Tacoma Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Hot off the presses everyone! We look ahead to the weekend and How much rain will we see, and will it be a cold weekend? Details in the video. PLUS** we will talk about the pattern going forward, and well the EURO fired some potential*** POTENTIAL*** warning shots for next week. Details on that in the video as well. Enjoy! Please continue to share this page and video. Please invite your friends *on the left of the screen there* to your Facebook friends...I appreciate it, thank you! -Chris www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons where is the video Chris? By the way I really enjoy reading and watching your video's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Guys I know it is TWC, but I was looking at their 10 day for GSP this afternoon and per their forecast it is a return to December all next week with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s and 40s. Hope it's wrong - double yuck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Guys I know it is TWC, but I was looking at their 10 day for GSP this afternoon and per their forecast it is a return to December all next week with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s and 40s. Hope it's wrong - double yuck! Coincidentally I was just looking at TWC forecast for my area and they are showing a chance of freezing rain on Thursday and light snow on Friday (next week of course)...doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Coincidentally I was just looking at TWC forecast for my area and they are showing a chance of freezing rain on Thursday and light snow on Friday (next week of course)...doubt it. You inspired me to check again to see if there are any changes- generally it does look cooler overall, but still mid 50s next weekend but no frozen precip anywhere. Baby steps I guess... Dr. Leo Marvin would be proud... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 where is the video Chris? By the way I really enjoy reading and watching your video's. hmmm...the video not there? edit...Thank you btw! https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 The nam is VERY interesting around GA on Sunday. We start below freeezing...DRY and then some very light precip through the day starting after 21Z, but it "warms" us to the upper 30's then back down quickly to like 35 or so with some light qpf...This damn thing is soooo close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 The nam is VERY interesting around GA on Sunday. We start below freeezing...DRY and then some very light precip through the day starting after 21Z, but it "warms" us to the upper 30's then back down quickly to like 35 or so with some light qpf...This damn thing is soooo close.I was just thinking that but no real expert basis...or red tag..for my thoughts. That 1030 high is wedged tighter than a pickle jar down to upstate SC. There is a 1044 to the NW. I was wondering if one high can reinforce another one keeping the wedge in tact. Also wondering if the models are under estimating the low level cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Matter of fact, by 00z Mon, most of us are in the 30's to near 40. The 35 line runs from BHM to CSG MCN and AGS ENE from there. all light rain, but uuuggggg that is close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Even further, it appears a piece of the High, or maybe its a Meso-high that gets created since the precip is light, and the low level cold is strong, its just further refrigerates that and keeps a Meso-high ish...in there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Matter of fact, by 00z Mon, most of us are in the 30's to near 40. The 35 line runs from BHM to CSG MCN and AGS ENE from there. all light rain, but uuuggggg that is close. The NAM says I'll enjoy .03 in fzdz tomorrow and it will be 33.5 degrees with .20 of a cold light rain falling on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 yup!! The GFS is gonna be closer, but qpf is very light...interesting trends towards the EURO solution tho...lets see what the doc says later tonight.. BIG push with the wedge this run so far next wed.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Major ice storm for the CAD areas on the GFS. Probably roughly 0.25" ZR for many in NC/NW SC/N GA. Not really an ideal setup as the HP slides out to sea as the storm moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 What's the total qpf. I'm on tt and it's painstakingly slow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 You edited. Thanks james Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Major ice storm for the CAD areas on the GFS. Probably roughly 0.25" ZR for many in NC/NW SC/N GA. Not really an ideal setup as the HP slides out to sesea as the storm moves in. Yeah this isn't a classic setup by any means but it's doable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 What's the total qpf. I'm on tt and it's painstakingly slow About 1/2" for us. It might be sleet as the 850 line is not far away, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Major ice storm for the CAD areas on the GFS. Probably roughly 0.25" ZR for many in NC/NW SC/N GA. Not really an ideal setup as the HP slides out to sesea as the storm moves in.Yeah, signature looks strong, but high is off shore! Maybe an in-situ type? Either way, next Thursday would be very icy from ATL - RAH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 The Para is a little warmer. It is still icy for the NC CAD regions (GSO, HKY, INT, etc.), though. Everyone probably ends as rain or drizzle on both the regular and Para GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 540 line hugs the VA border, but 850s just a tick above freezing. Close call between snow vs sleet/zr for me and Frosty if taken verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Ya,the GFS would hit NGA, SC and NC hard (I consider a hard hit of 1/4" of ice or more) with this run.. Is it right, prolly not, but its a step toward the EURO..The DOC will be a little more interesting tonight, IMHO...If** the doc shows something like it did at 12z or something like the GFS oh boy...the board might melt..haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 GFS had a bit more stream separation this run so we get a bit more storm/precip...potential is there...all we can say at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Folks we could get a game going here if the Euro continues to tighten on its earlier look. Others are leaning in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 The Canadian still hasn't run on any of the sites. I guess it's going to be late again. It seems like for whatever reason the Canadian comes out late like this every now and then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 GFS had a bit more stream separation this run so we get a bit more storm/precip...potential is there...all we can say at this point Check please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Check please? Look at this nice meso-high west of Richnond ! That would seal the deal for North Carolina staying cold enough for the duration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Euro's about the same. Maybe a little warmer. Decent ice event for N NC (GSO, INT, etc.), verbatim. It's not a carbon copy of the 12z run, but it's close enough at this range. It goes up the coast and crushes I-95 from DC northwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Ya super. Another different solution from the Doc yall the only ones in play this run from what I can tell Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 6z GFS shows a light icy event at hour 126. Here's low resolution p-types: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_126_dom_precip_type.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=dom_precip_type&fhr=126&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150109+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=92 Edit: Looks like ice would be possible for N. NC starting just after hour 96, but amounts would be light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Sleet sounding at KCLT next wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 GSO isnt too far off from snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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