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January 3-4, 2015 Storm Obs/Nowcast


Baroclinic Zone

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  On 1/4/2015 at 2:59 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I knew it was too good to be true.

 

Pretty confident that the cf went through.

Won't stop rising.

Sucks.

 

That's weird, BED went NW, but looks like they are rising a bit. Still, if you go above 32, but drop a bit in the morning perhaps.

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  On 1/4/2015 at 3:04 AM, CoastalWx said:

That's weird, BED went NW, but looks like they are rising a bit. Still, if you go above 32, but drop a bit in the morning perhaps.

I've risen 2* in 15 minutes.....ever since you made that post.

 

Its like my locale has an allergy to ice....no sooner than I transitioned to a precip type other than snow, my temp began to spike very rapidly.

29.2/27

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  On 1/4/2015 at 3:06 AM, dendrite said:

Yup...just to our west. I think we have about another hour max.

+SN and 21.6F

3.0" new

1.3" last hr

Warner reporting snow.  I am getting pretty heavy snow, somewhere near 3.5.  1/2" in the last 20 minutes.  Clumpier now and wetter so the change is coming it seems.  Amazing how the surface temps have stayed so cold.  Only 19.1 200 yards from me.

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  On 1/4/2015 at 3:11 AM, ineedsnow said:

Big ice tonight if we can get the precip in here

 

 

I don't think big ice is in the cards, but I've been out of the loop on things the last couple of hours. 

 

What's the take on precipitation amounts?  Looks like we're heading in to a lull per radar.  I think if there's going to be big ice, that would need to be more robust.  My fear is that by the time heavier amounts roll in, the warmth will accompany it.

 

20.1/18

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  On 1/4/2015 at 3:14 AM, mahk_webstah said:

Warner reporting snow.  I am getting pretty heavy snow, somewhere near 3.5.  1/2" in the last 20 minutes.  Clumpier now and wetter so the change is coming it seems.  Amazing how the surface temps have stayed so cold.  Only 19.1 200 yards from me.

Springfield is sleet and 18.9F.
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  On 1/4/2015 at 3:16 AM, dendrite said:

Springfield is sleet and 18.9F.

damn that is wnw of us.  we might hit 4 inches and it would seem to be a while before the surface goes above freezing.  Temps aren't soaring to our south.  I wonder if the dry slot stays to our south...if so then we are sleet and freezing rain for a while.

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  On 1/4/2015 at 3:23 AM, dendrite said:

The mid-level CAD and higher terrain in W NH is helping fight off the IP on dual-pol. It's washing out pretty well in western Merrimack County. These are 1"+/hr rates so every 20-30 mins is a big deal.

5 inches was my number for declaring this a success as I think that gives us a bullet proof pack if there is a good crust on top.  We might just get there.  Was out that way today.  Just between Salisbury and Andover there was full snow cover this morning, all the way out to New London.  Pretty dramatic difference from here.

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  On 1/4/2015 at 3:00 AM, Ginxy said:

of course they would pretreat in SWCT and not NE CT,made perfect sense

Didn't make much sense given the borderline temps and heavy traffic which adds a couple of degrees. Roads only ever got wet here, though there were a few accidents in back country including the Merritt.
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