mreaves Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 2" here in Barre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 About 2" here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Some better flakes trying to get going now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 3" so far at the base. Snow growth has been ok, even though its -5F. Looking at the radar we've got a decent ways to go. That back end is going to linger and its still out near BUF. I see J.Spin's camera has 3-4" on it now, he may make 8". I think this will work out about as expected, I was going for a half a foot here. Take these 6" snows every couple days all season long if I could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 3" so far at the base. Snow growth has been ok, even though its -5F. Looking at the radar we've got a decent ways to go. That back end is going to linger and its still out near BUF. I see J.Spin's camera has 3-4" on it now, he may make 8". I think this will work out about as expected, I was going for a half a foot here. Take these 6" snows every couple days all season long if I could. 6" is right for this event. All models were in good agreement around .5" qpf or so. With ratios being what they are 6" is going to work out. Prob. ski pretty well given the flake shape and density. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 From an hour or so ago...its really coming down right now though. It was lighter when this pic was taken, but you can see the flake size is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Yeah our temp has been falling and we are -3 now. Hopefully it does work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 6" is right for this event. All models were in good agreement around .5" qpf or so. With ratios being what they are 6" is going to work out. Prob. ski pretty well given the flake shape and density. Its really pretty fluffy...I'd bet 20:1 ratios on the mountain. Flakes are decent sized. This morning's models dropped QPF a bit to more like 0.3-0.5", but its nuking right now so we'll see what happens. This is easily 1"/hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Just took an actual measurement and got 2.7" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Event totals: 0.8” Snow/0.08" L.E. It's pretty neat to see such a substantial amount of snow falling like this at temperatures around zero F, we don’t see that too often. Flakes have been a mixture of sizes, with a lot of small ones and a few larger ones up to 4 mm in diameter. Overall density came in right at 10% H2O with this morning's core, so a very standard synoptic-type density. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.8 inches New Liquid: 0.08 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 10.0 Snow Density: 10.0% H2O Temperature: 0.5 F Sky: Snow (1-4 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 11.5" As of mid morning it looks like there's been 4 to 5 inches of snow at the house, with what appear to be notably larger flakes. There have been some updates to the BTV NWS advisory and accumulations maps, so I've added them below. The advisory map is now wall to wall Winter Storm Warnings, and the projected accumulations map has been refined a bit. It seems pretty similar in Vermont, but numbers have increased over toward the Saint Lawrence Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 3" so far at the base. Snow growth has been ok, even though its -5F. Looking at the radar we've got a decent ways to go. That back end is going to linger and its still out near BUF. I see J.Spin's camera has 3-4" on it now, he may make 8". I think this will work out about as expected, I was going for a half a foot here. Take these 6" snows every couple days all season long if I could. Yeah, I was thinking the lower end of the forecast range if the snow stayed at the 10% H2O density that this morning's core revealed, but I'd say flake growth has increased the rate of accumulation as the morning has proceeded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 It is finally looking like a snowstorm out there with moderate snow and decent flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 It is cranking up here. 4-5" now. Fairly even accumulations with elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 1.5" as of 7am. Made the long slow way to work this morning despite a Super Bowl hangover (in a good way) so not sure what's happened since. Feeling 6-8"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 3.7 as of 12:15pm and back to more sugary flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This is one of those ground-obs-are-never-in-sync-with-radar storms. Seems to be a 4 frame lag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Back to almost flurries now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Dumping here. Had a period of large flakes but now back to snail grains. Wind was mild until u got above 3000' then it was howling west right back over the ridge line (blocked flow???). Skiing is great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This is one of those ground-obs-are-never-in-sync-with-radar storms. Seems to be a 4 frame lag. Probably have a good drift going on below the beam. These small flakes can get blown off course so to speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Back of the envelop calculation based on you being roughly 4500 feet below the beam and assuming an average northeast wind speed of 25 knots in that layer, would be about an 11 mile drift of flakes. So your snowfall is actually coming from about 11 miles to your northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j24vt Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 5.6" at 12:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 4" at noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Hopefully the deform snows on the back end will make up the difference to reach that 7 inch mark or so. We are at that couple of tenths per hour rate I would guess. It is very light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Up to 5.1". It snowed fairly hard the past hour, but maybe the wind is causing issues. Looks like another event that will underperform. 6.0F and -SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Back of the envelop calculation based on you being roughly 4500 feet below the beam and assuming an average northeast wind speed of 25 knots in that layer, would be about an 11 mile drift of flakes. So your snowfall is actually coming from about 11 miles to your northeast. Yup...I've been noticing it too so I've been cheering on the bands just to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Up to 5.1". It snowed fairly hard the past hour, but maybe the wind is causing issues. Looks like another event that will underperform. 6.0F and -SN Yeah this is looking like a partial bust here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 4 inches on the nose here as of 1:15pm (0.3 in the last hour) and snow has tapered off to flurries for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Up to 5.1". It snowed fairly hard the past hour, but maybe the wind is causing issues. Looks like another event that will underperform. 6.0F and -SN I was always a little concerned about going hog wild on snow amounts. I thought widespread 6-10 looked good up here with isolated higher amounts scattered from your south through coastal Maine. That 10-14" range we have is terrible, I'd rather have 8-12" in there somewhere but it's not up to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Back of the envelop calculation based on you being roughly 4500 feet below the beam and assuming an average northeast wind speed of 25 knots in that layer, would be about an 11 mile drift of flakes. So your snowfall is actually coming from about 11 miles to your northeast. Good to know. I'm rooting for yellow pixels over Moultonboro now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 The Euro goes to down with another coastal for Thu night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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