metalicwx366 Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 No. It is not a downgrade. The NWS says so.Downgrade-reduce to a lower grade, rank, or level of importance.Do we not take winter weather advisories less seriously than WSW,ISW,BW,or HWWs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Downgrade-reduce to a lower grade, rank, or level of importance. Do we not take winter weather advisories less seriously than WSW,ISW,BW,or HWWs? But the NWS says not to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I'm still positive and looking forward to my Frizzlefest 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 RAH made a point in their briefing today to say just that. I think it kind of confuses the public to start with a Winter Storm Watch and then go to an advisory, but then say it isn't a downgrade. I think most would understand it better if it started out as an advisory and then upgraded to a watch and then a warning if needed.They just dont want to say that it is a downgrade because the public will not take it as seriously. They know damn well its a downgrade. It's all about getting the word to the public. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 The crappy thing about this winter is even though I rarely get the real thing, I can always depend on watching some good model porn during winter. Not so much this winter. I'm just stuck with my imagination of what it might look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 They just dont want to say that it is a downgrade because the public will not take it as seriously. They know damn well its a downgrade. It's all about getting the word to the public. That's why I said I think it would be better to start with the advisory and then work up from there if needed to the watch and warning. I think most of the public views a watch more seriously than an advisory no matter what the NWS says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 This winter is like christina hendricks bust. Nice to look at but you never get to fully see them. They ... I mean she was great on Mad Men. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 The sad part is there isn't even a good chase within driving distance to go to! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 What in the world are we arguing about? Whether or not one NWS product is more important than another delivered to an audience who probably understands neither? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 That's why I said I think it would be better to start with the advisory and then work up from there if needed to the watch and warning. I think most of the public views a watch more seriously than an advisory no matter what the NWS says.Holy cow we agree on something! Carl Parker from TWC must have read our posts because he just started talking about this subject on TWC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Holy cow we agree on something! Carl Parker from TWC must have read our posts because he just started talking about this subject on TWC. Carl Parker is the new Brick Tamland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 The sad part is there isn't even a good chase within driving distance to go to! I think Feb. will give us a chase to the farm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Any time a system doesn't get its act together until it reaches the Atlantic, I will always be skeptical for anything to happen west of Raleigh. I seem to recall even some good size storms not getting alot of precip back west to CLT. This system seems like it's too weak, too east for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Watch...a potential exists. Adv/Warning...imminent or occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 What in the world are we arguing about? Whether or not one NWS product is more important than another delivered to an audience who probably understands neither? Ego's are always right don't ya know Watch...a potential exists. Adv/Warning...imminent or occurring. It's not like you can dumb it down any further than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Ego's are always right don't ya know It's not like you can dumb it down any further than that Ha, yeah we've only been saying this for 40 years too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 This threat alone has kept us from having to go into the office tomorrow. At least that happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 The 18z GFS keeps most of the cold air in Canada right through Jan 29. It shows my location not getting below around 28-29 right through the end of it's run. Very little if any winter weather in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 The 18z GFS keeps most of the cold air in Canada right through Jan 29. It shows my location not getting below around 28-29 right through the end of it's run. Very little if any winter weather in sight. As opposed to some of the GFS runs the last few days which showed no real cold even in Canada. The good news is almost every model in the LR is picking up major cold air in Canada with an obvious push coming. Pointless to get caught up in verbatim 384 maps at this point. I do like our odds though for the last week in Jan to start seeing some big time changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 As opposed to some of the GFS runs the last few days which showed no real cold even in Canada. The good news is almost every model in the LR is picking up major cold air in Canada with an obvious push coming. Pointless to get caught up in verbatim 384 maps at this point. I do like our odds though for the last week in Jan to start seeing some big time changes. Let's hope so - 10 degrees up on mins at 2M from 6Z to 18Z today; and this being the north fringe of fla - a few more freezes as opposed to 37 would be nice - but that's just mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 If this animation even works (grabbed from Ryan) - a good depiction of why we need blocking up stream http://weather.graphics/gsm/gfs_2015011312_dyntrop_nh.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Remember how Derek Jeter had an RBI walk off single on his last game to end his career? I fee like the GFS just had the same kind of performance, except nobody is cheering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Another fine performance by the best weather prediction tools we have available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 Well now this dud is over, we can go back to chasing that unicorn pattern change in the long run, and 384 GFS fantasy storms! Feb is a coming, anything wintry, nada! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 Brick meltdown commence in 3,2,1! Did they cancel his work delay? I hope he don't break his weenie mobile on his way into work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I just got in and it's the driest air I've felt in 2 days. Must mean an ice storm is coming! Maybe a dry ice storm? That would be pretty nasty. I will consider this an over performer if the road is wet in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 These stupid calculators can't compute temperature, pressure, precipitation, wind, sunshine, or clouds correctly. Might as well find a blue-headed corn sloth and ask him what he thinks is going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Another fine performance by the best weather prediction tools we have available. Event cancel already? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Another fine performance by the best weather prediction tools we have available. Which directly led to the change in my signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Which directly led to the change in my signature. I just had to change my settings to show the full version instead of the mobile version and then back again in order to see it. It was worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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