Webberweather53 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 It makes me feel better about our (still outdoor however atm) chances for something in the 2nd week of the month when I see a fairly robust Alberta Clipper rotate around the base of this strong low pressure gyre over eastern Canada. Hopefully it will lay down some snow for the I-80/I-70 corridors from the Great Lakes & points eastward (would like to see the southern edge of the snowpack drive down to at least Chicago, Fort Wayne, Columbus, Pittsburgh corridor (as I explained in a post several weeks ago). It's not a cure all panacea, but it definitely would help our chances for CAD in the long term, that's if of course a long list of other parameters fall into line, aside from the synoptic pattern & equatorial forcing which already look relatively favorable in this time period.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Cold and dry is not helping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 GFS drops CLT from 41 to 21 between 18z Wednesday and 0z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Almost 40 hours of below-freezing temps for ATL... Beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 HKY drops from 33 to 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Jan 10-11 mega-CAD still on per the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Same here. I don't know if it's just a misperception on my part or what but it just seems that there has been a lot more variability/flip flopping from one run to the next with little to no agreement between any of the models beyond day 4 or 5 this year...much more so than usual. It's been so bad that I just shake my head every time I look at them. Other than very general trends, i just can't bring myself to waste much time worrying about them because it seems to me that once you have wasted your time describing it or figuring it out, then next run looks completely different. It's depressing really because what makes winter fun is tracking storms or potential storms over long periods. Yep. I totally agree. The fun factor is definitely missing so far this year. We are all going to be singing a different tune at some point when the models hit us with a surprise 3 days away out of no where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 11-15 may come in cold. Let's see. Nice western ridge rebuilding strongly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Jan 10-11 mega-CAD still on per the 0z GFS. That time frame just screams ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Whoa Nelly to the strong +PNA after day 10 on 0Z GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Arctic front squeezes out snow on the extracted data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Para is cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 0z GFS pretty wild throughout the run. Plenty of potential there. All of a sudden January's not looking too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Biggest news on the 0Z GFS may actually be the immediate return of a very cold pattern in the 11-15 with virtually none of that break that has been advertised by the Euro suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Jan 10-11 mega-CAD still on per the 0z GFS. Any precip or are we talkin Brick weather here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 What a run, guys! Beautiful... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 GFS just waited till 2015 to get us hyped up I guess. Very impressive cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 GFS says 23 degrees at 1PM next Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 That cold is overdone imho, but even adding as much as 10 degrees it's still darn cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 If one were to believe the 0Z and 18Z GFS, one could reasonably conclude that a cold January is still not at all out of the question despite the disappointments we've been getting on the models overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webberweather53 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Biggest news on the 0Z GFS may actually be the immediate return of a very cold pattern in the 11-15 with virtually none of that break that has been advertised by the Euro suite. The European suite is just struggling w/ all of the energy that keeps spitting out of the southwestern US (hence the erroneous forecasts to over-amplify the SE US ridge, which flies in the face of the strong +PDO) and the Rex Block over the North Pacific is only going to add insult to injury Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 That cold is overdone imho, but even adding as much as 10 degrees it's still darn cold. Well, we did say that last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Any precip or are we talkin Brick weather here?Just Bricky, with maybe a random clipper! With a front as strong as modeled, maybe we could hope for a low to pop on the arctic front!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 That is a big boy cold front, just as impressive or more than the one last January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Just Bricky, with maybe a random clipper! With a front as strong as modeled, maybe we could hope for a low to pop on the arctic front!? Very active with huge highs and many different waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 GFS says 23 degrees at 1PM next Thursday. Not to bad. As nice as it is, every time we get one like this I always wonder..how cold would it be if we had some snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 That is a big boy cold front, just as impressive or more than the one last January. Interesting to note, just as has been the case quite a few times this winter...the cold is more impressive at 925mb over many areas (south of tn/nc) than at 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 That is some vodka cold up in new england Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Interesting to note, just as has been the case quite a few times this winter...the cold is more impressive at 925mb over many areas (south of tn/nc) than at 850mb. Last year's Arctic attack featured super cold 925mb temps... Speaking of arctic attack...at some point a specific thread should be made for what's coming up. I would like to have the honors but would like to wait until after the 12z runs Friday afternoon...any objections to that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Last year's Arctic attack featured super cold 925mb temps... Speaking of arctic attack...at some point a specific thread should be made for what's coming up. I would like to have the honors but would like to wait until after the 12z runs Friday afternoon...any objections to that? Seconded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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