southernskimmer Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 It's good that you're there, though. You don't wanna take a chance with that. Some people really resist seeing a doc unless things are falling off. My mom's appendix nearly ruptured, which would have been bad. Fortunately, they caught it before it happened and she was fine pretty quickly. Yep. Not something I want to chance. Good times at Moses Cone. Do you drink alcohol? Uh yeah, you got anything in that cabinet for me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Ice threat is about done, stick a fork in it. When you start hearing excuses why the Euro is wrong in it's wheelhouse time range you can call it... The excuses are loltastic. Meh, the Euro had a cold rain in the upper 30s with the 12z run five days out from last March's ice storm. Apparently, the 3" of sleet, 1/2" of ZR, and thousands of power outages didn't happen.It might be time to stick a fork into this one outside of the CAD regions of NC and maybe SC, but I'm not even sure about that. I'm not trying to paint the Euro run as a good thing, but the 00z run had a major ice storm for some areas of the SE, so I'm not bailing after one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Meh, the Euro had a cold rain in the upper 30s with the 12z run five days out from last March's ice storm. Apparently, the 3" of sleet, 1/2" of ZR, and thousands of power outages didn't happen. Really? Really? Strawman of the decade right there..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Really? Really? Strawman of the decade right there.....Just an example. I see no reason to bail yet when last night's Euro run clobbered this area.The Canadian shifted much colder at 12z, too. We'll see. Remember I can get ice while you're in the 40s, so our perspectives are different. I do feel like this one might be slipping away for Alabama and Georgia, and maybe tomorrow I'll say the same for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Ice threat is about done, stick a fork in it. When you start hearing excuses why the Euro is wrong in it's wheelhouse time range you can call it... The excuses are loltastic. Meh, the Euro had a cold rain in the upper 30s with the 12z run five days out from last March's ice storm. Apparently, the 3" of sleet, 1/2" of ZR, and thousands of power outages didn't happen. It might be time to stick a fork into this one outside of the CAD regions of NC and maybe SC, but I'm not even sure about that. I'm not trying to paint the Euro run as a good thing, but the 00z run had a major ice storm for some areas of the SE, so I'm not bailing after one run. Really? Really? Strawman of the decade right there..... Really. Trying to keep up your optimistic approach you have been showing since December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 IMHO, there's a whole forum dedicated to general banter and OT already. Yeah it's there. But once we divided the board into separate forums it went into decline and currently is pretty much done. People tend to want to chat with folks they know and are comfortable with. Moving the board to geographical based forums affected everything, not just weather posts. In any case, it was just a suggestion and an effort to address posted concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Ice threat is about done, stick a fork in it. When you start hearing excuses why the Euro is wrong in it's wheelhouse time range you can call it... The excuses are loltastic. We will have the 84 hour NAM to hook us back in soon though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Ice threat is about done, stick a fork in it. When you start hearing excuses why the Euro is wrong in it's wheelhouse time range you can call it... The excuses are loltastic. The warm solution on the euro is a concern. I still think we have a shot at this storm. We've seen many times in the past where the models lose our storm only to bring it back at the day 4/3 time period. BUT usually the players stay on the field whereas it only takes small changes to turn things around. That's why the euro concerns me; the low to NW is not a small detail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 SJ you're right but when you get CAD usually I get CAD. It's rare you will see a raging ice storm in High Point and Marietta is in the 40's - We usually end up with 33-35 and rain while you guys get ice if we both don't get ice. I think some people don't quite understand how strong CAD is in North GA. I get your point though. My original comment was crafted for my neck of the woods, that said I think the Euro is a bad sign for you guys wanting ice up there in North Central NC. 5 days is it's wheelhouse.. I hope it shifts back but I'll take the Euro at 5 days over any other model every single time if I was placing my bets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Really? Really? Strawman of the decade right there..... I don't know if that's really a straw man. The Euro could be right. But there's still not a consensus. The flow is somewhat messy and the windows of cold and precip are still up in the air. At five days out, given a situation where timing really matters, I wouldn't say it's settled yet. Edit: NM, sir. I see your subsequent post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Ice threat is about done, stick a fork in it. When you start hearing excuses why the Euro is wrong in it's wheelhouse time range you can call it... The excuses are loltastic. the euro doesn't have a wheelhouse anymore, it lost that years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 Already discussing the 15-16 potential!!! The Sunday storm is toast. Best winter ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 SJ you're right but when you get CAD usually I get CAD. It's rare you will see a raging ice storm in High Point and Marietta is in the 40's - We usually end up with 33-35 and rain while you guys get ice if we both don't get ice. I think some people don't quite understand how strong CAD is in North GA. I get your point though. My original comment was crafted for my neck of the woods, that said I think the Euro is a bad sign for you guys wanting ice up there in North Central NC. 5 days is it's wheelhouse.. I hope it shifts back but I'll take the Euro at 5 days over any other model every single time if I was placing my bets.February 2011 RIP euro op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 February 2011 RIP euro op. Was that when they did the down...er..upgrade? