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NNE Winter 2014-2015 Thread Part 2


klw

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Speaking of which, here's an awesome webcam loop from Nashville, VT of the squalls moving in and out...hopefully this vid is public or else you won't be able to see it.

I love how once the snow moved out and the skies clear everywhere but over Mansfield proper which continuously regenerates clouds. Makes it easy to visualize how that mountain seems to get so much precipitation throughout the year, you almost always have this little pocket of enhanced lift right there.

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=10204999683983511&id=1584305183

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I was just reading through the BTV NWS forecast discussion and saw 250-260 degrees mentioned for wind flow tomorrow into tomorrow night with respect to Lake Ontario.  The current LES event is nothing like the ones from November of course, but ~255 degrees lines things up pretty nicely for moisture being transported to the Mansfield area, assuming areas downwind have a similar trajectory.  That trajectory led to some nice bonus moisture in those November events, so it sort of piques my interest now when I hear about an extended period with flow in that direction:

 

Well, it looks like flow is ~260º off the northern half of Lake Ontario right now – that's right in the range that the BTV NWS was talking about in their discussion yesterday.  Bump that number down a few degrees and it's hitting Mansfield area.  You can see why I was interested when I saw that 250-260º flow mentioned!

 

09JAN15B.gif

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A nice little lake effect streamer on radar crossing the Champlain Valley into JSpin's area...

 

I'm not sure exactly when the snow started (some point after 8:00 PM because that's when I had cleared the boards this evening and it was fairly light then) but I checked an hour after your post and found 0.8" on the board; so I'm guessing snowfall is somewhere in the ½-1"/hr range.

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Event totals: 1.1” Snow/0.05" L.E.

 

We had 1.0" of snow with today's activity as of 8:00 PM this evening.

 

Details from the 8:00 P.M. Waterbury observations:

 

New Snow: 1.0 inches

New Liquid: 0.04 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 25.0

Snow Density: 4.0% H2O

Temperature: 14.5 F

Sky: Light Snow (1-3 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 3.5"

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Event totals: 1.6” Snow/0.10" L.E.

 

We'd picked up 1.4" from that Lake Ontario LES streamer during the initial surge, and then another couple of tenths at some point after that.  I had planned to include that snowfall in the Clipper/cold front event from yesterday, but the BTV NWS forecast discussion speaks about it specifically, so I'm breaking it out as a discrete event:

 

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...

AS OF 933 PM EST FRIDAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND HAS PUSHED SOUTH

OF SAINT LAWRENCE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN NEW YORK TONIGHT. FLOW

ALOFT NOW LOOKS TO STAY FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST WHICH WOULD

KEEP STRONGEST PORTION OF THE BAND SOUTH OF OUR AREA. AS A

RESULT...FEEL THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE

SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SAINT LAWRENCE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IS VERY

LOW. THUS HAVE GONE AHEAD AND DROPPED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW

WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN THIS AREA. THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT

SNOW OVERNIGHT IN THIS AREA...BUT ANY ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE LESS

THAN AN INCH. BEFORE THIS BAND PUSHED SOUTH...A PIECE OF THE BAND

BROKE OFF AND IS MOVING ACROSS ESSEX COUNTY NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN

CHITTENDEN...SOUTHERN LAMOILLE...WASHINGTON...AND NORTHERN ADDISON

COUNTIES. THIS BAND WILL MOVE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW

HOURS...BUT COULD PRODUCE UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW.

 

Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations:

 

New Snow: 1.6 inches

New Liquid: 0.10 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 16.0

Snow Density: 6.3% H2O

Temperature: 10.0 F

Sky: Mostly Clear

Snow at the stake: 5.5"

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It just won't stop snowing, but no complaints here.  Visibility this morning has been under a mile most of the morning with steady light snow.

 

I see sunshine on ski area web cams to the south, but no sun here.

 

Steady 1/4" per hour stuff since 5am.  Up to 5" now at 3,000ft in the last 24 hours, and 2.8" at 1,500ft.

 

Very small flakes that are hard to see but visibility is running around 3/4sm.

 

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