Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I have been saying that I think the end of this month is when we really start rolling, and the period between 1/20 and 1/31 just seems special when it comes to snow around here. The pattern looks great headed into the end of the month, and we could be having some fun next weekend. Right on time. Folks, it's time to drop the hammer and bring the BOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2015 Author Share Posted January 16, 2015 Kiss of death, our fox local news met, just said they are watching an interesting storm that could be wintry on next Friday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Well what ever happens, (or doesn't happen) looks like NE NC is the place to be. Can't help but notice the western upstate screw job, AGAIN, on EVERY ONE of these maps, EVERY STINKIN' TIME, FOREVER and EVER, till the END of TIME, NO MATTER WHAT, can't buy A MEASLEY FLAKE, SNOW refuses to enter PICKENS and OCONEE, wouldn't snow if it was 50 BELOW ZERO, with a 900 MILLIBAR LOW directly overhead with PRECIP RATES of 10 inches per hour ZONE!!! I HATE LIVING IN WESTERN UPSTATE!!! Ok, now I feel a little better.... take a deep breath.... whew... I can make it... We get screwed a lot in the central piedmont too. Basically, if you don't live in the mountains and near foothills or the coastal plain, you're gonna get screwed. Anyone seeing any flakes from the precip moving through the Triangle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 We get screwed a lot in the central piedmont too. Basically, if you don't live in the mountains and near foothills or the coastal plain, you're gonna get screwed. Anyone seeing any flakes from the precip moving through the Triangle? It was just light rain when it moved through here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Correlation coefficient is really low over northern and central Durham and Orange. Might not mean anything at ground level though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Correlation coefficient is really low over northern and central Durham and Orange. Might not mean anything at ground level though. Liked your post in the pattern thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I have been saying that I think the end of this month is when we really start rolling, and the period between 1/20 and 1/31 just seems special when it comes to snow around here. The pattern looks great headed into the end of the month, and we could be having some fun next weekend. Right on time. Folks, it's time to drop the hammer and bring the BOOM!Most have been saying that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Ok, so who would take this for the first half of Jan: - 3.5 degrees for first half of month Highest temp of just 61 all month Lowest reading of 9 Highest reading over last 9 day stretch is 48 2.77 inch of precipitation I would sign up for that any January and like my chances for some wintry precipitation! Well those are the numbers at GSP for first half. Only problem... not a single flake or ice pellet to show for it. " Inconceivable"! Stats per NOAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Ok, so who would take this for the first half of Jan: - 3.5 degrees for first half of month Highest temp of just 61 all month Lowest reading of 9 Highest reading over last 9 day stretch is 48 2.77 inch of precipitation I would sign up for that any January and like my chances for some wintry precipitation! Well those are the numbers at GSP for first half. Only problem... not a single flake or ice pellet to show for it. " Inconceivable"! Stats per NOAA That's the crazy part about all of this. The below average temps with normal to above normal precip winter forecasts haven't really been all that far off, especially in January. It's just that things haven't worked out so well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Trying like crazy to not get my hopes up. But we just need one storm. One storm!!! Then give us 70 and severe wx! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 *looks at 0z GFS* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 still rain for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 We just need to hold this look for another 180 RAP runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Most have been saying that. For weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I have been saying that I think the end of this month is when we really start rolling, and the period between 1/20 and 1/31 just seems special when it comes to snow around here. The pattern looks great headed into the end of the month, and we could be having some fun next weekend. Right on time. Folks, it's time to drop the hammer and bring the BOOM!I believe between the 1/20-3/1 there will be a winter storm somewhere in the United States. Its just something special about this time frame that a lot of winter storms happen for some reason even though we are close as ever to the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I believe between the 1/20-3/1 there will be a winter storm somewhere in the United States. Its just something special about this time frame that a lot of winter storms happen for some reason even though we are close as ever to the sun. I believe 6-12" will fall in Waycross on January 17, 2061. The LORDS model shows a cutter to the Canadian Archipelago, but it usually is biased towards wrapping up storms at 45+ year leads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 We just need to hold this look for another 180 RAP runs. Ooooooohh..... :yikes:The most important runs will be the ones b4 the event starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I believe 6-12" will fall in Waycross on January 17, 2061. The LORDS model shows a cutter to the Canadian Archipelago, but it usually is biased towards wrapping up storms at 45+ year leads. :lmao: ................. :cry: I don't wanna wait that long. Does the LORDS model show any snow for me this winter? I know the LORDS ensemble showed a big waycross snowstorm with 12/50 members with 36/50 showing over an inch before the end of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2015 Author Share Posted January 16, 2015 The timeframe between the 20-31st of Jan look like they will produce! There is just something special about this time of year! The Tuesday storm was just setting the stage for the 23rd storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 0z Euro said "You want snow?" "Well here you go, everyone have some!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I am trying to temper my excitement as I have a huge project coming up at the end of January. I rely on truck drivers to do my job and my project is based out of NC. The timing couldn't be worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Well, that was somewhat fun while it lasted. On to spring... Squashed to oblivion or all rain for my neck of the woods. Looks like a very typical winter this time = no snow. I will never believe long range forecasting. It just can't be done reliably and never will. Models are only decent through about 72 to 84 hours long range. We need to dial back the funding for anything beyond this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I am trying to temper my excitement as I have a huge project coming up at the end of January. I rely on truck drivers to do my job and my project is based out of NC. The timing couldn't be worse Hopefully, they won't have any problems driving in the rain. They just need to use a little extra caution and they should be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Hopefully, they won't have any problems driving in the rain. They just need to use a little extra caution and they should be fine.Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2015 Author Share Posted January 16, 2015 Hopefully, they won't have any problems driving in the rain. They just need to use a little extra caution and they should be fine. I don't like negative CR! How could you be negative when brick almost guarantees , the last 10 days of the month!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I don't like negative CR! How could you be negative when brick almost guarantees , the last 10 days of the month!? Fo real, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 I don't like negative CR! How could you be negative when brick almost guarantees , the last 10 days of the month!? What do ya mean? Rain is not negative. We need rain. Just ask Shetley! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2015 Author Share Posted January 16, 2015 What do ya mean? Rain is not negative. We need rain. Just ask Shetley!He's good on rain now, he just doesn't see any temps below 32 on his 30 day forecast from accuweather! When he gets rain, he has to bi**h about something else! Did you know we had triplets on the SE board? Shetley, snowstorm2011, and max100!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Packbacker is so close to jumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Packbacker is so close to jumping Funny how his post and East and Jon's are so different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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