moneypitmike Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Temp ticked down to 30.7/30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Only 40f still here in Brooklyn CT. Kevin is looking pretty good with his call of places in northern ct not getting into high50s and low 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 These situations seem to be the biggest bust temp wise and must be difficult to forecast (I know I'm not capable, lol). I didn't have to do it luckily, but I warned my co-worker of it. Many of us have seen this story all too often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I still have snow otg. Amazing and since I've been mixed out for a few hours I wonder how much warmer I get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Only 40f still here in Brooklyn CT. Kevin is looking pretty good with his call of places in northern ct not getting into high50s and low 60s. Well I'd take that bet of hitting 60 ... A hundred times in a row and win all 100. It takes a torched atmosphere from the top down, no snowcover and full sun with a west wind to do that in Jan. I said days ago.. Be very wary of any torch that starts with significant qpf. It's true even in the summer. That said it will get into the 40's which is still terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I don't think anyone should be shocked that cold held out ; we spoke about yesterday and why. And so relative to this purview there is no bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I still have snow otg. Amazing and since I've been mixed out for a few hours I wonder how much warmer I get? Nah, if you were mixed out you'd be in the 50s... Are you in the 50s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I didn't have to do it luckily, but I warned my co-worker of it. Many of us have seen this story all too often. In your operational ...do they give you caveat sentence blocks ..er sumpin'? Like, can you say, cloudy with snow/sleet transitioning to freezing rain, ending as drizzle, temps slowly rising overnight to a high tomorrow afternoon of 55F -- caveat, a weak wave of low pressure may develop in Boston Harbor, causing the warm to be delayed. If so highs holding around 40 ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 While I've had little variance since 5:30, I just hit my lowest temp since then--not exactly the way it was forecasted. Kudo's to those who said the cold would hang tough. I had expected lower than the forecast based on your thoughts, but I did not expect to be holding below freezing until at least 2:00p.m. 30.4/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 DDH up to 52F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Well I'd take that bet of hitting 60 ... A hundred times in a row and win all 100. It takes a torched atmosphere from the top down, no snowcover and full sun with a west wind to do that in Jan. I said days ago.. Be very wary of any torch that starts with significant qpf. It's true even in the summer. That said it will get into the 40's which is still terrible I can be the first to go against you sometimes with your ideas. So let me give you credit for that call Kevin!! Good Call on the temps!! :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I can be the first to go against you sometimes with your ideas. So let me give you credit for that call Kevin!! Good Call on the temps!! :-) Meh, it'll still torch to some degree. I'm at 39 and rising. Maybe it will hit 50 here. You guys in the valley though may never really warm much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Cold air holding very tight at the surface. Still 33 here. And as a result it's very, very foggy. 1/8SM at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Shot up to 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Holding out at 38.9 here. 50's creeping up slowly but surely though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 While I've had little variance since 5:30, I just hit my lowest temp since then--not exactly the way it was forecasted. Kudo's to those who said the cold would hang tough. I had expected lower than the forecast based on your thoughts, but I did not expect to be holding below freezing until at least 2:00p.m. 30.4/30 yeah, but in your credit... we were making fun of you yesterday when you were saying no way. I know I did, when I said how it was all of the cosmos against Kevin; it'll be interesting to see who wins. Even though you COMPLETELY knew a meso-wave would develop over Coastal Ma and near-by waters, thus enhancing cold drain ... retarding the boundary due to (and this was particularly his genius ...) hydrostactic inhibition... Terrific meteorological insight there. Bow folks. Bow ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Nah, if you were mixed out you'd be in the 50s... Are you in the 50s? No. I just dumbly assumed with west winds the past hour or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 No. I just dumbly assumed with west winds the past hour or 2. Heh, not dumb necessarily... But being N of the warm front, a west drift to the wind is very ageostrophic, indicative that even though it's above freezing... we're still draining some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 35.8F here Fog Dripping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Heh, not dumb necessarily... But being N of the warm front, a west drift to the wind is very ageostrophic, indicative that even though it's above freezing... we're still draining some. Winds turned NE for me at 1PM today after a few hours of westerly flow. The cold is holding here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Some called this, few (maybe only Kev) forecast it, but the majority called for rising temps and any snow to essentially wash away. And although I really didn't pay much attention to the tv met's, I know my neighbors did as I was the only one on my street of about 20 homes to have shoveled the driveway this morning. Even now, the majority of the drives are still covered although it appears a handful have given up hope are out there now. fog rolling in and 34.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 We're all still going to mix out at some point. 00z-03z always looked warmest over the interior. It's nice to avoid the torch during the daytime hours though. 31.0F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 49 here fog has lifted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Still 39-40 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 In your operational ...do they give you caveat sentence blocks ..er sumpin'? Like, can you say, cloudy with snow/sleet transitioning to freezing rain, ending as drizzle, temps slowly rising overnight to a high tomorrow afternoon of 55F -- caveat, a weak wave of low pressure may develop in Boston Harbor, causing the warm to be delayed. If so highs holding around 40 ?? Yeah we have a TAF disco to convey thoughts. But, whether it's 39 or 59..IFR is IFR, so that is what matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 We're all still going to mix out at some point. 00z-03z always looked warmest over the interior. It's nice to avoid the torch during the daytime hours though. 31.0F You don't have to see the dripping then. 30.7/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 We're all still going to mix out at some point. 00z-03z always looked warmest over the interior. It's nice to avoid the torch during the daytime hours though. 31.0F those silly MAV upper 50s and 60s during the day fooled a ton of forecasters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Yeah we have a TAF disco to convey thoughts. But, whether it's 39 or 59..IFR is IFR, so that is what matters. O/T but do you do strictly aviation forecasting, or do you guys have other clients? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 O/T but do you do strictly aviation forecasting, or do you guys have other clients? The company does forecasting for energy traders too. We used to do forecasts for power grid companies too, but that went away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 those silly MAV upper 50s and 60s during the day fooled a ton of forecastersYeah. Those were maxes through 00Z though. NE MA/NH/ME looked relatively cool on a lot of guidance the last couple of days for the daylight hours. I didn't buy temps that high even though I posted them. I think I posted something to Kevin like maybe it'll be low 50s at ORH instead of upper 50s. That may have trouble too though...maybe only mid 40s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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