Chitown Storm Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Let's see if the 0z NAM remains one of the northern outliers. I bet it caves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Last 3 runs of the SREF (9z first, 21z last): mean 12 hour snowfall through 12z Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 21Z Plume for JOT....if I take out the one donk output showing 15 inches....the mean is about 6.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Precip shield looked a touch south entering Ohio on the 0z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 00z NAM more or less holding serve across the board compared to 18z. Noise level changes (bit less precip in main band). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 00z NAM more or less holding serve across the board compared to 18z. Noise level changes. Main or best band in Indiana shifted south (compared to the 12z run). We're in the crosshairs now. EDIT: actually, best might be just south of us...not that we don't do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 5, 2015 Author Share Posted January 5, 2015 00z NAM more or less holding serve across the board compared to 18z. Noise level changes (bit less precip in main band). It's actually drier across northern/northeast IL compared to the 18z run. .30" liquid barely gets to 80/39 where it got to up to almost RFD on the 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eureka22 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 ILX finally issued a WWA for I-74 and north for 3-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Last 4 runs of the NAM (oldest to newest). Getting a bit drier, though no surprise really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 18z/00z comparison. A bit less precip and farther south, especially in areas east of the Mississippi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Beat ya. And mine's better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 5, 2015 Author Share Posted January 5, 2015 Another separated at birth moment for the LAF brothers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 My 2" is looking to bust high...Congrats to the 6" drought crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Hell at this rate might end up with nothing here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 0z Hi Res NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 0z Hi Res NAM sucks the way this is weakening east.... but I won't complain, the trajectory and track is just about the best we could ask for. Lock that in and qpf details will work themselves out, good or bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Another separated at birth moment for the LAF brothers Only about the 100th time. NAM forecast sounding for Lafayette around the middle of the storm. Rocking that deep DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Hell at this rate might end up with nothing here... It's the NAM so i am not jumping yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Love tropical tidbits, but their snowfall maps are the pits. Here's the 0z 4km NAM total QPF. (has some contamination in parts of MI and OH from what's happening tonight/overnight). Apply whatever ratios you wish. Also, I saw it earlier in the thread...but don't pull for us in the LAF with this one...with respect to getting a 6" snow. We had 4 of them last winter. We're not that worthy. All well wishes should go towards cyclone and Hawkeye ending their drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Love tropical tidbits, but their snowfall maps are the pits. Here's the 0z 4km NAM total QPF. Apply whatever ratios you wish. 1:5 0z 4km nam qpf.png Also, I saw it earlier in the thread...but don't pull for us in the LAF with this one...with respect to getting a 6" snow. We had 4 of them last winter. We're not that worthy. All well wishes should go towards cyclone and Hawkeye ending their drought. Yeah.. That drought has been sickening to say the least.. Good luck to them! ALL of you ( over to Buckeye ) look gold. If the lake can keep pumping out here i'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 sucks the way this is weakening east.... but I won't complain, the trajectory and track is just about the best we could ask for. Lock that in and qpf details will work themselves out, good or bad.Don't like this trend at all. A weakening storm as it moves east has classic underachiever written all over it! I'm going w/ 1-2 in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 LOT has this under control Indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Yeah.. That drought has been sickening to say the least.. Good luck to them! ALL of you ( over to Buckeye ) look gold. If the lake can keep pumping out here i'll be fine. Right on. And yeah, hopefully the lake provides for you...even though I know it's fickle at times. But not a bad second option to have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 LOT's new snowfall map as of 8:41pm. Right now 3" seems a safe bet. Hoping for a stray heavier band to run through this side of the metro as some point. Really surprised DVN's southeast counties are not in a warning now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Guess I'll fill in for Thundersnow with this one... the 2z RAP is a good 5 mb stronger and farther north than the 00z NAM at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 0z RGEM holds serve from its 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 5, 2015 Author Share Posted January 5, 2015 Guess I'll fill in for Thundersnow with this one... the 2z RAP is a good 5 mb stronger and farther north than the 00z NAM at 18z. Haha I've been watching it. Giving it a few more runs before I take it serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 There's the RGEM moisture map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 0z GFS holds serve with the track but precip a touch weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 getting more tonight then we will in this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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