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January Banter


mackerel_sky

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Well, if we all took the 2m temps verbatim NO model at all shows any snow...I tried to hound that point last night...ya, the temps at 850 looked good, but verbatim, the 2m temps sucked and nobody got squat for snow.  I agree with 1300, there are going to be op runs that show squat...I would like to see more 2m temps and the models ACTUALLY verbatim showing the snow, but I am not worried about that ATTM.  WAY to early to do that. IMHO

This person isn't a member here due to his issues of arguing with himself with several accounts and asking for himself to be banned multiable times with multiable accounts. You also said yesterday, you agreed with Storm.....again....not here with that name. If you are going to copy/paste, please remove any reference of those that are not here. Thanks  

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oh my bad...didn't mean to do that...sorry, but what does it really matter?  either way..no biggie...

 

FIXED...sorry I forgot to not mention people who aren't on here...

I didn't say you meant to do it   :lol:   Nobody here would have a clue why you would agree or disagree with this fictional person. If I said.....I agree with Tonia, would you have a clue why I'm agreeing or who she is?  So yea......it does really matter  ;)   

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In case we need justification, here's a little list for convenience:

  1. Models are out to lunch.
  2. Models are underestimating the cold air.
  3. Models are just cra cra.
  4. Models are overdoing the northern stream.
  5. Models are leaving the energy out west too long.
  6. Models don't have nearly enough precip.
  7. Models are flattening the ridge too early.
  8. Models are shredding the shortwave too much.
  9. Models are underestimating the snow pack to the north.
  10. Models are thrown off by the pattern change flux.
  11. Models aren't taking into account evaporative cooling.
  12. Models haven't sampled the shortwave yet.
  13. Models are inconsistent with other models.
  14. Models don't match their ensembles.
  15. Models always lose the system at this range.
  16. Models haven't felt the effects of the MJO yet.
  17. Models haven't felt the effects of the stratospheric warming yet.
  18. Models are stupid.
  19. Models are always too suppressed at this range.
  20. Models always overamp systems at this range.
  21. Models are keying on the wrong shortwave.
  22. Models aren't seeing the trough east of Hawaii correctly.
  23. Models aren't accounting for the recurring typhoon properly.
  24. Models always struggle in this pattern.
  25. Models can't be taken seriously.
  26. Models have gone downhill since the upgrade.
  27. Models never do well in split flow patterns.
  28. Models are especially terrible this year.
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Our first Cheezenado sighting of the season so it must be time to pay some attention.  I honestly have been waiting for him to pop in before I cared to much.  Now all we need is Mr. Bob to weigh in and tell us it won’t happen but I guess I need to hop over the mountain to the TV forum.

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In case we need justification, here's a little list for convenience:

  1. Models are out to lunch.
  2. Models are underestimating the cold air.
  3. Models are just cra cra.
  4. Models are overdoing the northern stream.
  5. Models are leaving the energy out west too long.
  6. Models don't have nearly enough precip.
  7. Models are flattening the ridge too early.
  8. Models are shredding the shortwave too much.
  9. Models are underestimating the snow pack to the north.
  10. Models are thrown off by the pattern change flux.
  11. Models aren't taking into account evaporative cooling.
  12. Models haven't sampled the shortwave yet.
  13. Models are inconsistent with other models.
  14. Models don't match their ensembles.
  15. Models always lose the system at this range.
  16. Models haven't felt the effects of the MJO yet.
  17. Models haven't felt the effects of the stratospheric warming yet.
  18. Models are stupid.
  19. Models are always too suppressed at this range.
  20. Models always overamp systems at this range.
  21. Models are keying on the wrong shortwave.
  22. Models aren't seeing the trough east of Hawaii correctly.
  23. Models aren't accounting for the recurring typhoon properly.
  24. Models always struggle in this pattern.
  25. Models can't be taken seriously.
  26. Models have gone downhill since the upgrade.
  27. Models never do well in split flow patterns.
  28. Models are especially terrible this year.

 

 

I also want to warn our group about spending too much time looking at the models.  This man has been studying each model run for the past two months.  The photo speaks for itself.

 

standard.jpg

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Is it wrong that I selfishly don't want this storm to happen so I can fly back home that Friday? If I have to be sitting in California watching everyone get snow...well I may have to actually force myself to enjoy California. 

 

Stay a while longer and you might get to enjoy the disaster of the month.

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Is it wrong that I selfishly don't want this storm to happen so I can fly back home that Friday? If I have to be sitting in California watching everyone get snow...well I may have to actually force myself to enjoy California.

You have a better chance of seeing snow in CA, than anywhere in NC/SC the next 10+ days
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