TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Gonna be a better front end thump than many thought me thinks... Unless I'm missing something.. Looks like a nice period of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Light Snow has begun 1:59PM. Increasing in intensity, 33oF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Gonna be a better front end thump than many thought me thinks... Unless I'm missing something.. Looks like a nice period of snow I'd prefer to see more solid/steady banded precip behind the first wave in SW CT and SE NY...there's a gap in the steady stuff. It can stay cold aloft for snow, but if you don't have the precip falling, it doesn't matter. Regardess, we'll see how it develops because it could easily fill in. The models actually sort of show this happening between 21z and 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Yeah radar sucks. Hopefully that fills in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Obviously you know this ... but it depends on fall rate. I've seen it start snowing at a 20F gap... Actually, I saw beeds of sleet bouncing at 45/10 before... But, yeah, in general, the gap closes to about 80 to 85% RH and a few flits show up in the street lamp, or catch your eye and triggers you to look for it. Thing is, ...this has the look on rad and some modeling as "coming in like a wall" in style. Could be one of those times were at 65% you go from not much to 1/2 mile visibility in the time it takes to do your dishes. yes. I was figuring about 1 hour for the better returns to make it from Southwest Connecticut to my location. 2:07 and I have not seen anything yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 I'd prefer to see more solid/steady banded precip behind the first wave in SW CT and SE NY...there's a gap in the steady stuff. It can stay cold aloft for snow, but if you don't have the precip falling, it doesn't matter. Regardess, we'll see how it develops because it could easily fill in. The models actually sort of show this happening between 21z and 00z. Yeah radar sucks. Hopefully that fills in.My last post was after I took a peek at all the hires modeling. Pretty much all in good agreement. Radar really blossoms in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2015 Author Share Posted January 3, 2015 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...100 PM UPDATE...PRECIP CONTINUES TO APPROACH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON.TIMING STILL LOOKS GOOD WITH SNOW MOVING INTO THE CT VALLEY AROUND2PM. IN FACT WITHIN THE PAST HOURS NYC AND ITS AIRPORTS DROPPEDDOWN TO A MILE WITH EITHER SNOW OR WINTRY PRECIP. PER WEBCAMS ITAPPEARS THAT IT IS NOT ACCUMULATING BUT THEN AGAIN THERE TEMPS AREWARMER THAN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. STILL BELIEVE THAT ONCE PRECIPBEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA IT WILL BEGIN TO ACCUMULATED AS TEMPSARE AT OR BELOW 32F. TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREAD IS STILL QUITE LARGE BUTSOUNDINGS DO SHOW THAT THEY WILL QUICKLY MOISTEN WITHIN THE NEXTHOUR OR TWO TO ALLOW FOR PRECIPITATION. NOT SURE ON HOW QUICKLYTHE SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE AS THE BEST LIFT IS BELOW TO THE SNOWGROWTH REGION. REGARDLESS STILL BELIEVE THAT A QUICK INCH OR TWOIS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE WINTRY MIX MOVES IN THIS EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Obs coming out of Jersey and E PA and SE NY are damn impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 I'm sticking by my guns 2-3" here of snow/sleet I interested in Tips idea of Sunday evening having a flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2015 Author Share Posted January 3, 2015 If my recollection is correct, we've seen this shredded radar representation with these sorts of systems with the strong primary cutting west of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 This is from the NWS EDD v4.4 pretty nice tool to use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 I'm on the bus from NYC to Boston now, just leaving Manhattan. Snowing quite well with a nice slushy coating over cars and grass. Should be much nicer once we hit CT. Will be nice to get back home to some snowfall finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Mod. Snow now, grounds coated white already, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Didn't think I'd see any snow here in NY, was a nice treat for my family visiting from Brazil (this is their first time seeing snow and they're mesmerized). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 snow mixing with sleet now, 34/30-roads wet, light coating on the grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 My last post was after I took a peek at all the hires modeling. Pretty much all in good agreement. Radar really blossoms in the next few hours. It usually does, but any fractured crap and lousy lift would hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Started in Farmington CT just 10 min ago.....instantly sticking....we were visiting our local pond where we ice skate and it went from clear and dark to white almost immediately.....so sweet..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Snowing nicely here, 1/4 inch maybe...roads are covered 31.9F/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Norwalk CT coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Radar west of the Quabbin looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Gorgeous flakes, best snow this season by far for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 we snow... in like a wall SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 That initial thump is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Nice positive bust down here . 1.8 on table top over 2.5 in grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 It usually does, but any fractured crap and lousy lift would hurt.I think it's just the dry air? We know that's about to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Cloudy 27 no snow though accuweather says snow will stop in 15 min lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 I think BOS starts around 4pm. Probably a flip between 8pm-9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Cloudy 27 no snow though accuweather says snow will stop in 15 min lol.Step one in your wx hobby. Block accuweather on your web browser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 already coated up nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Wonder how long the drive from NY to Boston will end up being today. It's already extra slow and we haven't even entered interior SNE :S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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