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January 3-4, 2015 Storm Obs/Nowcast


Baroclinic Zone

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You're probably right on the edge of the inversion. Probably like 50F a couple thousand feet above you haha.

 

Was thinking the same thing. Quite the inversion going on.

 

Still only 33.8/33 after a high of 34.3 about an hour ago.

 

Snow otg is going to linger around here. 

 

I'm guessing my cabin will net about 5". Temp up there never broke 32. They got the snow where they need it most.

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Always amazed by your snow totals and retention of the cold right on the coast.

I'm not really "right on the coast". I'm approx 10 nautical miles north of Ft. Popham. Right on the eastern edge of the peninsula, across from the upper end of Arrowsic Island. I think the air funneling down the Kennebec River Valley really helps out here. I have seen the coastal front set up just 2-3 miles to my south quite a few times over the 8 winters that I lived here. During the summer months, I am close enough to the coast to enjoy the sea breeze keeping the putrid heat at bay.

24.2°F

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I'm not really "right on the coast". I'm approx 10 nautical miles north of Ft. Popham. Right on the eastern edge of the peninsula, across from the upper end of Arrowsic Island. I think the air funneling down the Kennebec River Valley really helps out here. I have seen the coastal front set up just 2-3 miles to my south quite a few times over the 8 winters that I lived here. During the summer months, I am close enough to the coast to enjoy the sea breeze keeping the putrid heat at bay.

24.2°F

Makes sense, thanks
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There's only a very brief window for temps to spike into the 40's around 5:00 -6:00or so..If they don't CAA and dews crash quickly thereafter

 

 

No, there core of the cold lags the front by quite a bit. The dews will come down some, but don't be shocked at hours of 45F on WSW winds this evening. Still won't be shocked if it spikes above 50 either. Just look at central and western NY/PA right now...strong west winds and temps in the 50s, the front is already through there.

 

2015010418_metars_alb.gif

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No, there core of the cold lags the front by quite a bit. The dews will come down some, but don't be shocked at hours of 45F on WSW winds this evening. Still won't be shocked if it spikes above 50 either. Just look at central and western NY/PA right now...strong west winds and temps in the 50s, the front is already through there.

 

2015010418_metars_alb.gif

Hoping the Nam and HRRR are right in  flip back to snow tonight to replace the loss of today. Up to 38 now

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I'm pretty sure BOX had me in the low 50's by now (yesterday AM), but they've revised my high to 42 later on this evening. This cold air holding on much longer than forecast.

 

I'll say this, the meso models really held you colder. We stated that yesterday. The CAD is still holding out better than expected, but take the under when even the meso models are holding the CAD longer.  They even had me colder until this aftn.

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I'll say this, the meso models really held you colder. We stated that yesterday. The CAD is still holding out better than expected, but take the under when even the meso models are holding the CAD longer.  They even had me colder until this aftn.

 

These situations seem to be the biggest bust temp wise and must be difficult to forecast (I know I'm not capable, lol). 

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