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January Banter


mackerel_sky

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Yeah, ok. I'm guessing all of the wintry weather that's been going off in the deep south of late (including yet another storm for south-central Texas today) doesn't mean anything... This winter is clearly going in the right direction & is behaving as a weak El Nino/warm Neutral winter should, w/ blocking loaded over the North Pacific (which tends to favor Miller B/CAD). Once the epicenter shifts towards the Atlantic more than likely in February, the door will be wide open for Miller As. For now our threats will primarily consistent of overrunning until then...

This winter has blown chunks so far. Sorry man. Maybe it'll turn around like you say, but I couldn't care less about what San Antonio is getting! :)

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Then it looks like we're gonna stop the warm front and it makes a one handed grab and blasts through for a screw.

 

What are you describing here, CR?  :lmao:

 

That guy jumped the line TWICE! I've never seen that happen once.

 

Agreed.  That was insanely awesome and unbelievable.  Kam > Cam so far, but the Panthers have done well, IMO, to only be down by 4 at the half.

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Yeah, ok. I'm guessing all of the wintry weather that's been going off in the deep south of late (including yet another storm for south-central Texas today) doesn't mean anything... This winter is clearly going in the right direction & is behaving as a weak El Nino/warm Neutral winter should, w/ blocking loaded over the North Pacific (which tends to favor Miller B/CAD). Once the epicenter shifts towards the Atlantic more than likely in February, the door will be wide open for Miller As. For now our threats will primarily consistent of overrunning until then...

I agree have you seen the recent runs of the Beijing climate center model monthly? It's actually daily but it's been spitting out some fantasy pattern maps for Feb 1st forward.
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This winter has blown chunks so far. Sorry man. Maybe it'll turn around like you say, but I couldn't care less about what San Antonio is getting! :)

 

Problem is, it's already turning around... I'm not trying to pick on anyone, but if some would just take their heads out of the sand...

Oh look there's another ice event in the south...

US.png

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Problem is, it's already turning around... I'm not trying to pick on anyone, but if some would just take their heads out of the sand...

Oh look there's another ice event in the south...

I hear ya. It's a what have you done for me lately thing. Can't tell you how's my times the phrase, "just wait till Feb" has been thrown out. The apprehension toward that idea is not unjustified. But I'm with you. I've been onboard the mid winter turn-around train. Not jumping off now!

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I hear ya. It's a what have you done for me lately thing. Can't tell you how's my times the phrase, "just wait till Feb" has been thrown out. The apprehension toward that idea is not unjustified. But I'm with you. I've been onboard the mid winter turn-around train. Not jumping off now!

Some fantasy BCC maps from today's run

4b61f47864ec9e236192182d6611c462.jpg

4f45f4045f378e1bd7a4a28284d8229b.jpg

Fab feb

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I agree have you seen the recent runs of the Beijing climate center model monthly? It's actually daily but it's been spitting out some fantasy pattern maps for Feb 1st forward.

 

I actually don't pay that much attention to the long range climate model guidance, I often don't find it very helpful & prefer using prior knowledge & analog to arrive at some of my conclusions...

 

I hear ya. It's a what have you done for me lately thing. Can't tell you how's my times the phrase, "just wait till Feb" has been thrown out. The apprehension toward that idea is not unjustified. But I'm with you. I've been onboard the mid winter turn-around train. Not jumping off now!

 

Well, the winter is already turning around as it is, but I digress... I did mention as well a few weeks ago in looking at the Wilmington, NC daily snowfall record since 1870 (which is a viable proxy for Raleigh, only true difference being Raleigh's snow season goes significantly later into the spring than Wilmington's) & the 58 +ENSO winters during this time that the 50th percentile, (halfway mark) in the winter doesn't arrive until the first week in February (~ Feb 5th) & how this was consistent w/ other observations I've made in snowfall data w/ other cities in the southeastern US... In terms of snowfall, the winter is still young. Based on the Wilmington data, we've only completed about 25% of the winter up to this point (for a warm ENSO year of course), & we're still just 3-4 weeks from halfway, so there's absolutely no reason to fret at this stage...

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Look at CR breaking out the Chinese.  At first, I thought you were offering hugs and kisses, and then I made the connection when I noticed the Os were missing.

 

I'm with you, Webber.  There's still a lot of winter yet to come.

 

Cam just made some pretty poor passes in this last series, so the ball is going back to the Seahawks.  Let's see if the CAR defense can keep up their stellar play.  The Panthers are still in a decent position, at this point.

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Our official reporting station at the airport here in Hickory is so messed up.  I'm less than 5 miles from the airport and MBY temperature reads 20.3 F, which is in line with all the other temperatures here in the NW piedmont.  The airport reads almost 7 degrees warmer than MBY, and several degrees warmer than Rock Hill, SC.

 

14phAkG.png?1

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Look at CR breaking out the Chinese. At first, I thought you were offering hugs and kisses, and then I made the connection when I noticed the Os were missing.

I'm with you, Webber. There's still a lot of winter yet to come.

Cam just made some pretty poor passes in this last series, so the ball is going back to the Seahawks. Let's see if the CAR defense can keep up their stellar play. The Panthers are still in a decent position, at this point.

Hey, we can hug it out in the SE forum, if we need to.

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