SpartyOn Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Hope a few more of us can cash in on a couple inches. Good luck guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Should have kept it in the short term thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The GEM is hell bent on making this quite the clipper for MI. NAM/GFS do not bring much snow south of the MI state line, unlike the GEM (& Euro). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 .0001" final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Its American vs foreign models right now...will be interesting if either caves to the other at tonights 00z runs. Its only 2 days away (but I guess that IS asking a lot of these models lol). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Another 1-3". Stat padding the old fashion way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 A bit of contamination from ongoing LES, but not much. 0.1-0.2" QPF could fluff up to 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Have u witnessed any good LES in London yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Have u witnessed any good LES in London yet? Nope, but that should change tomorrow. Could see up to a foot. Flow backs ahead of the clipper so that'll prevent things from going nuts fml. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Final call for Detroit is 1-3" (I can definitely imagine amounts closer to 3" than 1" in an "overachieving" scenario). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Its American vs foreign models right now...will be interesting if either caves to the other at tonights 00z runs. Its only 2 days away (but I guess that IS asking a lot of these models lol). looks like this might be one for those who got screwed to the south with this past one. Having the ggem where you want it might not be a bad thing. If you recall, the ggem was the furthest south and weakest with this last clipper several days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 looks like this might be one for those who got screwed to the south with this past one. Having the ggem where you want it might not be a bad thing. If you recall, the ggem was the furthest south and weakest with this last clipper several days out. Yes, it was the canary in the coal mine. Sniffed that one out. We'll see how it does with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Ah, the old 3 day clipper. Easy first and final call for LAF: 0.0" Good luck to those up north. Hope it overachieves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Might end up with a couple inches, and if we get lucky fluff our way up to 3". Anything beyond that would be surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Ah, the old 3 day clipper. Easy first and final call for LAF: 0.0" Good luck to those up north. Hope it overachieves. I'll say we get some flakes. The ceiling for us is probably a light dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Currently my forecast is calling for an inch. Any snow with the roads this cold is going to be a headache. Para-GFS generous with the snowfall amounts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Not expecting anything with this one here, but we had our fun yesterday. Good luck to you fellas to the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 21z SREF mean around a half inch for LAF (ratios around 13:1). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Currently my forecast is calling for an inch. Any snow with the roads this cold is going to be a headache. Para-GFS generous with the snowfall amounts... Random 6.0" over MBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 21z SREF mean around a half inch for LAF (ratios around 13:1). I'll take the 03z SREF mean! Between this last clipper and lake effect during the day/tonight i have already picked up almost 6" inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I too would like a healthy dose of the SREF means... Would translate to a cool 4" locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 SREF mean blew chunks with the previous clipper for those of us well north of its track....FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Sref actually did decently with qpf....the ratio output was horrible though once it translated it to snow....fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 21z SREF mean around a half inch for LAF (ratios around 13:1). 3z is up to 0.7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I'll take the 03z SREF mean! Between this last clipper and lake effect during the day/tonight i have already picked up almost 6" inches here. 2.5" here since Sunday night here. So good to have that SE MI nickel and diming back between systems...god I missed it in December . Models looking excellent for tomorrow night, and ratios are the wild card. qpf output is increasing every run and if we can fluff it up we will be in for a nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Clipper tracking a little more westerly I see. Looks like 1-3" here with the GFS being most bullish. I'll take it after the failed clipper on Monday, but the cold temps might play with the snow ratios again. Still about 5" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Currently my forecast is calling for an inch. Any snow with the roads this cold is going to be a headache. Para-GFS generous with the snowfall amounts... Tropical Tidbits maps should be on the 'banned' list, always so misleading (this time due to ratios vs any contamination from freezing rain/sleet). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Canadian remains on the bullish side with areal coverage. Note there's some LES "taint" for parts of MI, IN, and OH in this image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 lol^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Have a feeling this is going to over perform for a lot of us, including the Chicago area. Thinking an inch is definitely possible for us, which isn't saying much, but it still an over performer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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