for a couple inches. It's still cold aloft here so it's still going to snow just not stick right near the water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 radar looks impressive over my area, but not a flake of snow falling at this time temp 12 F - cloudy. Update, snow has started as of 510 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 It'll soon get lost under the brighter returns of the approaching synoptic snows, but you can see OES bands trying to get organized along the NJ coast. Looks like perhaps SSW winds along the shore: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0Q-1-24 It would not surprise me in the least if Long Island ends up with some of the heaviest amounts because of the thermal contrast setting up. OKX predicts smallest amounts for Long Island...as I've written previously, they generally refuse to reason outside the box. As for the post above regarding potential for something other than snow...that is a non issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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