metwannabe Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Lol the weeklies have a -EPO the whole run with some positive PNA here is there. Pack won't like it if spring is delayed another month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Of course it isn't over for you brotha. It's never over this early for the mountains.lol yeah its not over until about the middle of April. Things do really go down hill for the rest of the SE as we enter March. I am glad most got to see some snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 lol yeah its not over until about the middle of April. Things do really go down hill for the rest of the SE as we enter March. I am glad most got to see some snow though. A brief warm up comes next week then trough comes back in the east with possible blocking, March 14-24 Cold in the east, per JB still a long walk to the end of the block!!! I'm not saying there will be a winter storm outside the mountains, but March will probably end up a cold month also, and IF we get blocking all bets are off. Might sneak another winter event in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Lol the weeklies have a -EPO the whole run with some positive PNA here is there. Pack won't like it if spring is delayed another month Which types of blocking would we generally want for a cold pattern? (EPO, PNA, NAO, etc.) Sorry, not too advanced on meteorology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 A brief warm up comes next week then trough comes back in the east with possible blocking, March 14-24 Cold in the east, per JB still a long walk to the end of the block!!! I'm not saying there will be a winter storm outside the mountains, but March will probably end up a cold month also, and IF we get blocking all bets are off. Might sneak another winter event in!I agree with those dates as that looks like things are lining up for that time period especially if we can get a but of a negative nao. Yeah winter is far from over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Which types of blocking would we generally want for a cold pattern? (EPO, PNA, NAO, etc.) Sorry, not too advanced on meteorology right know the pna and the epo has been driving the pattern with an active stj. But as we get further along in the season we really need the nao to kick in but not always really it 8s just the right setup. Look at the super storm of 1993. The nao and I believe the ao were both positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 Which types of blocking would we generally want for a cold pattern? (EPO, PNA, NAO, etc.) Sorry, not too advanced on meteorology This late in the winter season -NAO is a BIG plus for holding high pressure in and keeping storms on a more southerly track... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 A brief warm up comes next week then trough comes back in the east with possible blocking, March 14-24 Cold in the east, per JB still a long walk to the end of the block!!! I'm not saying there will be a winter storm outside the mountains, but March will probably end up a cold month also, and IF we get blocking all bets are off. Might sneak another winter event in! I get back from vacation on March 15th, so I'm in. 1981/1983 repeat FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 I get back from vacation on March 15th, so I'm in. 1981/1983 repeat FTW. Very well could happen, If it's going to be cold I hope we have some threats.... But cold in March is not like cold in Jan-Feb daily averages coming up fast. so saying it's going to be cold could mean a lot of cold rain and temps in the 30s and 40s.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 I get back from vacation on March 15th, so I'm in. 1981/1983 repeat FTW. let's just do 93. Really end this winter with a bang! Does anybody remember the groundhogzilla bust from 08-09 winter? I still remember the AccuWeather headline "75% of march 93 storm". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 A brief warm up comes next week then trough comes back in the east with possible blocking, March 14-24 Cold in the east, per JB still a long walk to the end of the block!!! I'm not saying there will be a winter storm outside the mountains, but March will probably end up a cold month also, and IF we get blocking all bets are off. Might sneak another winter event in!March 1960 , say hello! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Good news about the new Euro weeklies looking out to weeks 3-4: kind of cool and damp looking. Week 4 is the colder relative to normal for much of the country. So, keep hope alive for another fun event. Plus that will hopefully keep the bugs away a good bit longer. One of my favorite things about winter is the lack of many bugs being out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 March 1960 , say hello! Boy, would I love to see something like that, Heck even half of pattern like that would be awesome!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Boy, would I love to see something like that, Heck even half of pattern like that would be awesome!!! As intensely cold as has been the last half of this month (the coldest in history relative to normals), the first half of March of 1960 was actually about four degrees colder for Atlanta!! That's in absolute terms, not relative to normal!! To me, that is one of the most amazing periods of winter in the SE US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Boy, would I love to see something like that, Heck even half of pattern like that would be awesome!!!I wasn't even a glimmer of a glimmer in somebody's eye, but I have heard about it my whole life! And every year winter sucks, it's thrown around quite a bit! And let's us hang on to hope a little while longer, I have yet to see a March snow that I can remember and that was 93, and I got about an inch in Gastonia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 I wasn't even a glimmer of a glimmer in somebody's eye, but I have heard about it my whole life! And every year winter sucks, it's thrown around quite a bit! And let's us hang on to hope a little while longer, I have yet to see a March snow that I can remember and that was 93, and I got about an inch in Gastonia Yeah I heard about it all my life too, A lot of my family remembers it well... It was a little bit before my time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 As intensely cold as has been the last half of this month (the coldest in history relative to normals), the first half of March of 1960 was actually about four degrees colder for Atlanta!! That's in absolute terms, not relative to normal!! To me, that is one of the most amazing periods of winter in the SE US. No doubt, probably never happen again, But wouldn't that be something to see!