NCSNOW Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 It's the total qpf causing the appearance. More qpf up through I 85 as back out west has less precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 1040MB high over Philadelphia at 120 on the GGEM. Not shabby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I feel like the CMC made a nice jump toward goodness.. BUT, I need to see the DOC come in with a few runs at least showing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 The canadian has to be suffering from some sort of convective feedback. There's three precip maximas with not much in between. Solution doesnt make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 5:49 PM, Queencitywx said: The canadian has to be suffering from some sort of convective feedback. There's three precip maximas with not much in between. Solution doesnt make sense.it's not an organized piece of energy it's trying to key on multiple pieces along with stream interaction. That is why we keep seeing different solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 No EURO play-by-play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:29 PM, packfan98 said: No EURO play-by-play? NW of it's 0z run. It's a OH-V to NE winter storm. Euro is always humbling for us SE folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Low begins to develop around 144 in LA with a 1044 H in the Dakotas, but with no block, no bueno..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:35 PM, packbacker said: NW of it's 0z run. It's a OH-V to NE winter storm. Euro is always humbling for us SE folks. Thanks for the update Pack. It was only out to hr 51 during my lunch and I'm now back in a meeting. Your update is about what I was expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 So we have this... GFS - dry/cold Para - big ice storm CMC - big ice storm Euro - rain for SE, OH-V/NE winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:41 PM, packbacker said: So we have this... GFS - dry/cold Para - big ice storm CMC - big ice storm Euro - rain for SE, OH-V/NE winter storm. One thoroughbred and three mules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:41 PM, packbacker said: So we have this... GFS - dry/cold Para - big ice storm CMC - big ice storm Euro - rain for SE, OH-V/NE winter storm. And the GFS was ice before the last run, and the CMC wasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:42 PM, Queencitywx said: One thoroughbred and three mules. The seasonal pattern would support the thoroughbred all the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Euro is still much slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:29 PM, packfan98 said: No EURO play-by-play? Cold rain for us. It's still much slower. Weenieology 101 tells me to attribute this to the Euro's bias, so I'll do that. Maybe it's overamping systems, as usual, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:41 PM, packbacker said: So we have this... GFS - dry/cold Para - big ice storm CMC - big ice storm Euro - rain for SE, OH-V/NE winter storm. Well, we all know that the Euro over-amps systems. It doesn't surprise me that it's showing an OV cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:44 PM, superjames1992 said: Cold rain for us. It's still much slower. Weenieology 101 tells me to attribute this to the Euro's bias, so I'll do that. Maybe it's overamping systems, as usual, too. LOL, yeah let's toss the Euro, it will shift 300 miles SE in the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:42 PM, Queencitywx said: One thoroughbred and three mules.I'm still shoveling all the fantasy snow the euro has given me in Dec am the past three years.The euro is like the 40 year old Cy young winner from 5 years ago with an Era the last few years of 4.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:45 PM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Well, we all know that the Euro over-amps systems. It doesn't surprise me that it's showing an OV cutter.Ala , Xmas 2010!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:47 PM, packbacker said: LOL, yeah let's toss the Euro, it will shift 300 miles SE in the next few days. You do what you gotta do to get fantasy snow. The Euro got the job done here at 00z, so I really do think there is hope, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:47 PM, franklin NCwx said: I'm still shoveling all the fantasy snow the euro has given me in Dec am the past three years. The euro is like the 40 year old Cy young winner from 5 years ago with an Era the last few years of 4.5. Still a long ways out....the models have really struggled all winter at this range. 5 days ago the models had this clipper hitting the NE, next thing you know it's giving the MA a 3-6" snow event. Can't believe they got a "south trend" from 5 days out and over performed on a clipper with 3-6", they got the hot hand over the past 5-6 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:45 PM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Well, we all know that the Euro over-amps systems. It doesn't surprise me that it's showing an OV cutter. Yeah, but in this case, it really isn't amping anything. Looks like a strung out mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 6:54 PM, packbacker said: Still a long ways out....the models have really struggled all winter at this range. 5 days ago the models had this clipper hitting the NE, next thing you know it's giving the MA a 3-6" snow event. Can't believe they got a "south trend" from 5 days out and over performed on a clipper with 3-6", they got the hot hand over the past 5-6 years. they did pretty much get skunked in 10-11. It was great seeing their meltdowns while I picked up over 30" that year. They do seem to be a lucky bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 End of the Euro run picking up on the Jan 15-16 coastal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 7:00 PM, Wow said: End of the Euro run picking up on the Jan 15-16 coastal low. Yep lots of potential with that one I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Ensembles have been on that threat for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 So it's basically euro versus all the rest? I like our chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 7:20 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: So it's basically euro versus all the rest? I like our chances I don't. the Euro is the king for a reason. With that said, the Para showed the cool down long before anyone else. I think this test will go a long way if we can trust the Para going forward or if it got lucky with the cold snap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 7:24 PM, pcgamecock2001 said: I don't. the Euro is the king for a reason. With that said, the Para showed the cool down long before anyone else. I think this test will go a long way if we can trust the Para going forward or if it got lucky with the cold snap. Yep, and for me the Para is still up in the air. I think some more changes need to be made and I anticipate another delay in it taking over for the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 7:20 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: So it's basically euro versus all the rest? I like our chancesnot really, euro has a vastly different solution than its 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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