BullCityWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 The sign of a good cold shot in the south has nothing to do with minimum temperatures but with low maximum temperatures. You can fall into having a day or two with temps in the lower 10's but to end up around 25 or 26, that takes some doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 The sign of a good cold shot in the south has nothing to do with minimum temperatures but with low maximum temperatures. You can fall into having a day or two with temps in the lower 10's but to end up around 25 or 26, that takes some doing. Very good point sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 fwiw - can ya'all take the "how coldest imby" to PM? It's hard to see the forest .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 fwiw - can ya'all take the "how coldest imby" to PM? It's hard to see the forest .... THIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 THIS I don't want any PM's on this personally. Banter would be better imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I don't want any PM's on this personally. Banter would be better imo. Everything has been moved to banter Now.....back to your regular scheduled program Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 It seems that once about every five years we have highs in the 20's with full sunshine (anecdotal). That's impressive cold for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 There were actually people who said this could rival last January's cold ? This won't even be close. At least 5-7 degrees warmer for both the highs and lows compared to early January last year. This is really just your typical January arctic air. Not even close to record cold. We see this kind of cold almost every January. In a typical winter, our lowest temp is around 12 degrees or so. I don't live in Carrollton Georgia but I bet you 100 bucks that you can count the number of 12 degree mornings in the past decade on one hand! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I don't live in Carrollton Georgia but I bet you 100 bucks that you can count the number of 12 degree mornings in the past decade on one hand! This station has similar readings to Carrollton. There are six below 12F in January of 2014 alone. http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/cartersville-ga/30120/january-weather/332425?monyr=1/1/2014&view=table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 This station has similar readings to Carrollton. There are six below 12F in January of 2014 alone. http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/cartersville-ga/30120/january-weather/332425?monyr=1/1/2014&view=table Carrolton had 4 days below 12 in Jan, 2014. EDIT: Correction 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 It is hard for us in Charleston to have days below 38 or 39 degrees without cold air damming or a very cold high like this. We usually only have one or two days in the 30s every year. A below freezing high may happen once every four or five winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Local news here saying windchills in the 6-10 degree range Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 You know its cold when: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I'm going for a low of 8 for mby tomorrow night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 [/img] Holy cow, a 1063? Don't know that I ever remember seeing that in North America. Wonder if it verifies......? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The 00z Hi-Res NAM has it getting down to 10 here tomorrow night. I'm not sure if the Hi-Res NAM has any biases at the surface, though. The regular NAM looks about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 its 29 already tonight imby, colder than I expected! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The 00z Hi-Res NAM has it getting down to 10 here tomorrow night. I'm not sure if the Hi-Res NAM has any biases at the surface, though. The regular NAM looks about the same.Check out the 18z RGEM. Has it getting down to 18 here!Edit: 0z RGEM at 17 degrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 What's up everyone...sorry I haven't been active on this thread over the past day or two, I've got too many irons in the fire right now and don't have much time to do anything without going to something else.First off...I hope everyone in the Southeast is ready for the next 48-72 hours. This does not look to be as cold as last year but it will be nothing to sneeze at...I think a problem we run into sometimes is shortly after witnessing a once in a generation type of outbreak like we did last year, we tend to go into this phase of dismissing succeeding events as being nominal. I've noticed that with some of the comments on here at times which is unfortunate...we live in a part of the country that just cannot handle a sustained period of abnormal cold without some inconveniences or disruptions occuring...so I hope everyone takes that into consideration when it all comes down to it.As far as my specific area, the North Carolina Foothills, I think our numbers will enter the single digits on Thursday morning, may 7 degrees or so...but you won't have to jump very far in elevation to go at or below zero for air temperatures...I think anyone above 2500 ft has a shot. Wind chills will drop to or just below zero for a small period in the foothills with -10 to -20 above 3000 ft...I would be shocked if there are not some school delays in Western North Carolina on Thursday...will those delays cover the entire southeast like it did last January? Maybe...maybe not?Again, thanks to everyone who have taken part in this thread...please post your Thursday morning low and afternoon high temps in here so we can see how well this event verified... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 30.9f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Starting off at 21 degrees. All down hill from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Buncombe (Asheville) schools already on 2 hour delay for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ollie Williams Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT AREAS INTO THE FOOTHILLS. * HAZARD TYPES...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND VERY LOW WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILL...FALLING TO ZERO TO 5 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. * TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS THIS EVENING...THEN INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...LOW WIND CHILLS COULD RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. PETS SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like we've met our high today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Under a hard freeze warning and wind chill advisory. Currently sunny and 59 outside. It will be interesting if it actually does snow along the FL coast tomorrow. GFS has been on this one for about a week now. 850s are cool enough to support snow and it temps will be in the upper 30s to low 40s. That what the temps are usually when flakes are flying in FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Must be gonna get cold in GA... WSB-TV 40 mins · Edited · SCHOOL DELAYS: We're starting to get reports of some schools delaying opening tomorrow due to the forecast cold weather: 2wsb.tv/14on9lU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Even Florence School District 1 and Marion County in SC getting in act with two hour delays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Must be gonna get cold in GA... WSB-TV 40 mins · Edited · SCHOOL DELAYS: We're starting to get reports of some schools delaying opening tomorrow due to the forecast cold weather: 2wsb.tv/14on9lU Wind chills around 0 to -5 are expected here. Up in those mountain counties temps should be near 5 with wind chills approaching -10 to -15 I would imagine. In other news, pretty sure I just hit the high for the day at around 40. Winds have picked up over the last hour.... Looking for about 12 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Potential for some light freezing rain tomorrow night??? NWS Jacksonville A COASTAL TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER OUR ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATE IN THE DAY AND THIS COULD PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT TO PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT COASTAL SHOWERS...REMAINING MAINLY OVER THE WATER...WITH ONLY A 20% CHANCE OF A LIGHT RAIN SHOWER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER COUNTIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL ALSO BE AN INCREASE IN STRATOCU CLOUDS ALONG THE COAST LATE IN THE DAY WITH PORTIONS OF THE COAST BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO TIGHTEN UP THURSDAY NIGHT AND CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND COULD SPREAD FARTHER INLAND BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWER WILL EXPAND UP THE COAST TO INCLUDE THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES OF NASSAU AND DUVAL COUNTIES. TEMPERATURE PROFILES DO NOT SUPPORT ANY WINTER PRECIPITATION ALONG THE COAST. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE STEERING FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL QUICKLY VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE THURSDAY EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME ISENTROPIC LIFT AND MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A FAIRLY DEEP LAYER OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE DEVELOPING BETWEEN 1000 AND 6000 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS PATTERN COULD BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR A STRAY LIGHT SHOWER OR TWO ACROSS OUR INLAND AREAS. THE NAM IS MOST AGGRESSIVE IN DEPICTING THIS SCENARIO AND IF THIS HAPPENS THIS WOULD BE SOMEWHAT CONCERNING BECAUSE TEMPS COULD INITIALLY BE AT OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS INLAND AREAS OF SE GA. THERMAL PROFILES DO NOT SUPPORT SNOW BECAUSE THE VERY DRY AIR ALOFT WILL NOT SUPPORT ICE CRYSTAL FORMATION NEEDED FOR SNOW TO FORM. SO ANY PRECIP WOULD REMAIN IN THE FORM OF RAIN BUT IF THE SURFACE IS FREEZING THEN WE COULD INITIALLY SEE SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN PERHAPS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SE GA. ALTHOUGH A MAJOR OUTLIER AT THIS POINT...THIS SCENARIO IS NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION. FOR NOW WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL BEFORE ADDING THIS TO THE FORECAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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