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 posted this in the wrong thread: I HIT CLIMO ON SNOWFALL: February will go down as a top 5 coldest of all time and match November as a top 5 coldest of all time: DJF are gonna avg below normal temp wise at GSO and RDU: DJF are going to avg possibly above normal precip wise at RDU and GSO (might need to check this one) but atleast near normal: What a 12 day stretch of winter weather we just went through. We had 4 frozen precip events, 2 of which where winter storms. Saw 2 abnormally below avg arctic outbreaks, and got a clipper to get across the mtn's and put on a great 20 minute firework show, Kids missed 8 out of last 10 school days and went on 3 hr delay on one of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 all in ... and models are cool, even down here, but subject to likely change :~( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 I wasn't even a glimmer of a glimmer in somebody's eye, but I have heard about it my whole life! And every year winter sucks, it's thrown around quite a bit! And let's us hang on to hope a little while longer, I have yet to see a March snow that I can remember and that was 93, and I got about an inch in Gastonia March 2,1980 was the coldest snowstorm for our area in my 50 years of living here. During the height of the storm we dropped down to 9 degrees and stayed at 10 degrees all day. That's insane for January, but to have temps like that in March was virtually impossible. Check out the study that was done on it, when you get a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Good news about the new Euro weeklies looking out to weeks 3-4: kind of cool and damp looking. Week 4 is the colder relative to normal for much of the country. So, keep hope alive for another fun event. Plus that will hopefully keep the bugs away a good bit longer. One of my favorite things about winter is the lack of many bugs being out. Amen on the bugs, People wishing on spring, gonna be pulling that weed eater string, mosquitoes biting you, pollen everywhere, sweating....blah But the main meal of day after day of 90 for the high and 70 for the low, with 15% chance of pop up and dewpoints in the mid upper 60's, is what really makes spring so enjoyable knowing these conditions are just right around the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Amen on the bugs, People wishing on spring, gonna be pulling that weed eater string, mosquitoes biting you, pollen everywhere, sweating....blah But the main meal of day after day of 90 for the high and 70 for the low, with 15% chance of pop up and dewpoints in the mid upper 60's, is what really makes spring so enjoyable knowing these conditions are just right around the corner. I loathe spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 As one ready for SE ridge and torch; this thread is depressing. Although cold should be expected here in the mountains; March is very much a winter month. However, I will take the wintery springs for the cooler summers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 6z GFS would have an interesting setup for the end of next week. Looks to have a very strong arctic front interacting with moisture across the SE. Hour 156: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_156_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=156&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=area&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150227+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=364 p-types at hour 156: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_156_dom_precip_type.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=dom_precip_type&fhr=156&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=area&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150227+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Looking out farther than day 10 on the 6z GFS, I don't see any real cold air; but it would probably stay cool with lots of rain. Good news this helps ensure no drought going into spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 6z GFS would have an interesting setup for the end of next week. Looks to have a very strong arctic front interacting with moisture across the SE. Hour 156: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_156_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=156&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=area&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150227+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=364 p-types at hour 156: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_156_dom_precip_type.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=dom_precip_type&fhr=156&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=area&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150227+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 CMC still has the snow/ice threat in around the same time maybe a day later, it would be nice to get one that gives us that missed out this past storm a decent hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 CMC still has the snow/ice threat in around the same time maybe a day later, it would be nice to get one that gives us that missed out this past storm a decent hit. That is a far better setup, my man. Check out the ideal placement of HP! Is it all real? Probably not, but hey, at least it's inside 10 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 That is a far better setup, my man. Check out the ideal placement of HP! Is it all real? Probably not, but hey, at least it's inside 10 days!Is a high centered in TN a good thing?This is for next weekend right? Our best storms come a few days after a heatwave in the winter, so I've heard!!? This one is the one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 That is a far better setup, my man. Check out the ideal placement of HP! Is it all real? Probably not, but hey, at least it's inside 10 days! Looks like it's going out to sea, though. I have to fly out of CLT on 3/6, so I'd prefer not to have any bad weather then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 The long wave trough pattern would suport some fun n games by the end of next week, if it's to be beleived. This one we are about finished going through over the past 2 weeks, was a slam dunk as far as being full of potential and easy to recognize. Well see if the signal is still showing by Sunday consistently, if so I'll consider firing up the bus again. Had a nice 2 week ride, but it still has a little bit of gas in the tank for one more quick trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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