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 the euro doesn't have a wheelhouse anymore, it lost that years ago. Lol, ok... It's the same model nothing has changed, it still verifies the best as it has for years. I'll be optimistic when the situation warrants, this is slipping away from us guys. Face it head on or don't but that's the way I see it. Brick your post was loltastic as well. Why stay optimistic about a storm that we are watching slowly slip away. There is a difference between blind optimism and having a good attitude about things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I don't know if that's really a straw man. The Euro could be right. But there's still not a consensus. The flow is somewhat messy and the windows of cold and precip are still up in the air. At five days out, given a situation where timing really matters, I wouldn't say it's settled yet. Edit: NM, sir. I see your subsequent post. Quote of the day IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Was that when they did the down...er..upgrade?right before that I believe. That was the storm the euro hung onto a coastal that hammered the mtns and Tennessee, all within 72 hours. It got beat very badly by the nam, and cmc, GFS too. Ever since then it's lost its luster. Now it seems to over amp systems too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 It's euro versus all the rest. I like our chances here in the CAD areas of NC and maybe SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 right before that I believe. That was the storm the euro hung onto a coastal that hammered the mtns and Tennessee, all within 72 hours. It got beat very badly by the nam, and cmc, GFS too. Ever since then it's lost its luster. Now it seems to over amp systems too much. This one time at band camp... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Lol, ok... It's the same model nothing has changed, it still verifies the best as it has for years. I'll be optimistic when the situation warrants, this is slipping away from us guys. Face it head on or don't but that's the way I see it. Brick your post was loltastic as well. Why stay optimistic about a storm that we are watching slowly slip away. There is a difference between blind optimism and having a good attitude about things. face what? The fact that I live in elevation and don't cad in my area? I never was in the game on ice nor do I care. Even the GFS had rain here. It's not even close to the same model. I guess you missed my post back in December on the GFS euro. You can also read my post in the pattern thread about the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 This one time at band camp...what an education response. Is this going to be followed by another tantrum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Yep. Not something I want to chance. Good times at Moses Cone. Do you drink alcohol? Uh yeah, you got anything in that cabinet for me? Lol! You need to stay out of that cabinet for a day or two. See if you can get em to give you a hit of morphine. You'll be good to go then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I see this thread as the one place in the forum where we get to know about each other beyond our shared interest in weather. I also see your point. We may want to think about adding a "weather banter" thread for the winter months. That way we could have a place reserved only for non technical weather chat and a place to just hang out and chat about anything else while we get to know each other better. Opinions? Yes, definitely. We've asked for this in previous winters. Well, to be honest, I thought the banter thread was created to talk about weather banter in the first place and I was the reason it was created. It's not all about you, Brick. Yeah it's there. But once we divided the board into separate forums it went into decline and currently is pretty much done. People tend to want to chat with folks they know and are comfortable with. Moving the board to geographical based forums affected everything, not just weather posts. In any case, it was just a suggestion and an effort to address posted concerns. I could not agree more. I very rarely visit any other forum on this site besides the SE one. Occasionally I'll visit PR, but that's even in general decline in terms of participation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Yes, day 10 of the Euro is loaded with potential. The big question is, when are we going to start seeing something.......... other than a modeled LR pattern, that only looks like it could produce? It's only January 6th, but it feels like February already. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 what an education response. Is this going to be followed by another tantrum? Educated.... The quote was perfect for the comment I was responding to...... I guess you just don't get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Educated.... The quote was perfect for the comment I was responding to...... I guess you just don't get it. phone messed that one up. No, as usual you don't get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 face what? The fact that I live in elevation and don't cad in my area? I never was in the game on ice nor do I care. Even the GFS had rain here. It's not even close to the same model. I guess you missed my post back in December on the GFS euro. You can also read my post in the pattern thread about the euro. I live at a higher elevation than you and in the heart of the CAD region. Be jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Really interesting that there are 5 or more posters from little old McDowell County on this forum and only 2 or 3 (that I know of) from bigger Burke, Rutherford, and Catawba counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I live at a higher elevation than you and in the heart of the CAD region. Be jealous.did you move? What is your elevation now?You're still on the eastern side of the divide. That helps tremendously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Things I have learned on this board being from SC. I don't get excited unless Shawn gets excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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