Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 Euro is still looks good for around an inch for most of SNE. Maybe a even a little boost for the coast as it moves east offshore. Not a big ceiling on this one but some good WAA should be enough to squeeze out a minor event. Obviously still 3 days out so minor changes can happen. IYO why is the GFS off its rocker on this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 IYO why is the GFS off its rocker on this event? Why is it off its rocker? It's different than the euro but it could be right. We are talking a pretty small difference. A coating of snow versus maybe an inch. I'd lean euro but there's nothing concrete to say the GFS is wrong here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 IYO why is the GFS off its rocker on this event? How do you know ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 How do you know ?Isnt is usually? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Isnt is usually? Given the euro lately, I don't put all my eggs in one basket either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 Looks like besides the snow we could really roar the sou'westerlies on Friday. Good mixing might roar some 50-55 er's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Looks like besides the snow we could really roar the sou'westerlies on Friday. Good mixing might roar some 50-55 er's hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 hmmmm No agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 No agree? just wondering where you got that from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 just wondering where you got that from.Model Interpretation, science usage, and a bit of climo and pattern recognition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Model Interpretation, science usage, and a bit of climo and pattern recognition oh yeah, of course... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 oh yeah, of course... lol[/quote Fortune cookies and the ouija board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 just wondering where you got that from. that was an excellent blog entry you wrote yesterday, very informative and very reasonable. Not often we break an inversion like that, should be fun. That inversion break the other night was pretty wild then the backside wind yesterday. good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 that was an excellent blog entry you wrote yesterday, very informative and very reasonable. Not often we break an inversion like that, should be fun. That inversion break the other night was pretty wild then the backside wind yesterday. good stuffDid he post that here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Did he post that here? no not here. i think it'll be a lot harder for the interior (though maybe the high terrain stands a slight chance) because places away from the SW marine influence will stay awfully cold. down here...once the arctic air lets go thursday night...it's off to the races, relatively speaking. so we get these ridiculous LL lapse rates through friday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 just wondering where you got that from. Seems familiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 no not here. i think it'll be a lot harder for the interior (though maybe the high terrain stands a slight chance) because places away from the SW marine influence will stay awfully cold. down here...once the arctic air lets go thursday night...it's off to the races, relatively speaking. so we get these ridiculous LL lapse rates through friday afternoon. pretty special setup it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 Could coastal Ri see huge OES totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 pretty special setup it appears well...it's all relative lol i mean...i'm not expecting my roof to get blown off. but has the chance to blow pretty hard for a few hours. will really depend on how well the ll cold is scoured out. climo says it's pretty quick this time of year but if guidance is too emphatic on the warmth at the surface, it'll be a no go for anything over 50 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Model Interpretation, science usage, and a bit of climo and pattern recognition Elaboration on this would be nice to see. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 GFS still has 0.0" for anyone south of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Elaboration on this would be nice to see. Thanks. Twitter equal science Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 The Cape might actually rain Friday. Temps from teens to 40's in short order as winds rip to 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 yeah we start off as snow on Friday morning, than change to rain showers Friday later morning into afternoon. However NWS Taunton WFO likes Wednesday( tomorrow) for OES on northwesterly winds, east half of Cape Cod, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I didn't know there was a Cape Cod in Morocco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Nam out of its ideal 3 hour range is bullish for Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 NAM is spitting out 1-3" for all of SNE (.13" at BOS, .19" at ORH, and .20" at BDL), and most of NNE, too bad it's the LR NAM though. Glad to see it coming onboard though, it was the compromise between GFS/Para and all other models, so seeing it go very bullish makes one think the GFS might get better as well. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 GFS got better for SNE, not as good as the other guidance but definitely a shift in that direction. Still looks good for NNE as well. Edit: Para's better also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Almost looks like the Euro now. Still a tad paltry out east wheras the Euro actually almost enhances it out east. The whole systme is a fast moving shot of WAA with big PVA-induced lift. A quick 2-3 hour burst of snow sounds pretty reasonable based on the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Will, what does the EURO show for Cape Cod, MA? Is it colder with surface temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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