franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 8:53 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: No still in Northern McDowell. Was referring to being at a higher elevation than Marietta. Yes being just backed up against this side of the Blue Ridge helps a lot in CAD events.oh, I thought you were comparing mine to yours. Yeah your area is very conducive to cad with the mtns to your west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 8:56 PM, Cold Rain said: January was never supposed to be a good month this year. Everyone expected blocking and winter to start in February or March! I'll never believe in a rocking february again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDa-wx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 8:45 PM, buckeyefan1 said: Why was this even posted in the Pinned Pattern Thread? you mean stuff like this doesn't belong there? or it's ok if you have a green name? On 1/6/2015 at 4:21 PM, buckeyefan1 said: It was good, and I would like to see more just like this Agree Don't worry......it will change again soon Congrats on the red tag!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 9:11 PM, Queencitywx said: I'll never believe in a rocking february again Fab Feb coming for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 9:12 PM, NoDa-wx said: you mean stuff like this doesn't belong there? or it's ok if you have a green name? Do you have a problem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 9:13 PM, MariettaWx said: Fab Feb coming for sure Guaranteed! FAB FEB!!! We get our biggest storms in February and March! January is not a snowy month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 9:24 PM, superjames1992 said: Guaranteed! FAB FEB!!! We get our biggest storms in February and March! January is not a snowy month! The pattern will eventually flip to one that is favorable for snow. I just hope it happens soon or in Feb or early March, the hardest thing to take at this point would be a pattern in late March or April that would have produced snow in Jan-Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 This mess better turn around soon, or my call for 18" at RDU is going to be in jeopardy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 9:34 PM, Cold Rain said: This mess better turn around soon, or my call for 18" at RDU is going to be in jeopardy. At least you didnt promise the wife that. You'd be busy for like 6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 9:47 PM, Queencitywx said: At least you didnt promise the wife that. You'd be busy for like 6 days. It would just seem like 6 days. No wait! That's not what I meant! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 8:59 PM, Brick Tamland said: I actually thought some said the good stuff would not start until the end of January and into February. Yeah, you've been on that train all season. Mad props for sticking to your guns. In the MA forum, HM thinks the next shot for stratospheric stuff leading to blocking things will be in the 1/20 - 1/25 time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Well it's a lock I'll be in Palo Alto, California the 21st - 23rd so expect a big winter storm then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I have to admit I've been using the Para GFS exclusively since about a week ago. I feel so... dirty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 10:06 PM, weatherfide said: I have to admit I've been using the Para GFS exclusively since about a week ago. I feel so... dirty. You're just ahead of the curve because we'll all be doing that as of later this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 8:30 PM, WxKnurd said: Well Brandon and I are former Catawba posters, does that count? (granted I stick to Obs during storms mainly and banter when I feel like it) Yes, most assuredly that counts. In fact, Brandon even still has HKY in his screen name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I'm eagerly awaiting my first virga snow storm on late Friday, early Saturday morning. This is going to be just like old times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Big fail incoming for this weekend's "event" jmo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 10:20 PM, MariettaWx said: Big fail incoming for this weekend's "event" jmo Probably so. We're rockin' at failing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Ladies and gentlemen, may I present: "The models always lose the storm at this range!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 8:56 PM, Cold Rain said: January was never supposed to be a good month this year. Everyone expected blocking and winter to start in February or March!January is the new wildcard! Nobody said it would be cold, could go either way, hell, throw Feb in there also, you will have two wildcards on the way to a royal flush! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 10:36 PM, Cold Rain said: Ladies and gentlemen, may I present: "The models always lose the storm at this range!" Truer words never spoken! They lost it alright, in Ohio! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 10:36 PM, Cold Rain said: Ladies and gentlemen, may I present: "The models always lose the storm at this range!" I firmly believe that the models would continue to disagree at minus 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Well at least the models had a storm for awhile and then lost it. That's progress from December where every run was 50 and rain. I guess.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 10:38 PM, mackerel_sky said: January is the new wildcard! Nobody said it would be cold, could go either way, hell, throw Feb in there also, you will have two wildcards on the way to a royal flush! Royal flush for 3 models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 10:36 PM, Cold Rain said: Ladies and gentlemen, may I present: "The models always lose the storm at this range!" The impulse hasn't been properly sampled yet. We have to get the upcoming pv to move through before the models will be able to lock on to the proper track of the slp. Models will pick back up on the storm once we get into the 48 hour window - models are having too difficult a time deciphering the screaming jet with the changing pattern until then anyway. Longer range models never really handle these setups anyway, have to wait for the NAM and RUC. If it doesn't work don't worry, pattern change coming after day ten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 The 18z gfs shows little precip now for much of the area for the next 13 days. That would mean over half of Jan is off the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 10:36 PM, Cold Rain said: Ladies and gentlemen, may I present: "The models always lose the storm at this range!" Lol On 1/6/2015 at 10:38 PM, mackerel_sky said: January is the new wildcard! Nobody said it would be cold, could go either way, hell, throw Feb in there also, you will have two wildcards on the way to a royal flush! The contortions that are incoming from the people who putout forecasts this year should be pretty entertaining. On 1/6/2015 at 11:06 PM, Iceagewhereartthou said: The impulse hasn't been properly sampled yet. We have to get the upcoming pv to move through before the models will be able to lock on to the proper track of the slp. Models will pick back up on the storm once we get into the 48 hour window - models are having too difficult a time deciphering the screaming jet with the changing pattern until then anyway. Longer range models never really handle these setups anyway, have to wait for the NAM and RUC. If it doesn't work don't worry, pattern change coming after day ten. Best...Post...Today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 11:13 PM, jshetley said: The 18z gfs shows little precip now for much of the area for the next 13 days. That would mean over half of Jan is off the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 10:23 PM, superjames1992 said: Probably so. We're rockin' at failing. Yep and we already setting up to fail next week as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 On 1/6/2015 at 8:59 PM, Brick Tamland said: I actually thought some said the good stuff would not start until 10 days from now.FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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