FallsLake Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Could this be RAH's first indication of an impending storm(...classically vague): AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEKEND HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO WEDGE DOWN THEEASTERN SEABOARD AS WINDS ALOFT BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY. THIS WILLSTART TO BRING SOME MOISTURE BACK TO THE REGION WITH INCREASINGCLOUDS AND A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Interesting...the 18z para pops a low off the coast of NC at 234... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 5, 2015 Author Share Posted January 5, 2015 Hot off the presses folks! LOL All new weather video is up. I really think y'all will like it. There is a BUNCH of weather talk, duh...but we talk about the Arctic airmass coming down and how I feel like the models will likely be a little to warm with it, Especially the EURO. Also, how I think the models will ***MORE THAN LIKELY** be kicking out the airmass toward the weekend. PLUS we talk about the *POTENTIAL* weekend fun.. again, potential and TRENDS not a forecast. The players are on the field, but do we kick a field goal, fumble or hit the end zone?? Enjoy and thank y'all for liking and sharing the videos and page. Really means a lot to me. -Chris https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons Great Video Chris! Just got a chance to watch it....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Great Video Chris! Just got a chance to watch it....... Indeed, great work. Thanks Chris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 GFS is def classical CAD. we need the euro to cave to this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Great Video Chris! Just got a chance to watch it....... Awesome! Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Indeed, great work. Thanks Chris. Anytime! THank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 GFS is def classical CAD. we need the euro to cave to this solution. I honestly think right now, the GFS will lead the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Looking forward to the 0z GFS...ready to roll the dice and get a winner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Looking forward to the 0z GFS...ready to roll the dice and get a winner! Out to HR78 the HP is centered over Mizzou. 1044. Looks marginally colder across the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 1043mb ish coming in on FRI Montana 18z FRI...that sounds nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 1041mb high near Iowa/IL and some moisture in southern MS and LA trying to push EAST. over FL panhandle by 12z SAT. NASTY little storm over NTX ATTM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 High needs to hurry to get in position Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Is it out to 168 yet? That should tell the story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 SFC LOW in WGOM by 12z SUN...STill wintry MESS over NTX, some moisture off hour coast and the Carolina coast Re-enforcing the WEDGE A sprawling 1041mb high across the OV and about to move into PRIME CAD Areas. This crap needs to move east and we are golden!! So close by sun am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 If the 0z is to be believed, we are agonizingly close to action happening. At 0z Sunday a nice CAD setup with a 1036 HP parked over NY and precip creeping in over far eastern NC and moving in from Texas/LA/MS 18z run vs 0z nearly identical to this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Looked like some Northern stream coming on Sat, it's not going to mess anything up is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 GFS wants to crush this storm under the northern stream. The flow isn't really great for a storm anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 00z GFS doesn't have enough precip to get the job done...but it would be enough for a glaze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 by 18z SUN-6z MON the best moisture is shunted south into the GOM and off the Carolina coast, but C and E NC would have Icing issues with this run verbatim. GA would just be a cold AS* Rain. BUT** Just looking for trends and the trend is screaming to me potential for some in the SE I really love the GFS is just pumping Highs down into the SE.. just like STorm said. That WILL keep a FRESH supply of cold for sure. Fun times ahead folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 GFS wants to crush this storm under the northern stream. The flow isn't really great for a storm anyway. Gets just enough to do some damage and with big high in perfect position there could be a chance of some snow/sleet at the onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 by 18z SUN-6z MON the best moisture is shunted south into the GOM and off the Carolina coast, but C and E NC would have Icing issues with this run verbatim. GA would just be a cold AS* Rain. BUT** Just looking for trends and the trend is screaming to me potential for some in the SE I really love the GFS is just pumping Highs down into the SE.. just like STorm said. That WILL keep a FRESH supply of cold for sure. Fun times ahead folks. Given the placement of the high I would think parts of GA would be icy....that is one strong wedge with a 1040 high around Maine. You can see the models struggling with it at 2m temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 The GFS trend has been less moisture since 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Thankfully most of SC (with the little bit of precip we have) is rain. Areas around the North-Central area could get a bit though. Edit: slow maps. Upstate gets it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Given the placement of the high I would think parts of GA would be icy....that is one strong wedge with a 1040 high around Maine. You can see the models struggling with it at 2m temps. oh I agree....I would think that all of SC and NC and parts of NE GA would be cold enough. As modeled, I am like 38-40 and 35ish over NEGA. BTW, there is plenty of moisture nearby for you. This looks like a multi day overrunning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 GFS PARA is interesting. Weak low tracking from FL panhandle across southern SC with a 1040 high in OV and and another one sitting in the GL area. That's a solution that could trend better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 The GFS trend has been less moisture since 12z By a lot. Almost not even an organized storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Mack your nemesis (qpf) never fails to end up being your primary concern everytime we have something to track. Encouraging trends not only for the weekend, but following week looks like the HP's won't to keep coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 It's a weird motion on the precip. I can't remember an ice storm with precip moving from the coast to the west, ever!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Thankfully most of SC (with the little bit of precip we have) is rain. Areas around the North-Central area could get a bit though. Like Chris and I were discussing I think SC would have major potential for ice especially CAE. That is a monster wedge and you would probably see temps in the upper 20's if I had to guess with that. CLT would probably be sitting at 27 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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