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Jan 6-7 Potential Clipper


HoarfrostHubb

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The ground is already covered still got over an inch and had two good squalls so far this morning :)

 

 

There's a nice cover here in the valley - better than anything and more than at my house which is unusual.  I'd prefer it the other way, but what can you do!

 

It will be nice if we can add some powdery cover in time for Wednesday.  I'm looking forward to the cold.

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Never really warmed here looks like winter still

There's a nice cover here in the valley - better than anything and more than at my house which is unusual. I'd prefer it the other way, but what can you do!

It will be nice if we can add some powdery cover in time for Wednesday. I'm looking forward to the cold.

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Far SE MA, and CC and south coast of RI could still get an inch or two out of this. There's some inverted trough potential too...not much, but hey, something is better than nothing if you like snow and hate bare ground when temps are frigid.

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I see where Will got that from. RGEM extends a little finger or spoke up twds E LI and SE CT

 

I actually hadn't even looked at the RGEM model yet when I posted that, but you are right it does show that looking at it now. It also shows a random stripe from Essex county MA into S NH...but that type of stuff is going to look different probably each run.

 

But I'd def look for a bit of enhancement in SE areas.

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Far SE MA, and CC and south coast of RI could still get an inch or two out of this. There's some inverted trough potential too...not much, but hey, something is better than nothing if you like snow and hate bare ground, and live in far SE MA, and CC and south coast of RI when temps are frigid.

Fixed.

 

I suppose it will be good if at least some are able to cash in on this.

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18z NAM looked too far south to bring anything more than a trace of snow to Cape and Islands, but now looking at hour 18 through 21, its looks like it would bring more to the region.  Also why isn't the inverted trough moving south with the clipper low?  Would they move in tandem?  Or is it due to the connection between the low over the Lakes and the low offshore?

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QPF is paltry, but just pay attention to the flow at the surface, we could get some ocean enhancement.  Although the NAM is the only model showing that right now.  Any ideas on what the EURO was showing in terms of snowfall for the region?  I can only see the free site maps and they are 24 hours apart.

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Due to the shortwave shredding out somewhat through a more compressed flow over the Northeastern US, the redevelopment process is slower as modeled and therefore we can't get any healthy QPF into the region.  This can change within 21 hours, but again that is near 2% chance of happening, models are pretty good within 48 hours.

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James I'd just plan on some flurries or light snow showers with a trace or 1/2" possible.  I think here I'll barely see a dusting.  This is a dead ratter.

Yup.

Start low, and increase from there, instead of the other way around which seems to happen more times than not around here.

Keep expectations low, and then be surprised if the end result is more than expected.

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Yup.

Start low, and increase from there, instead of the other way around which seems to happen more times than not around here.

Keep expectations low, and then be surprised if the end result is more than expected.

 

I expect this storm to exceed my expectations, actually. 

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